Thorbjørn Sejr Guul 's Avatar

Thorbjørn Sejr Guul

@tsguul.bsky.social

Associate Professor in Public Administration, University of Southern Denmark https://sites.google.com/view/thorbjoern-sejr-guul/

370 Followers  |  287 Following  |  17 Posts  |  Joined: 29.09.2023  |  2.2601

Latest posts by tsguul.bsky.social on Bluesky

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How do performance failures affect user satisfaction? With co-authors (Mads Thau and @nathanfavero.com) @mfalcon.bsky.social (assoc prof @pa-sdu.bsky.social), leverage a major negative news story on Danish social services that broke during the fielding of a user survey. In @pareview.bsky.social

04.11.2025 08:11 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 1

Do high workloads force bureaucrats to discriminate?

In a published paper at the @thejop.bsky.social, I challenge the dominant explanation of discrimination in public service delivery. Surprisingly, I find that bureaucrats are able to handle substantial workloads without discriminating.

16.09.2025 11:24 — 👍 12    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0

These results demonstrate the potential of using performance information—without increasing incentives—to promote learning in public organizations.
9/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Moreover, as specified in our preregistered, primary hypothesis, the teachers chose actions according to the new information, such that students in the treatment group received support that better matched their skill level.
8/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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In the treatment group we find that teachers updated their beliefs according to the model, such that they placed relatively more weight on the test scores (which they are informed about) and less on their priors.
7/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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More specifically we repeatedly measured the reading skills of students in both treatment and control group using an IT-based reading test. However, only the treatment group received information on the test scores during the intervention period.
6/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

However, measuring performance may itself affect professionals’ behavior, which makes it difficult to isolate the effect of providing performance information. We designed a preregistered field experiment in which we can isolate the effect of making performance information available to teachers
5/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

We propose, based on a Bayesian model of learning, that simply providing professional teachers with performance information— without changing their extrinsic incentives—may be enough to make them update their beliefs about their students and act accordingly
4/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Performance management is used by governments worldwide to incentivize professionals in schools and other public organizations. Yet, much research shows that these incentives may generate perverse dysfunctional effects.
3/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Link to publishers version: doi.org/10.1093/jopa...
Link to open access version: drive.google.com/file/d/1t8BS...
2/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Thrilled to share that our paper "A Learning Approach to the Governance of Professionals. Field Experimental Evidence" with scandersen.bsky.social has been accepted for publication in jpart1991.bsky.social

See threat and link below below 👇
1/9

16.09.2025 10:22 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 1
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In the treatment group we find that teachers updated their beliefs according to the model, such that they placed relatively more weight on the test scores (which they are informed about) and less on their priors.
7/9

16.09.2025 10:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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More specifically we repeatedly measured the reading skills of students in both treatment and control group using an IT-based reading test. However, only the treatment group received information on the test scores during the intervention period.
6/9

16.09.2025 10:18 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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However, measuring performance may itself affect professionals’ behavior, which makes it difficult to isolate the effect of providing performance information. We designed a preregistered field experiment in which we can isolate the effect of making performance information available to teachers
5/9

16.09.2025 10:18 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Post image

We propose, based on a Bayesian model of learning, that simply providing professional teachers with performance information— without changing their extrinsic incentives—may be enough to make them update their beliefs about their students and act accordingly
4/9

16.09.2025 10:18 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Performance management is used by governments worldwide to incentivize professionals in schools and other public organizations. Yet, much research shows that these incentives may generate perverse dysfunctional effects.
3/9

16.09.2025 10:18 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Link to publishers version: doi.org/10.1093/jopa...
Link to open access version: drive.google.com/file/d/1t8BS...
2/9

16.09.2025 10:18 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Our article “Unsuccessful Candidates Are More Concerned About Electoral Fairness than Election Winners” is now online @thejop.bsky.social

Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.

🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240

12.09.2025 06:51 — 👍 42    🔁 11    💬 1    📌 1

Thanks you so much for your visit, Elizabeth - we really enjoyed having you here ☺️

08.05.2025 16:52 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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This week we have been happy have @drelizabethbell.bsky.social from University of Texas, Austin as a guest. She has presented her recent work on "Administrative Burden and the Access-Fraud Trade-Off" with @sebjilke.bsky.social , followed by an engaging discussion. Thanks for your visit, Elizabeth!

07.05.2025 14:55 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 1
BJPolS societal views towards immigrants and ethnic minorities in Europe, focusing on resource contribution and compliance with societal norms. The text discusses a study in Denmark regarding information manipulation and its effects on societal perceptions.

BJPolS societal views towards immigrants and ethnic minorities in Europe, focusing on resource contribution and compliance with societal norms. The text discusses a study in Denmark regarding information manipulation and its effects on societal perceptions.

NEW -

The Correlates of Ethnicity: Why the Ethnic Majority Expects That Ethnic Minorities Contribute Less to the Collective - cup.org/4lOX7jN

- @matkruse.bsky.social

#OpenAccess

28.04.2025 07:20 — 👍 14    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0

@weekendavisen.dk bringer i dag en historie baseret på min, @tsguul.bsky.social og Kristian Kriegbaum Jensens artikel udgivet i AJS.

Link til Weekendavisen: www.weekendavisen.dk/2025-5/ideer...

30.01.2025 16:27 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Thrilled to share that our paper "Does Ethnic Similarity Increase Well-being?" with excellent lead author @matkruse.bsky.social and Kristian K. Jensen is out in the American Journal of Sociology.

See 🧵👇

06.01.2025 21:38 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data?

Thrilled that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🎉 The article argues that low statistical power is a major impediment to acquiring cumulative knowledge on questions concerning cross-national differences: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

10.12.2024 11:14 — 👍 150    🔁 44    💬 8    📌 10

1/ 🚀 Excited to share our latest paper in the Journal of Management: "Hic Sunt Dracones: On the Risks of Comparing the ITCV With Control Variable Correlations" 🐉

It’s open access: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Let’s talk about why this matters and what we discovered! 🧵👇

03.12.2024 19:56 — 👍 6    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0

In a new article out in @pnas.org w @michaelsvarer.bsky.social @albecknielsen.bsky.social Michael Rosholm. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/..., we explore the long-term unemployment and mental health effects of active labor market programs.

06.12.2024 08:56 — 👍 35    🔁 14    💬 4    📌 1

Does childhood exposure to coethnics impede or promote the acquisition of citizenship?

In a new article in @pnas.org, I show that the modest presence of coethnic peers in school increases migrant children’s probability of getting 🇩🇰 citizenship later in life. 🧵👇 1/15

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

28.11.2024 13:50 — 👍 29    🔁 12    💬 6    📌 3
Preview
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library The disadvantages experienced by minorities and lack of societal remedies are partly attributable to native-majority citizens’ limited awareness of minority hardships. We investigate whether informin...

(1/7) 📢 New research alert!

Even when people are shown clear evidence of #discrimination, it doesn‘t change their support for anti-discrimination policies.

Read @kkrakows.bsky.social, @asmusletholsen.bsky.social, and my article in @ajpseditor.bsky.social to find out why: doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

02.12.2024 08:10 — 👍 103    🔁 43    💬 7    📌 2

Want to work in an inspiring and young public administration research group?

Come and join us! We are hiring

one or more Assistant Professors (tenure track) and

one or more Associate Professors in Public Administration. Application deadline: April 1, 2024.

20.02.2024 09:16 — 👍 4    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 1
It's not merely about the content: How rules are communicated matters to administrative burden Research suggests that citizens often abstain from taking up benefits for which they are eligible because of the costs of learning about how to apply for and the compliance and psychological costs as....

New article alert!

In our new study, we show how the communication of rules affects the resulting burden for citizens. Easier language (while retaining the same amount of information) and better layout substantially lower learning and anticipated compliance costs

buff.ly/3toQZYB

26.10.2023 13:46 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0

@tsguul is following 19 prominent accounts