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Causal Inference

@statsmethods.bsky.social

Statistical Epidemiologist, Leeds Beckett University, UK - constantly wondering what's wrong with humanity

523 Followers  |  310 Following  |  70 Posts  |  Joined: 21.11.2024  |  1.9301

Latest posts by statsmethods.bsky.social on Bluesky

WATCH: Minneapolis resident and U.S. citizen Aliya Rahman describes being detained by ICE
YouTube video by PBS NewsHour WATCH: Minneapolis resident and U.S. citizen Aliya Rahman describes being detained by ICE

I’m sharing Aliya’s entire opening statement. We owe it to her, and those who no longer have a voice, to watch. youtu.be/zrcW8SZtYpI?...

04.02.2026 03:44 β€” πŸ‘ 19409    πŸ” 8797    πŸ’¬ 698    πŸ“Œ 718
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Palestine Action protesters not guilty of defence firm burglary The group are cleared of aggravated burglary over the alleged raid at an Elbit Systems warehouse.

Pleased to see the jury make this decision.

We need to have eyes wide open this is exactly why the Government wants to abolish juries.

People protesting against a genocide are not the criminals here - it's the politicians who continue to provide cover.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

04.02.2026 12:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3450    πŸ” 1061    πŸ’¬ 80    πŸ“Œ 56
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Three UK research councils suspend funding opportunities Temporary blockΒ on grant applications by MRC, BBSRC and EPSRC heightens concerns over funding cuts

Scientists are concerned that curiosity-driven research is set to be further cut back after three research councils confirmed they have paused funding opportunities. @jgro-the.bsky.social reports #academicsky #researchfunding
https://ow.ly/lpvO50Y67ku

30.01.2026 16:08 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 15    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 3

A subscription to @bylinetimes.bsky.social is justified by this article alone! #Palantir isn’t simply a software provider it’s a political ideology, it’s founder #PeterThiel has an agenda that’s completely at odds with a progressive society Labour claims to represent.
@carolecadwalla.bsky.social

04.02.2026 13:06 β€” πŸ‘ 70    πŸ” 34    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1
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'Peter Mandelson's Fixing of Keir Starmer’s Visit to Spytech Firm Palantir Raises Serious Questions' Palantir was represented by a lobbying firm founded by Mandelson, Iain Overton and Max Colbert report

If Mandelson is being investigated for his Epstein connections, he must also be investigated for his Thiel connections, because they ran a joint fund when Mandelson fixed Starmer's visit to Palantir
bylinetimes.com/2025/04/25/p...

04.02.2026 12:41 β€” πŸ‘ 1749    πŸ” 906    πŸ’¬ 73    πŸ“Œ 58
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Nigel Farage announces plans to slash vital benefit to fund 5p cheaper pints Nigel Farage's party had promised to back scrapping the two-child benefit limit, but now Reform intends to funnel the support to the most vulnerable into slashing prices in pubs

Nigel Farage is going to "save pubs" by cutting 5p off the price of a pint of beer...

The Β£3 billion cost will be funded by reinstating the two-child benefit limit.

This might be the worst policy anyone has ever come up with.

www.mirror.co.uk/news/politic...

04.02.2026 08:03 β€” πŸ‘ 1799    πŸ” 650    πŸ’¬ 329    πŸ“Œ 85
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The Green Party, the Party of the Working Class.

02.02.2026 18:10 β€” πŸ‘ 167    πŸ” 54    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 7
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Boycott the World Cup....

01.02.2026 10:30 β€” πŸ‘ 878    πŸ” 292    πŸ’¬ 28    πŸ“Œ 0
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ICE plans to be camped out at the Super Bowl looking for migrants Department of Homeland Security to send federal agents the Super Bowl between Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots in California but insists the law-abiding β€˜have nothing to fear’

Dear World: what will it take to convince you to boycott the World Cup and Olympics? Does this help?

www.independent.co.uk/news/world/a...

28.01.2026 15:56 β€” πŸ‘ 1268    πŸ” 605    πŸ’¬ 45    πŸ“Œ 56
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More than 37 members of King Donald the Mad's administration are implicated in the latest Epstein dump. That's why Steve Bannon said that if they lose the midterms, they're all going to prison.

To do that the Dems must flip 20 House seats [likely] and 51 in the Senate [tough, but not impossible].

02.02.2026 18:28 β€” πŸ‘ 30    πŸ” 17    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 1

A member of the Abu Dhabi royal family secretly invested $500 million into the Trump family’s crypto company, gaining a major ownership stake.

Months after inking the deal, the U.S. gave the UAE access to 500,000 advanced AI chips per year.

The corruption is breathtaking.

02.02.2026 18:22 β€” πŸ‘ 2503    πŸ” 966    πŸ’¬ 88    πŸ“Œ 38
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Steve Bannon boasted about Farage ties in exchange with Epstein Revelation comes as image surfaces of Bannon with Matt Goodwin, candidate for Farage's Reform UK in crucial Gorton and Denton by-election

Our media rightly rages about the already-disgraced Mandelson and Andrew but wrongly fails to hold others in that murky moneyed network to account.
Our democracy is under attack from these dismal people right now. Do not be exposing that a decade too late.

www.middleeasteye.net/news/steve-b...

02.02.2026 18:41 β€” πŸ‘ 826    πŸ” 383    πŸ’¬ 28    πŸ“Œ 10
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Reform council spends Β£600k on eight free parking spaces for senior councillors | LBC The majority of staff, who will not be able to use the free parking facilities available to their senior colleagues, will still be expected to pay to park every day

Β£600k on eight free parking spaces, six reserved for Reform politicians, whilst removing free parking for junior Council staff.

Total snouts in troughs from Reform. www.lbc.co.uk/article/refo...

02.02.2026 10:23 β€” πŸ‘ 464    πŸ” 205    πŸ’¬ 20    πŸ“Œ 10

Really great to see Zack Polanski talking about a public health approach to drugs on Kuenssberg this morning. The war on drugs failed a long time ago, it’s time to help people who need it, not criminalise them.

01.02.2026 10:11 β€” πŸ‘ 413    πŸ” 56    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 2

Former Texas Lege reporter here. A Dem hasn't held this seat since 1990. Tarrant is the safest of red suburban counties. There is no way the TX and national GOP aren't in panic mode right now.

01.02.2026 05:29 β€” πŸ‘ 8759    πŸ” 2200    πŸ’¬ 166    πŸ“Œ 120

Labour were too scared to let their preferred local candidates stand because Starmer is weak.

Zack Polanski is strong enough to let other people share the limelight and principled enough to allow local democracy to decide.

01.02.2026 09:54 β€” πŸ‘ 89    πŸ” 16    πŸ’¬ 11    πŸ“Œ 1
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INSANE: #Epsteinfiles reveal a sworn declaration by a woman who witnessed sexual abuse of minor girls by #DonaldTrump. She says he threatened to kill the girl and her whole family if she spoke up. This document is dated 6 MONTHS BEFORE the 2016 ELECTION!!

31.01.2026 23:12 β€” πŸ‘ 429    πŸ” 266    πŸ’¬ 15    πŸ“Œ 7
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Boycott Trump's World Cup: Sign the petition to move the games now! I am unbelievably chuffed that the Scottish Men's team, alongside England are qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. Since childhood I have always loved a World Cup. My childish excitement however is bein...

Scotland & England fans: the 2026 World Cup is set to be hosted in Trump’s USA. We can’t stay silent. Sign the petition calling for a boycott unless it's move, to protect players & fans! you.38degrees.org.uk/petitions/bo...

01.02.2026 10:18 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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"Most of the Epstein Files remain sealed. But those we have seen have given us a rare and brief glimpse into the depravity and immorality of the ruling class...It is our moral duty to demand better."

open.substack.com/pub/harryecc...

01.02.2026 10:18 β€” πŸ‘ 27    πŸ” 10    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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So why would a Kazakhstani billionaire be trying to secretly bankroll Reform?

www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...

01.02.2026 10:27 β€” πŸ‘ 521    πŸ” 278    πŸ’¬ 37    πŸ“Œ 18

"While federal agents pinned Kelly down, given Pretti’s recent shooting, Ericson feared they could kill her husband.

'I kept telling them he’s a U.S. citizen. They said, β€˜We don’t give a fβ€”,’ she said"

31.01.2026 15:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
graph tracking democratic backsliding is occuring more quickly in the US than elsewhere.

graph tracking democratic backsliding is occuring more quickly in the US than elsewhere.

New from me: It is not just that the US is experiencing democratic backsliding. Authoritarianism has emerged more quickly than in other benchmark countries.

This graph from John Burn-Murdoch sums it up. 🧡
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/autocracy-...

31.01.2026 15:12 β€” πŸ‘ 2434    πŸ” 1073    πŸ’¬ 75    πŸ“Œ 100
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Federal Agents Arrest Don Lemon Over Minnesota Church Protest

I thought this was fake, but apparently, they've arrested Don Lemon for reporting from Minneapolis.

I'm not a huge Don Lemon fan, but this is totalitarian nonsense meant to threaten anyone who reports on the regime's horrors.

30.01.2026 13:11 β€” πŸ‘ 919    πŸ” 261    πŸ’¬ 34    πŸ“Œ 34
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How ICE Already Knows Who Minneapolis Protesters Are

A Minnesota woman observing ICE agents in her car was cornered on one-way streets. An agent approached, called her by nameβ€”citing facial recognition. Days later, her Global Entry and TSA privileges were revoked, with no explanation.

30.01.2026 11:55 β€” πŸ‘ 16442    πŸ” 10050    πŸ’¬ 843    πŸ“Œ 1376
Post image 30.01.2026 02:50 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Woman who recorded shooting of Alex Pretti through car windshield speaks out | CNN Anderson speaks with Kayla Schultz who recorded the shooting of Alex Pretti through a car windshield. She’s now speaking out for the first time. More from their conversation tomorrow night at 8p ET.

Woman who recorded shooting of Alex Pretti through car windshield speaks out
www.cnn.com/2026/01/28/u...

Side note - fuck @cnn.com @cnn.com.web.brid.gy

30.01.2026 13:17 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 13    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Homicides at lowest level in nearly 50 years, ONS statistics show The 499 homicide cases in the year to September were the lowest in England and Wales since 1977.

Let's hope this positive news gets as much attention as the people who try to convince us that the UK is a murder ravaged hellscape.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

29.01.2026 14:49 β€” πŸ‘ 1783    πŸ” 546    πŸ’¬ 31    πŸ“Œ 28
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The UK government didn't want you to see this report on ecosystem collapse. I'm not surprised | George Monbiot It took an FOI request to bring this national security assessment to light. For β€˜doomsayers’ like us, it is the ultimate vindication, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot

Please spread this far and wide, as stories don't get much bigger than this. When the government blocks even the intelligence services from telling us we're heading for environmental catastrophe, you know we have a problem. A very big problem.
Thank you.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

28.01.2026 07:18 β€” πŸ‘ 3104    πŸ” 2196    πŸ’¬ 61    πŸ“Œ 144
Zack Polanski: Keir Starmer has Failed. The Green Party Will Replace Labour
YouTube video by PoliticsJOE Zack Polanski: Keir Starmer has Failed. The Green Party Will Replace Labour

It's Greens Vs Reform

Hope Vs Hate.

We must make sure hope wins.

youtu.be/s5HdfCCaUgE?...

28.01.2026 15:27 β€” πŸ‘ 2118    πŸ” 597    πŸ’¬ 124    πŸ“Œ 30

GB News reporter Matt Goodwin is Reform's candidate for Gorton And Denton.

Vote Green to keep this scumbag out.

27.01.2026 18:01 β€” πŸ‘ 417    πŸ” 96    πŸ’¬ 13    πŸ“Œ 4

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