Social Complexity of Climate Change

@sc3team.bsky.social

Our work on #private sector #climate #adaptation investments is highlighted in a Research Briefing by @natclimate.nature.com! www.nature.com/articles/s41... It is an honor for me and the @erc.europa.eu SCALAR team. Here is the original research article: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

On November 5th we are hosting a public lecture with Lord Nicolas Stern. He will challenge the outdated idea that we must choose between climate action and development.

Register here: www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminst...

Do older Americans work more when their housing wealth declines?

What do older workers do when the value of their home falls?

For many, home equity is their biggest asset. When housing prices fall, most can’t work more to recover the loss. Instead, they claim Social Security earlier, which can reduce lifetime benefits. #EconSky #housing #socialsecurity

Happy to see our PNAS paper out! Thanks to all the modelers from different families - IAM, CGE, ABM - who came together for this work. Grateful to @tatianafilatova.bsky.social and @sc3team.bsky.social for leading this effort and showing what's possible when different methodologies come together

Screenshot of the article showing the title "The Power of bridging decision scales: model coupling for advanced climate policy analysis" and the 18 authors listed below.

🚨🙌 Out today, a new @pnas.org perspective on analysing various decisions scales using #ABM, #IAM, #CGE models, led by the great @tatianafilatova.bsky.social

TLDR: We stand stronger together in assessing vertical and horizontal decision making scales and impacts!

👉 www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Thanks @marieyesse.bsky.social also for all your great inputs! Time to celebrate 🎉 @sc3team.bsky.social

The European State of the Climate 2024 report is OUT!
A joint effort by @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social & @wmo-global.bsky.social

Read it & explore all additional resources which include a Graphics gallery, infographics, animations! Enjoy 😊 climate.copernicus.eu/esotc/2024
#dataviz #climate #ESOTC2024

Today I presented at the #SRA-E Benelux meeting on #transformational impacts of large environmental shocks on #regional #economies. Thank you for the nice questions, comments, and the inspiring sessions!

@sc3team.bsky.social @tatianafilatova.bsky.social

Supported by VIDI grant 191015.

Looking forward to the special workshop on #physical #climate #risks at #SPUDM, bringing together great colleagues from #behavioral sciences, #economics, & #engineering. @krefeldschwalb.bsky.social @smconstantino.bsky.social #EconSky 🌍 Tnx to @mikhailsirenko.bsky.social & @sc3team.bsky.social

Climate Change Made Turkey, Greece Wildfires 10 Times More Likely Hot, dry and windy conditions in the eastern Mediterranean will happen more often in a warmer world.

🌡️ Scientists from @wwattribution.bsky.social say this summer’s wildfires in Greece, Turkey & Cyprus were 22% more intense & 10x more likely due to climate change.

Events that were once 1-in-100-year now happen every 20 years. 🔥

#ClimateCrisis #Wildfires

Here is a reminder that already last year 44 experts directed a powerful warning to policy makers about the risk of #AMOC shutdown. What more can we do to get heard?
It’s like the saying that every disaster movie starts with scientists warning and being ignored.

YouTube video by Arctic Circle Is the AMOC Shutting Down? - Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

The risk of an #AMOC shutdown - explained in 15 minutes at the Arctic Circle in Reykjavik on Saturday.
I had the honor of presenting a letter by 44 experts warning of that underestimated risk to the Icelandic 🇮🇸 climate minister Guðlaugur Þór Þórðarson.
youtu.be/k0FUZKQhU6U?...

2 people standing next to a poster

Interested in #TippingPoints in social simulation? Check out our poster (with @jakkerman.bsky.social and @tatianafilatova.bsky.social ) today at #ssc2025. We propose a procedure for how to detect tipping in (social) simulation data.

Supported by VIDI grant 191015.

Congratulations Thorid!

person next to presentation slides

person next to presentation slides, pointing at a figure

Today I presented at #SSC2025 on the role of social norms and interactions for transformational climate change adaptation of households. Reach out if you want to know more!
@tatianafilatova.bsky.social @sc3team.bsky.social

Supported by VIDI grant 191015 & ERC Scalar grant 758014.

Very timely @thorid.bsky.social , @ataberna.bsky.social & Nicholas!

🌍Across Europe, cities experienced a heatwave in late June-early July 2025.

Temperatures in London reached 34.7°C, while other parts of Europe saw record-breaking heat 🧵

Whither Global Development? Ones and Tooze · Episode

Adam Tooze podcast on state of UN's SDGs -

"At the global level, none of the 17 goals are currently on course to be achieved by 2030"
dashboards.sdgindex.org/chapters

discussion of failure of public attempts to "de-risk" investments to catalyze private finance.
foreignpolicy.com/podcasts/one...

Nordic countries hit by ‘truly unprecedented’ heatwave Scientists record longest streak of temperatures higher than 30C in region in records going back to 1961

Nordic countries hit by ‘truly unprecedented’ heatwave

Join us in beautiful Delft for 2 fully-funded PhD positions with #ERC SPHINX to explore how #systemic #climate #risks emerge via dif. channels in #society & #economy: (1) regional economies, apply tinyurl.com/ClimateFirms by Sep 7; (2) housing markets, apply tinyurl.com/ClimateHM by Sep 15 #econsky

Absolutely sweltering start to July for Europe.

Climate change has a heavy hand, making this extreme/record heat more likely.

Between Tues–Wed in the UK, Spain, France & Portugal:
• 146.9M people faced heat made 3x more likely
• 104.2M faced heat made almost impossible(5x) without climate change

Happy to share that the second article of my PhD thesis has been published!

We explore current #climate change #adaptation investments in Europe across countries, economic sectors and hazard types.

@tatianafilatova.bsky.social, @chatzivasileiadis.bsky.social, @sc3team.bsky.social

Our @sc3team.bsky.social effort is in @natureportfolio.nature.com Communications Earth & Environment www.nature.com/articles/s43...! After 2 years of co-developing this dataset with kmatrix.co, we can now get insights into #private #sector #climate change #adaptation #investments. #EconSky #IPCC

Our 2025 global trends in climate change litigation report shows that climate change litigation is reaching the highest courts in the world.

This video illustrates how the number of global cases has changed over the last few years. www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminst...

To provide insights on the price effects of biased people risk #perceptions & effect of #climate labels on #home prices our team will use #survey microdata on #behavior & #complex #economic #agent-based model. Stay tuned for results #EconSky 🌍 @tpmtudelft.bsky.social

Excited to start the 'Resilient Delta Initiative' project on #climate / #klimaatlabel to help people grasp #risks when they buy #homes in #climate-sensitive areas & to empower #adaptation to reduce #financial #inequalities: lnkd.in/egXQhYYd. @krefeldschwalb.bsky.social @mikhailsirenko.bsky.social

Join us for an inspiring seminar on Investing in Nature for Human Prosperity with Carlos Manuel Rodríguez, CEO & Chairperson of the Global Environment Facility (GEF).

📅 April 2, 15:00–16:15 CET
📍 Stockholm Resilience Centre / Online
🔗 Register by March 31 to attend! buff.ly/DZgnlf9

Recently, we welcomed another new member to our team!
@lunemassop.bsky.social joined SC3 as a PhD candidate. Her research is part of the #NL2120 project and will focus on identifying the socioeconomic #TippingPoints involved in scaling #NatureBasedSolutions through an #AgentBasedModel.
Welcome Lune!

Are you working on social simulations of #structuralChange, #transformations or (social) #tipping points?
Consider submitting your work to the Special Track on Modeling Transformative Change at #SSC2025!
ssc2025.tbm.tudelft.nl
Deadline for submissions is April 11th!