Fear built the nuclear bomb β only trust can ensure it is never used again
If the nuclear bomb was born out of fear, then ensuring it is never used again requires replacing fear with trust.
80 years into the nuclear age and "arms control has all but collapsed while reliable and trusted channels of communication between major nuclear adversaries are virtually non-existent." We're going to need more than luck to survive another 80 years.
theconversation.com/fear-built-t...
05.08.2025 21:32 β π 3 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Could we live with a nuclear-armed Iran? Reluctantly, yes
Both Israel and the US claim a nuclear-armed Iran would pose an existential threat. It wouldnβt. Hereβs why.
After being repeatedly asked about this for the better part of a fortnight, I figured I'd just write it up in one spot. It's not an endorsement of nuclear deterrence, nor a nuclear-armed Iran. But could we live with that outcome? Yep. theconversation.com/could-we-liv...
30.06.2025 00:40 β π 2 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0
Afternoon Briefing
Your daily download of everything you need to know about politics, national and global affairs. Patricia Karvelas asks politicians the tough questions and talks to key players and experts on the issue...
For Australia-based followers, I joined βͺ@patskarvelas.bsky.socialβ¬ on Afternoon Briefing yesterday (17/6) to discuss the Israeli strikes against Iran and the likelihood of this counter-proliferation strike leading to the much wider goal of regime change in Tehran: iview.abc.net.au/show/afterno...
18.06.2025 00:13 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Who Will Shape the Third Nuclear Era? β War on the Rocks
New ep on "Who Will Shape the Third Nuclear Era?" of the @warontherocks.bsky.social Thinking the Unthinkable pod w/ @nktpnd.bsky.social chatting to yours truly. warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
12.06.2025 06:42 β π 5 π 2 π¬ 0 π 0
Well, look what arrived in the post today - my Third Nuclear Age project merch! @erc.europa.eu It's been an absolute pleasure to have been part of the project since it started. Check out www.thethirdnuclearage.com
10.04.2025 04:35 β π 7 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Dorison & Lauffray's Long John Silver is amazing. www.cinebook.co.uk/long-john-si...
20.03.2025 09:10 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Really glad to have an article in this excellent special issue. Mine, with @andrewfutter.bsky.social, is on "The Return of Nuclear Great Power Politics (or why we stopped worrying about terrorists and the bomb)" www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
19.03.2025 21:39 β π 8 π 5 π¬ 0 π 0
Wa hey! Congrats mate. Will be terrific to have you back in Oz.
19.02.2025 05:16 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Both a very narrow reading of 19th century great power politics and a very generous reading of the Trump Admin's foreign policy.
17.02.2025 10:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
A New Trend in Geopolitics? Great Power Coordination in the Expansion of Spheres of Influence - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Good piece on the likelihood of a return to great power tacit collusion. However, big difference b/n Ukraine & Taiwan on the one hand and Greenland on the other given what a sphere in each does for Russia, China & the US. Greenland is the odd one out. www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianou...
17.02.2025 03:07 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
One of the more significant military developments in Asia over the last year.
30.01.2025 10:28 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Opinion | A LOOK AT . . . Missile Defense
It won't, but should be a lesson to all the advocates of "limited" missile defence (and there was a LOT of them) re: wishful thinking. Eg. from @washingtonpost.com @brookings.edu @carnegieendowment.org @csis.org tinyurl.com/bdfn2xm6 tinyurl.com/3xz3u3h9 tinyurl.com/yu3tvyhw tinyurl.com/44j5kucj 4/4
28.01.2025 09:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
There is absolutely nothing limited about US missile defence plans now and it is openly aimed at 'peers' and 'near-peers' as well as 'rogues.' It is exactly why some of us have said for years that any BMD (even "limited" and only aimed at "rogues") was a worse option than none. 3/4
28.01.2025 09:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
The official US position on this from Clinton onwards just never got to grips with the fact that they couldn't guarantee that it would only ever be limited and aimed at (what the US would unilaterally decide are) "rogue" states. The 2010 response to Russian concerns illustrated this perfectly. 2/4
28.01.2025 09:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
Trump's #IronDome executive order on missile defence proves what those of us who have consistently opposed any missile defence always knew: That promises of a "limited" system were just that - promises. Stability between nuclear-armed great powers can never rest only on unilateral promises. 1/4
28.01.2025 09:54 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
No idea who the old guy on the right is.
24.01.2025 03:02 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0
Co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment For International Peace. I spend a lot of time thinking about nuclear weapons, advanced nonnuclear technology, and escalation.
#CivMil relations; Director, @CdsnRcds; saideman.blogspot.com; Co-host, Battle Rhythm podcast cdsn-rcds.com/battlerhythm, International Relations professor. Used to study nationalism/ethnic conflict.
Peace & Security in the βAnthropoceneβ, from Low Earth Orbit π°οΈ to Antarctica π¦πΆ. Senior Researcher at Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (@prif.org). Head of Research Group βEcology, Climate, and Conflict.β
Formerly at VUW&UoA in Aotearoa New Zealand π³πΏ.
assistant professor at Charles University, studies coercion, war, strategy, and nuclear weapons
Deputy Director, Center for Security, Strategy and Policy Research. Associate Editor, Pakistan Politico. Former VF, Stimson Center. Alum: Wilson Center and CNS. Bylines: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, National Interest, The Diplomat, Atlantic Council
Professor of the Practice, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies | Associate, Harvard Project on Managing the Atom | nuclear arms control, nonproliferation, disarmament, technology
IR at ANU
International sociology | diplomacy | bureaucracy | Southeast Asia
Associate editor, The Hague Journal of Diplomacy
www.deepaknair.org
Hon. Lecturer SDSC, Australian National University | IR, nuclear weapons, fissile materials, South Asia, conventional deterrence | Formerly CISS Islamabad, Harvardβs Belfer Center, QAU | Author Pakistanβs Pathway to the Bomb | Views personal
Nederbelg in Brussel
non-practicing intellectual on war & tech
NL/EN
Lecturer in International Relations @ University of Sussex, Researching and teaching: gender, war, technology, feminism and IR.
Keeps a list of "Articles I wish I had Written" - send me yours!
Writes on Australia & Pacific Islands I climate change, geopolitics, diplomacy I Research Associate - UNSW Institute for Climate Risk & Response I Fellow - Climate Council of Australia I Views my own
Asst Prof | Leiden University | Author of βPeacekeeping in South Lebanonβ | International Relations | UN | Gender | WPS | Middle East | Peacekeeping | WIIS Netherlands | CCL | Imm Joudeh | She/Her | Website: vfnewby.com
Political scientist at the University of Melbourne. Formerly of other places. Research: war, intelligence, innovation, and normative change in international politics. Cat paparazzo. He/Him π¨π¦π³οΈβπβ‘οΈ
Historian of the Cold War and after. Wilson E. Schmidt Distinguished Professor, Henry A. Kissinger Center for Global Affairs, Johns Hopkins School for Advanced International Studies. The author of βTo Run the World.β
Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment. Defense analysis with a focus on the Russian and Ukrainian militaries.
ISW is a policy research organization focused on U.S. national security. Email: press@understandingwar.org. For more: https://linktr.ee/understandingwar
Advocate for more sensible nuclear weapons policies, firm believer that we should not live in a world where hundreds of millions could be dead in an hour. Associate Director for Government Affairs, Global Security Program, Union of Concerned Scientists
Defence Editor at The Economist.
Visiting Fellow at Department of War Studies, KCL. For speaking engagements: https://chartwellspeakers.com/speaker/shashank-joshi
Striving for a safer world since 1945
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