Peter Luca Versteegen

Abstract

New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵

There are many parallels between publishing papers and putting a baby asleep. An endless 🧵

1. it takes longer than you think.
2. there are strategies, but it‘s essentially trial + error.
3. don‘t let them out of your hands too early, it‘ll fail
4. you usually hear back from them sooner than hoped

Politicians don’t just care how many people hold an opinion — they care how good that opinion is. In our new (open-access) article in West European Politics, based on survey data from 900+ politicians across 11 countries, we show: quality > quantity. Read more: doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Hinter der Statistik - Was arm sein bedeutet Armutsforscher kritisieren das Statistische Bundesamt: Es veröffentlicht nur noch Zahlen zur Armutsgefährdung, die auf bestimmte Weise berechnet wurden.

Hörtipp für den Feiertag / langes Wochenende also - Deutschlandfunk Systemfragen: Was sich an dem Streit über die nicht mehr veröffentlichten Armutszahlen übers Arm sein und über Forschung selbst lernen lässt. www.deutschlandfunk.de/arm-sein-war... 5/5

11. it keeps you awake at 1, 3, 5, and 5.30 in the morning
12. vacuum cleaning helps, clearing the brain
13. it‘s underpaid
14. do the substance BEFORE the editing
15. do the framing early
16. tell a story
17. „novelty“ is more appreciated than replication
18. but what’s the mechanism?

5. you try to remain anonymous to avoid rude comments
6. frustration doesn‘t help
7. chocolate does help
8. once successful, you feel proud and accomplished
9. once successful, it starts all over again
10. your wife can do it better

There are many parallels between publishing papers and putting a baby asleep. An endless 🧵

1. it takes longer than you think.
2. there are strategies, but it‘s essentially trial + error.
3. don‘t let them out of your hands too early, it‘ll fail
4. you usually hear back from them sooner than hoped

Are you, or do you know, someone who wants to do a PhD?

Applications are open for full funding (scholarship + maintenance) @sotonpolitics.bsky.social through the @scdtp.bsky.social

Get in touch if you're interested

southcoastdtp.ac.uk/apply/

Establishing the construct and predictive validity of brief measures of affective polarization JAKOB KASPER, GIJS SCHUMACHER, BERT N. BAKKER

📘 64.4

@jakobkas.bsky.social @gijsschumacher.bsky.social & B.Bakker questions whether when voters are deeply polarized, ddo they tend to rate democratic performance lower regarding fairness and other important qualities?

🔗

🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social

Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are?

@simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions

Thread 🧵1/10

“We argue that previous moralization explains focus groups’ perception of division as persistent and insuperable”

Sounds like a great paper ⬇️ Important to move beyond elite and media causes to collective sense-making. How ppl see “the other side” is sticky- it stays and spreads

New publication with @kgattermann.bsky.social :
“Does media framing of election results affect whether voters perceive parties as election winners or losers?”
@polstudies.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/0032...

A short 🧵:

Sexism and the Gender Gap in Support for the Radical Right Using survey data from Spain we show that the gender gap in the probability of voting for the radical-right party Vox is mainly due to men having higher levels of modern sexism than women. We find ...

We have a new paper out with @gricoc.bsky.social in @jwpp.bsky.social (this time I swear I am going to post the right link): www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

"Do Integration Courses Influence Refugees’ Integration Trajectories? Evidence from Norway" by Jeremy Ferwerda and Henning Finseraas.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Depolarization is not "a scalable solution for reducing societal-level conflict.... achieving lasting depolarization will likely require....moving beyond individual-level treatments to address the elite behaviors and structural incentives that fuel partisan conflict" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Excited to announce the publication of my article in Comparative Political Studies on how crises shape the ideological legitimation strategies of authoritarian regimes. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

🚨New pre-print🚨

"Do citizens’ views of democracy and its actors vary with how they feel?”, @lilymasonphd.bsky.social and I ask in a new paper.
Why would they? While citizens widely endorse democracy in principle, temporary factors often shape their views. Also, work on “irrelevant events"

1/8🧵

Uprooted Cambridge Core - Comparative Politics - Uprooted

In a moment when the narrative has swung so far to the other end, this book by Volha Charnysh is more important than ever.

It shows the displacement of people historically fostered state capacity, private entrepreneurship, and long-term economic performance.

www.cambridge.org/core/books/u...

Our findings have implications for survey research. And we hope the review of affective states help polsci study affect.

Full paper here: doi.org/10.31234/osf...

For this paper, I am particularly thankful for the great input + support of so many! You made this project better & more fun!
8/8🧵

What does that mean?
Bad news: democratic views are even more fluid than recently shown. In times when we feel poorly, we evaluate opponents + institutions more harshly.
Good news: there are limits to this. Short-term changes in affect (eg traffic jam) won’t shift views or prompt intolerance
7/8🧵

Indeed, when inducing immediate affect in an experiment in the 🇺🇸, we find correlations as hypothesized for self-reported (i.e., relatively stable) mood, but null effects for induced short-term affect.

6/8🧵

around lunch time does not shift democratic views systematically. This suggests that relatively durable moods (i.e., annual changes) may shape people’s democratic views, but changes in short-term affect don’t matter.

5/8🧵

Our first test uses 16 waves of 🇳🇱 panel data, testing effects of within-subject changes in mood on very broad measures of democratic views.

We find that within-subject increases in positive mood predict more satisfaction with and trust in democracy.

However, diurnal variation in affect
4/8🧵

a little girl is crying with the words i am hungry written below her ALT: a little girl is crying with the words i am hungry written below her

i.e., emotions, short-term affect, and more durable moods. We hope to help clarify these concepts beyond our own study.
Our main hypothesis: Stronger positive (negative) affective states predict more (less) benevolent views of
democracy and its actors.

I.e., democracy may look darker when...
3/8🧵

suggests thinks like football matches *may* shift political attitudes (these studies don’t necessarily replicate).
Here, we don’t look at “irrelevant events” but directly at the often presumed “mechanism”: how people feel.

In our lit review, we discuss different types of affective states,
2/8🧵

🚨New pre-print🚨

"Do citizens’ views of democracy and its actors vary with how they feel?”, @lilymasonphd.bsky.social and I ask in a new paper.
Why would they? While citizens widely endorse democracy in principle, temporary factors often shape their views. Also, work on “irrelevant events"

1/8🧵

OK, a🧵: Our new paper studies workers' political consciousness in times of class demobilization.

We show there's more to workers' politics than right-wing resentment. Listening to workers, we reconstruct their moral critiques of money, power & recognition.

Link journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

The expansion of voting rights beyond territory and citizenship marks a major democratic development of the last fifty years. Migrant suffrage has been mostly studied from a state-centric perspective. But the rights that migrants hold emerge from specific combinations of the country of residence and the country of citizenship. From this migrant-centric perspective, what is the diagnosis of the spread and status of global migrant suffrage? We present franchise constellations as a migrant-centric framework for studying voting rights. Drawing on the most comprehensive dataset on migrant electoral rights, combined with novel data on nationality-specific restrictions, we compute almost 1.3 million dyad-year observations based on 172 countries between 1960 and 2020. Using migrant stock data, we find that at least 74 million migrants remained completely disenfranchised in 2020. Bilateral and multilateral efforts emerge as a fruitful path for addressing global migrant disenfranchisement.

➡️📍📑 New Working Paper
with @sumpierrez.bsky.social and Rainer Bauböck

Work on migrant voting rights often has a state-centric perspective. We propose *migrant franchise constellations* as a migrant-centric approach.

A 🧵 with our argument and new data! 🗳️

preprints.apsanet.org/engage/apsa/...

Petition unterschreiben Keine WiSo ohne PoWi! Für eine starke Politikwissenschaft im Bachelor & Master

The University of Cologne plans drastic cuts to its Political Science department, potentially abolishing the MSc in Political Science and eliminating the professorships in IR and Comparative Politics. This would severely weaken the social sciences at @unicologne.bsky.social.
Petition (de/en) ⤵️