Colton Dodgson

Fantasy Dreams and Nightmares: Harold Fannin Jr. Won't Stop Unpacking the dreams and nightmares that shaped fantasy football this week, offering a detailed analysis you can't afford to miss.

Harold Fannin Jr. won’t stop, Burrow's Bengals are back (for fantasy), and the Colts without Daniel Jones. That and more in this week’s Fantasy Dreams and Nightmares.

For @footballguys.com

I looked back at my favorite starts and sits from Week 14, my hits and misses from the Football Over Expected rankings, and made a case for Shedeur Sanders.

Tuesday’s TLFL:

YT: youtu.be/oq-vG_qRSyE
Apple: shorturl.at/wsnE2
Spotify: shorturl.at/Rgkoc

Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings: Version 3 Initial rankings will be posted every Wednesday. Updates will be made every Friday and Saturday.

My final Week 14 fantasy rankings are live.

Check them out at the link below. If you subscribed while you were there, too, I wouldn't be upset. You get three sets of rankings each week, sent directly to your email. It's a win-win.

Kick: kick.com/inthelabfoe
Twitch: www.twitch.tv/inthelabfoe

In The Lab is live in an hour on Twitter, Twitch, and Kick.

I'm researching your toughest last-minute fantasy calls, live. Drop them in the chat, and I'll help you find an answer.

Links ⬇️

Kick: kick.com/inthelabfoe
Twitch: www.twitch.tv/inthelabfoe

In The Lab is live tonight at 6:45 ET on Twitter, Twitch, and Kick.

I'm researching your toughest last-minute fantasy calls, live. Drop them in the chat, and I'll help you find an answer.

Links ⬇️

Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings: Version 2 Initial rankings will be posted every Wednesday. Updates will be made every Friday and Saturday.

Rankings are updated. Subscribe to the free Football Over Expected Substack for initial weekly rankings on Wednesday, and updates on Friday and Saturday, sent directly to your inbox.

It doesn't get more convenient than that.

open.substack.com/pub/football...

Week 14. The stakes are high. I’ve got some starts and sits. I also picked my favorite bets for the college conference championships and some Super Bowl dark horses.

Friday’s TLFL:

YT: youtu.be/iPLIi5TrC6s
Apple: shorturl.at/wsnE2
Spotify: shorturl.at/Rgkoc

Kick: kick.com/inthelabfoe
Twitch: www.twitch.tv/inthelabfoe

In The Lab is live in an hour. Follow @FBOverExpected for the Twitter stream. You can also check it out on the Twitch and Kick channels.

I'm researching your toughest fantasy calls, live. Drop them in the chat, and I'll help you find an answer.

Links ⬇️

Streams are back. I'll be live tonight on In The Lab at 4:45 on the Football Over Expected Twitter, Twitch, and Kick.

I'm researching your toughest fantasy calls, live. Drop them in the chat, and I'll help you find an answer.

Week 14 Fantasy Football Rankings: Version 1 Initial rankings will be posted every Wednesday. Updates will be made every Friday and Saturday.

Initial rankings for Week 14 are live.

Want the late-week updates? Subscribe to the Football Over Expected Substack and get the Friday and Saturday update sent directly to you.

shorturl.at/V2bog

First Version of Weekly Rankings Drop Wednesday Subscribe for Week 14 fantasy rankings, emailed directly to your inbox. Updated versions will be available on Friday and Saturday night, as well.

My first set of Week 14 rankings drops tomorrow. Subscribe below to get them in your inbox. Updated versions will go out on Friday and Saturday.

open.substack.com/pub/football...

Since Week 7, Jameson Williams has finished with zero fantasy points twice. He’s the WR14 in Half-PPR over that span, and tied with Amon-Ra St. Brown in PPG with 12.8.

Since Week 9, Williams is the WR3 and 10th in PPG with 15.3.

Entering Week 14, Jacoby Brissett now has as many top-12 quarterback finishes (6) as Matthew Stafford, Caleb Williams, Trevor Lawrence, and Jaxson Dart.

Fantasy Dreams and Nightmares: A Bryce Young Peak Unpacking the dreams and nightmares that shaped fantasy football this week, offering a detailed analysis you can't afford to miss.

A Bryce Young peak, De’Von Achane keeps on keeping on, and Troy Franklin ghosts. It’s all in this week’s Fantasy Dreams and Nightmares.

For @footballguys.com

www.footballguys.com/article/2025...

I’m back. I’m looking at a wild weekend in college football, a waiver vibe check, and players destined for fantasy titles.

Tuesday’s TLFL:

YT: youtu.be/TaIHVKqVrCU
Apple: shorturl.at/wsnE2
Spotify: shorturl.at/Rgkoc

Rome Odunze averaged 14.8 Half-PPR PPG from Weeks 1-6. He was the WR7 through six games. Since Week 7, he's the WR51, scoring 7.2 PPG.

Despite six end zone targets since Week 9, he's caught one touchdown. He's also up to 357 incomplete air yards over that span.

In Samaje Perine's return, Chase Brown played 58.8 percent of Cincinnati's snaps, his smallest share since Week 8. His share of third-down snap share dropped from 84.6 percent in Week 12 to 21.1 percent in Week 13. He still totaled 22 opportunities and 0.7 Half-PPR points per opportunity.

Lamar Jackson's -0.68 expected points added per dropback in Week 13 was the second-worst figure of the week, behind only Max Brosmer. Over his last three games, Jackson's averaging -0.43 expected points added per dropback.

Since making his season debut in Week 8, Christian Watson is the WR11 in Half-PPR, averaging 10.9 points per game. He's handled a target share north of 30 percent in each of the last two games, including 33.3 percent on Thanksgiving.

9 of his 10 tgts in Week 13 came on attempts of 10+ air yards.

From Weeks 1-8, Dallas Goedert was the TE3 in Half-PPR points per game with 12.3. Since Week 9, he's the TE35 with 4.1 PPG. He played 88.2 percent of the snaps in Week 13 and 93.1 percent in Week 12.

He logged target shares of 11.8 and 5.1 percent in those games, respectively.

Saquon Barkley's 2.7 rushing yards after contact per attempt is tied with Tyrone Tracy Jr. for the lowest total among running backs with at least 100 carries. He averaged 2.9 in Week 13.

For reference, Barkley averaged 3.4 YACo/att. last season.

If you’ve supported anything I’ve done or encouraged me while I refined the approach, thank you. If not, I’ll win you over eventually. Better late than never.

Twitch Twitch is the world's leading video platform and community for gamers.

In The Lab (Live show every Thursday and Saturday) - shorturl.at/zqAeq

Off-Platform Sketch Comedy (Whenever I have an idea I want to write and shoot) - shorturl.at/XK2z4

Football Over Expected | Substack Podcasts, fantasy rankings, live streams | The Lean from the Lots, In The Lab, Off-Platform | Fantasy rankings are published weekly, with updates sent directly to your inbox. | There's always more to…

Football Over Expected Substack (Weekly Rankings) - shorturl.at/wQVl6

The Lean from the Lots Podcast (New episodes Tuesdays and Fridays) - shorturl.at/vILFb

I’m launching Football Over Expected next week. No novel about what that means. I tend to ramble. If you're interested, everything is linked in the next post.

Podcast returns Tuesday as The Lean from the Lots. Streams are back on Thursday on Twitch and Kick as In The Lab.

Fantasy Dreams and Nightmares: Jahmyr Gibbs Goes Scorched Earth Unpacking the dreams and nightmares that shaped fantasy football this week, offering a detailed analysis you can't afford to miss.

Jahmyr Gibbs goes scorched Earth, Another Lamar Jackson landmine, and George Pickens might earn a blank check. It’s all in this week’s Fantasy Dreams and Nightmares.

For @footballguys.com

Podcast episodes, streams, and daily clips will be back in time for the fantasy playoffs starting December 1.

Names and creative choices will change. The guy behind it all will not.

I’m excited for you to see what I’ve been working on.