I am not sure I buy this just because of the sheer volume of US output. But per band or person, yeah, the UK punches way above its weight
23.07.2025 17:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0@macroinpieces.bsky.social
trying to figure out what makes the macroeconomy tick, from the bottom up. Views are own, not from Federal Reserve Board or Federal Reserve of Richmond. https://t.co/LWxBHWkxKJ
I am not sure I buy this just because of the sheer volume of US output. But per band or person, yeah, the UK punches way above its weight
23.07.2025 17:28 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0My advisor taught me one should always make sure you make an even number of mistakes
05.07.2025 06:00 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Nelson Cavaquinho has written the most heart wrenching songs about unrequited love in Brazilian samba. He also has this absolute gem, about a person who changed his life and βorganized a partyβ in him.
youtu.be/l8ruKVlpyqA?...
You mean you didnβt play happy birthday?
13.05.2025 18:55 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Always happy to find out that people estimate components with principles
08.04.2025 19:43 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0It sure is
17.03.2025 17:38 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Doing macro(economic) data refinement
17.03.2025 14:27 β π 2 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0I think there is a decent chance that the rise of professional classes complementary to analytical machines has peaked.
03.02.2025 14:04 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Fair. I guess the other way of putting it is how many humans!
03.02.2025 13:55 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Well but there is no such thing as zero human mistakes either.
But one outcome may be that you only need a small number of humans for the really high stake decisions
The Boeing example underlines also that an important part of the alignment problem is not about trusting the AI, but the corporation or entity that controls it
03.02.2025 01:19 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Problem is, if it becomes sufficiently cheaper to trust the machine and their errors sufficiently rare, many people may take the trade off. The big question for me is when you get to that point.
03.02.2025 01:18 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 2 π 0Totally agree. A Boeing can probably fly without a pilot, but would you trust it if you donβt have an expert inside who has their life at risk as much as you do if things go bad?
03.02.2025 01:18 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0If you are in SF for the ASSA meetings, Come tomorrow at 10:15 PST for the ISIR session in heterogeneity and aggregate dynamics, organized by Andres Blanco and Sergio Salgado!
04.01.2025 01:17 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Happy to see this in print!
31.12.2024 23:30 β π 8 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Thanks for organizing this. Please add me to the list
17.11.2024 12:00 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Very nice. Really erm thoughtful post! :-)
19.11.2023 12:11 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0My sister has written about it (and gets a section in the paper :-) )
24.10.2023 01:34 β π 1 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0Gun and Rose
20.10.2023 03:34 β π 0 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0Et tu @gmihalache.bsky.social ?
15.10.2023 21:35 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0I finally made the move. Last week in X was hell. Happy to go back to sane interactions around here!
15.10.2023 15:30 β π 7 π 0 π¬ 0 π 0