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Atmospheric Sciences

@atmsciences.bsky.social

Weather and Climate; Stratosphere, UV, AQ, methane; hydrogen; EU CAMS, ESA remote sensing etc ; employed at knmi.nl ; If we would change, climate wouldn’t need to; @MichielvanWeele.bsky.social

2,698 Followers  |  535 Following  |  258 Posts  |  Joined: 19.11.2023  |  1.9316

Latest posts by atmsciences.bsky.social on Bluesky

This image of Hurricane Iona contains the infrared (band I5) product from NOAA-20 and is from 11:53 UTC on 2025-07-29.

This image of Hurricane Iona contains the infrared (band I5) product from NOAA-20 and is from 11:53 UTC on 2025-07-29.

Early yesterday morning, NOAA-20 captured high-resolution imagery of Hurricane Iona's small eye.

The storm has since weakened into a tropical storm.

30.07.2025 21:11 — 👍 17    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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The relative contribution of US CO2 emissions to global CO2 emissions is not the same anymore as 70-80 years ago, so the world’s rapid climate action and renewable transformation is now more relevant than stalling US climate policies

29.07.2025 21:30 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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There’s a new acid in our rain — should we be worried? Scientists and regulators are divided over the threat posed by rising levels of a chemical called TFA.

Trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) in rain derives from fluorinated gases (F-gases) - such as HFC-134a - used as refrigerants, in building insulation and in anaesthetic gases. Levels are (yet) low.
Potential impact still undecided www.nature.com/articles/d41...

27.07.2025 01:40 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Or first half of 2023

26.07.2025 15:05 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

First half of 2025 the EU had a 17% reduction in gas consumption it seems #eurostat

26.07.2025 15:02 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Emission-based forcing is the better metric from IPCC AR6 to calculate the present-day surface warming by methane emissions. Do not forget the ozone production. bsky.app/profile/atms...

26.07.2025 14:37 — 👍 12    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
Two graphs from the paper. 

The left graph shows US net greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 to 2022. The official EPA estimates decline fairly steadily from 6.6 gigatonnes per year in 2005 to 5.5 in 2022 (17% below 2005 levels), largely reflecting natural gas displacing coal for electricity generation. The adjusted estimates, which reflect independent measurements of methane emissions from oil and gas infrastructure, end at 6.3 gigatonnes per year in 2022 (only 5% below 2005 levels).

The right graph shows 2022 emissions increasing linearly with the assumed global warming potential of methane. Climate scientists are divided on whether to use the 100-year GWP, 20-year GWP, or something in between. With methane warming impacts assessed via the 20-year GWP, the central 2022 emissions estimate is 7.9 gigatonnes per year - 20% *above* the EPA's official 2005 estimate.

Caption: Figure 1: Left: United States net greenhouse gas emissions over time. Right: Scaling of 2022 net emissions with methane’s GWP. After adjustment to reflect recent measurements of methane emissions from natural gas infrastructure, United States net emissions remain nearly as high as their 2005 level.

Two graphs from the paper. The left graph shows US net greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 to 2022. The official EPA estimates decline fairly steadily from 6.6 gigatonnes per year in 2005 to 5.5 in 2022 (17% below 2005 levels), largely reflecting natural gas displacing coal for electricity generation. The adjusted estimates, which reflect independent measurements of methane emissions from oil and gas infrastructure, end at 6.3 gigatonnes per year in 2022 (only 5% below 2005 levels). The right graph shows 2022 emissions increasing linearly with the assumed global warming potential of methane. Climate scientists are divided on whether to use the 100-year GWP, 20-year GWP, or something in between. With methane warming impacts assessed via the 20-year GWP, the central 2022 emissions estimate is 7.9 gigatonnes per year - 20% *above* the EPA's official 2005 estimate. Caption: Figure 1: Left: United States net greenhouse gas emissions over time. Right: Scaling of 2022 net emissions with methane’s GWP. After adjustment to reflect recent measurements of methane emissions from natural gas infrastructure, United States net emissions remain nearly as high as their 2005 level.

New paper. I wish this wasn't the case, but most progress on reducing US greenhouse gas emissions is likely spurious. Why? EPA underestimates methane emissions from oil and gas. Relevant today as Repubs vote to gut IRA's methane monitoring/mitigation program. 🧵

authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...

30.06.2025 14:17 — 👍 299    🔁 157    💬 16    📌 23

Emission-based forcing is the better metric from IPCC AR6 to calculate the present-day surface warming by methane emissions. Do not forget the ozone production. bsky.app/profile/atms...

26.07.2025 14:37 — 👍 12    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 0
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Excerpt

23.07.2025 12:31 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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The Future of Weather Prediction Is Here. Maybe.

The Future of Weather Prediction Is Here. Maybe. (Pay wall) www.nytimes.com/2025/07/13/b...

23.07.2025 12:29 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
KNMI - De invloed van het weer op grootschalige energiedroogtes in Europa

The influence of weather on large-scale energy droughts in Europe (webpage in Dutch, consider to translate foreign language webpages through your browser)

23.07.2025 12:17 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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Interesting results in the CAMS Air Quality assessment report 2024 on the source apportionment for the traditional dirty fossil ports of Rotterdam and Antwerp. The largest sectoral contribution during the 2 studied episodes stems
from…. agriculture(!)

22.07.2025 16:54 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Our #CopernicusAtmosphere Monitoring Service has released it's 10th assessment report on air quality in Europe! Read our article for more on 2024 ozone levels and particulate matter, and how our data informs European policies related to air quality. atmosphere.copernicus.eu/cams-release...

18.07.2025 14:10 — 👍 19    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 0
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East Asian aerosol cleanup has likely contributed to the recent acceleration in global warming - Communications Earth & Environment Restrictions of atmospheric aerosol and precursor emissions in East Asia have contributed to the observed global surface warming acceleration since 2010, according to Earth System Model simulations is...

‘East Asian aerosol cleanup has likely contributed to the recent acceleration in global warming’

14.07.2025 13:16 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
Hennie Kelder -- In Memoriam

In Memoriam Prof. Hennie Kelder (1944 - 2025)

14.07.2025 09:47 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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State of the UK Climate in 2024 This report provides a summary of the state of the UK's climate in 2024. It is one of a series of annual reports published in the International Journal of Climatology (IJC) since 2017. It provides th...

State of the UK climate 2024. About redwood forests and more.

14.07.2025 09:37 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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4.6 Billion Years On, the Sun Is Having a Moment In the past two years, without much notice, solar power has begun to truly transform the world’s energy system.

This is a great article by Bill McKibben @billmckibben.bsky.social on how solar power hit an inflection point and has now become an unstoppable force.

A must read.

www.newyorker.com/news/annals-...

14.07.2025 05:17 — 👍 196    🔁 66    💬 7    📌 1
TANGO greenhouse gas satellite
YouTube video by SRON TANGO greenhouse gas satellite

Watch this short explainer youtu.be/E2-J6LB0xLI

11.07.2025 08:45 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Dutch partners start construction of TANGO climate satellite - SRON | Space Research Organisation Netherlands On July 9, a Dutch consortium of ISISPACE, TNO, SRON and KNMI are starting construction of the Twin Anthropogenic Greenhouse gas Observers (TANGO). This is a satellite system developed by ESA that measures global greenhouse gas emissions of CO2 and methane at source level. TANGO builds on the successful TROPOMI satellite mission. TANGO takes things a step further: sources responsible for around 70% of greenhouse gas emissions are monitored. TROPOMI only captures 5%, with a focus on methane. TANGO measures greenhouse gas emissions from individual sources such as power plants, landfills and factories.

Dutch partners start construction of TANGO climate satellite to observe Greenhouse gases CO2 and methane, next to NO2 for fingerprinting CO2 related to (fossil fuel, biomass) burning

11.07.2025 08:40 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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As NASA's budget shrinks, Europe doubles down on Earth science: 'Climate change is the defining challenge of our generation' If NASA must pull back, Europe is ready to step up — and do so with open arms.

As NASA's budget shrinks, Europe doubles down on Earth science

13.07.2025 06:43 — 👍 93    🔁 31    💬 4    📌 1
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Windhoos van 14 juli 1975 Natuurblog met foto's

Another personal historical reconstruction (Spijk) bartjestruun.blogspot.com/2013/08/wind...

13.07.2025 06:20 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
KNMI - Windhozen door de jaren heen Lichte windhozen komen in ons land vrijwel jaarlijks voor. Enkele grote windhozen en valwinden hebben in Nederland slachtoffers en veel schade veroorzaakt.

Strong whirlwinds in The Netherlands are quite rare so far www.knmi.nl/kennis-en-da...

13.07.2025 06:19 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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The reconstructed path of the 14 July 1975 whirlwind based on damage reports.

13.07.2025 06:08 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

14 July 1975. Groningen area. Reconstruction of the path of a whirlwind / light tornado. Maybe the strength of a whirlwind or tornado could be estimated from historical damage reports. Many trees seemed still standing up in this case.

13.07.2025 06:04 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
TANGO greenhouse gas satellite
YouTube video by SRON TANGO greenhouse gas satellite

Watch this short explainer youtu.be/E2-J6LB0xLI

11.07.2025 08:45 — 👍 3    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
Dutch partners start construction of TANGO climate satellite - SRON | Space Research Organisation Netherlands On July 9, a Dutch consortium of ISISPACE, TNO, SRON and KNMI are starting construction of the Twin Anthropogenic Greenhouse gas Observers (TANGO). This is a satellite system developed by ESA that measures global greenhouse gas emissions of CO2 and methane at source level. TANGO builds on the successful TROPOMI satellite mission. TANGO takes things a step further: sources responsible for around 70% of greenhouse gas emissions are monitored. TROPOMI only captures 5%, with a focus on methane. TANGO measures greenhouse gas emissions from individual sources such as power plants, landfills and factories.

Dutch partners start construction of TANGO climate satellite to observe Greenhouse gases CO2 and methane, next to NO2 for fingerprinting CO2 related to (fossil fuel, biomass) burning

11.07.2025 08:40 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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Vandaag start de bouw van de TANGO-satellieten: een ESA-missie waarbij Nederland een grote rol speelt. Twee satellieten gaan wereldwijd broeikasgasemissies van CO2 en methaan meten op bronniveau. TANGO maakt zichtbaar wat onzichtbaar is. 🔗 www.knmi.nl/over-het-knm...

09.07.2025 14:03 — 👍 27    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 1
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Aanzienlijke afkoeling recordwarme water Middellandse Zee #upwelling

11.07.2025 06:33 — 👍 5    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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Hurricane forecasters are losing 3 key satellites ahead of peak storm season − a meteorologist explains why it matters - Gettysburg Connection Chris Vagasky, University of Wisconsin-Madison

‘Hurricane forecasters are losing 3 key satellites ahead of peak storm season − a meteorologist explains why it matters’

09.07.2025 20:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

These are awkward tendencies for meteorology, the observing systems and the provision of weather warnings. A lack of trust in people with (whatever) knowledge and/or working with (whatever) technology might crumble a complex society that is built on science and rational argumentation

09.07.2025 19:15 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

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