Mansoor Ahmed's Avatar

Mansoor Ahmed

@mansoorahmed.bsky.social

Hon. Lecturer SDSC, Australian National University | IR, nuclear weapons, fissile materials, South Asia, conventional deterrence | Formerly CISS Islamabad, Harvard’s Belfer Center, QAU | Author Pakistan’s Pathway to the Bomb | Views personal

275 Followers  |  290 Following  |  1 Posts  |  Joined: 16.11.2024  |  1.9861

Latest posts by mansoorahmed.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Bombing Iran has put one of the most successful treaties ever in doubt - The World from PRX Almost every country on Earth has signed it — the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, widely known as the “NPT.” It became effective on March 5, 1970. At the time, US President Richard...

In an episode of The World, @matthew-bunn.bsky.social provides his thoughts on the bombing of Iran and how those may affect the efficiency and sustainability of the Non-Proliferation Treaty. 
theworld.org/segments/2025/07/09/bombing-iran-has-put-one-of-the-most-successful-treaties-ever-in-doubt

15.07.2025 14:24 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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I look forward to hosting Dr. @mansoorahmed.bsky.social in an upcoming episode of Centre for Security, Strategy and Policy Research (CSSPR) Webinar Series. We will discuss the South Asian strategic landscape in the wake of the recent Indo-Pak crisis.

10.06.2025 22:17 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

And matching or disproportionate retaliation.

25.04.2025 02:00 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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"A cyber no first use agreement between India and Pakistan would serve as a foundational arms control measure [...]"

🎧 Listen to the latest #IISS podcast on #Pakistan with Dr @bollfrass.bsky.social, Dr @rabsaa.bsky.social & Dr
@mansoorahmed.bsky.social: tinyurl.com/4tvbufsp

#EUNPDC #ArmsControl

09.04.2025 07:38 — 👍 3    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Host Dr @bollfrass.bsky.social is joined by experts Dr @rabsaa.bsky.social & Dr @mansoorahmed.bsky.social

Together they explore Pakistan’s nuclear history, evolving doctrine & the future of #ArmsControl in South Asia.

➡️https://tinyurl.com/4tvbufsp

#EUNPDC #NonProliferation

04.04.2025 09:29 — 👍 4    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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🚨 New piece for @thebulletin.org!

In January, the United States watered down the Missile Technology Control Regime.This is bad for the nonproliferation regime.

If the U.S. wants arms control negotiations with Russia & China it can't be spreading ballistic missiles.

thebulletin.org/2025/03/bide...

28.03.2025 18:16 — 👍 6    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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Climate change may make it harder to spot submarines The sound of their engines will not travel as far

Very flattered to see The Economist discuss the findings of the research that, together with my co-authors, we have carried out on the effects of climate change for submarine warfare.

www.economist.com/science-and-...

27.03.2025 17:57 — 👍 29    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 2

Really glad to have an article in this excellent special issue. Mine, with @andrewfutter.bsky.social, is on "The Return of Nuclear Great Power Politics (or why we stopped worrying about terrorists and the bomb)" www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

19.03.2025 21:39 — 👍 8    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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#NavalNews #Shipbuilding #Submarines
Pakistan Navy Hangor-class (PLAN Type 039A-class export derivative) diesel-electric/AIP attack submarine PNS "Shushuk" was launched in Wuhan, China on March 13, 2025.

17.03.2025 06:55 — 👍 28    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
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Pakistan Navy launches second Hangor-class submarine in China | The Express Tribune The submarine is part of an eight-vessel deal signed in 2015 between defence ministry and China Shipbuilding
15.03.2025 17:49 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
InFocus With Ejaz Haider EP60: Nuclear Triangle, Sino-India and Pakistan
YouTube video by CSSPR InFocus With Ejaz Haider EP60: Nuclear Triangle, Sino-India and Pakistan

Out Now on CSSPR : A conversation on China's nuclear modernization and the overall nuclear dynamic in South Asia, featuring Ejaz Haider, @mansoorahmed.bsky.social, and @raji143.bsky.social. www.youtube.com/watch?v=pK5Q...

14.03.2025 18:31 — 👍 2    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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The US and Iran are on the road to escalation. Europe can and should create an off-ramp The E3 and Tehran have no better option than re-engaging. Failing to do so risks movement towards a weaponized nuclear programme, military escalation, or both.

This is a critical year for Iran’s nuclear programme. Without an off-ramp, Iran could weaponize its nuclear programme — or have its nuclear facilities attacked.

14.03.2025 12:00 — 👍 10    🔁 7    💬 1    📌 0
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Portugal is reconsidering the multi-billion dollar purchase of 28 American F-35 fighters, after changes in what the Portuguese Minister of Defense calls the "predictability of our allies."

Portugal will examine European alternatives as it ramps up defense spending.

13.03.2025 23:29 — 👍 875    🔁 136    💬 28    📌 21
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DDG-133 Baotou (Type 052D) participating in Pakistani Navy exercise Aman-2025, which concluded yesterday. Baotou is part of the 47th Chinese naval escort taskforce deployed to Somalia. The two Type 054A FFG ahead are Pakistan Navy Tughril-class (054A/P) frigates. Via "by78"/SDF.

12.02.2025 02:54 — 👍 18    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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Finished this. A recommended read for anyone caring about PLA posture, history, political decision-making etc. This is aimed at a general audience (incl university students) & presents the grand picture instead of an overly detailed focus. As such also useful for specialists.

01.02.2025 11:23 — 👍 48    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
Nuclear warheads, fissile material and tritium production, missiles and missiles defenses - From the Editors

New volume of Science & Global Security is out. With papers on ICBM silo vulnerability to conventional attack (free access), Arrow 3, hypersonic cruise missiles, fissile material and tritium production in Pakistan and DPRK, and more. See scienceandglobalsecurity.org/editorial/20... and 👇 1/

26.01.2025 20:25 — 👍 31    🔁 15    💬 1    📌 0
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The Global Third Nuclear Age | Clashing Visions for a New Era in Inter This book provides an in-depth examination of the technological, geopolitical and normative pressures driving the world into a new, more complex and potentially

Absolutely delighted that our new team book: “The Global Third Nuclear Age: Clashing Visions for a New Era in International Politics” is now available open access. Thanks to all those who contributed to the research:
www.taylorfrancis.com/books/oa-mon...

09.01.2025 07:50 — 👍 15    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 2
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India tests K-4 nuclear-capable ballistic missile from nuclear submarine INS Arighaat According to Defence sources, the test results are being analysed after which the officials concerned would be briefing the top military and political leadership.

Indian Navy carried out test firing of 3,500-km-range K-4 ballistic missile from newly-inducted nuclear submarine INS Arighaat on Nov. 27.

CC @saturnax1.bsky.social @covertshores.bsky.social
aninews.in/news/nationa...

28.11.2024 12:46 — 👍 10    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0
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This volume, Understanding Pathways to Nuclear Escalation in Southern Asia, published by the Centre for Air Power Studies, explores potential triggers and scenarios for #nuclear use involving #India, #Pakistan, and #China.

27.11.2024 04:14 — 👍 9    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 0

My take on this Oreshnik business is that the Kremlin is not necessarily concerned about ATACMS et al strikes, since everybody, including the US and Russia, says that these won't change much. Rather, it is concerned about the implied intent. 1/

24.11.2024 00:06 — 👍 92    🔁 13    💬 8    📌 5
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The new nuclear "Basic Principles" just dropped (h/t @dvsteff.bsky.social). The key change is that it's the aggression that "poses critical threat to the sovereignty and/or territorial integrity" instead of "puts the very existence of the state in jeopardy" publication.pravo.gov.ru/document/000...

19.11.2024 08:48 — 👍 64    🔁 36    💬 3    📌 5
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2025 Fellows Scheme Applications Now Open! Are you interested in researching and having impact in nuclear arms control and disarmament? Do you want to join a community of scholars and practitioners exploring innovative ideas in the field of…

Are you an early career scholar/practitioner interested in researching and having impact in nuclear arms control and disarmament?

If so, apply now for the Atomic Anxiety in the New Nuclear Age 2025 Fellows Scheme. #NukeSky

atomicanxiety.com/2024/11/14/2...

18.11.2024 15:52 — 👍 21    🔁 17    💬 1    📌 3
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Topical.
Guide to #Ukraine's long-range missiles showing size comparisons www.hisutton.com/Ukraine-miss...

Ukraine can reportedly now strike more #Russian targets, as Russia increases its attacks on Ukraine's power infrastructure.

17.11.2024 20:43 — 👍 325    🔁 59    💬 8    📌 4
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Keeping a U.S.-China Conflict Under the Nuclear Threshold Given Beijing's secure second-strike nuclear capability, the United States must reconsider its approach to a conflict with China over Taiwan. It must be prepared for nuclear escalation and place more ...

Looking forward to reading this interesting series of studies from RAND on escalation management with China and how to keep conflict below nuclear level. www.rand.org/pubs/researc...

17.11.2024 11:33 — 👍 31    🔁 12    💬 0    📌 1

There are also things like NPT, IAEA safeguards, weapons- vs. reactor-grade plutonium, weapon design, etc. 2/2

13.11.2024 21:20 — 👍 10    🔁 5    💬 1    📌 0

Starter Pack for Nuclear Weapons History and Politics. Most of these folks are within the broader #NukeSky world.

If I've missed you, please let me know if you would like to be added or suggest anyone else who should be on this!
👉 go.bsky.app/KDiibQK

15.11.2024 06:21 — 👍 59    🔁 28    💬 22    📌 1

@mansoorahmed is following 20 prominent accounts