Felipe Schwartzman's Avatar

Felipe Schwartzman

@macroinpieces.bsky.social

trying to figure out what makes the macroeconomy tick, from the bottom up. Views are own, not from Federal Reserve Board or Federal Reserve of Richmond. https://t.co/LWxBHWkxKJ

847 Followers  |  221 Following  |  21 Posts  |  Joined: 15.10.2023  |  1.7658

Latest posts by macroinpieces.bsky.social on Bluesky

I am not sure I buy this just because of the sheer volume of US output. But per band or person, yeah, the UK punches way above its weight

23.07.2025 17:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

My advisor taught me one should always make sure you make an even number of mistakes

05.07.2025 06:00 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
"Minha festa", por Nelson Cavaquinho
YouTube video by TV Cultura "Minha festa", por Nelson Cavaquinho

Nelson Cavaquinho has written the most heart wrenching songs about unrequited love in Brazilian samba. He also has this absolute gem, about a person who changed his life and β€œorganized a party” in him.

youtu.be/l8ruKVlpyqA?...

15.05.2025 10:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

You mean you didn’t play happy birthday?

13.05.2025 18:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Always happy to find out that people estimate components with principles

08.04.2025 19:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It sure is

17.03.2025 17:38 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Doing macro(economic) data refinement

17.03.2025 14:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I think there is a decent chance that the rise of professional classes complementary to analytical machines has peaked.

03.02.2025 14:04 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fair. I guess the other way of putting it is how many humans!

03.02.2025 13:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Well but there is no such thing as zero human mistakes either.

But one outcome may be that you only need a small number of humans for the really high stake decisions

03.02.2025 03:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The Boeing example underlines also that an important part of the alignment problem is not about trusting the AI, but the corporation or entity that controls it

03.02.2025 01:19 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Problem is, if it becomes sufficiently cheaper to trust the machine and their errors sufficiently rare, many people may take the trade off. The big question for me is when you get to that point.

03.02.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

Totally agree. A Boeing can probably fly without a pilot, but would you trust it if you don’t have an expert inside who has their life at risk as much as you do if things go bad?

03.02.2025 01:18 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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If you are in SF for the ASSA meetings, Come tomorrow at 10:15 PST for the ISIR session in heterogeneity and aggregate dynamics, organized by Andres Blanco and Sergio Salgado!

04.01.2025 01:17 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Happy to see this in print!

31.12.2024 23:30 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for organizing this. Please add me to the list

17.11.2024 12:00 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Very nice. Really erm thoughtful post! :-)

19.11.2023 12:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

My sister has written about it (and gets a section in the paper :-) )

24.10.2023 01:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Gun and Rose

20.10.2023 03:34 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Et tu @gmihalache.bsky.social ?

15.10.2023 21:35 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I finally made the move. Last week in X was hell. Happy to go back to sane interactions around here!

15.10.2023 15:30 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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