Luíza Cerioli

#Florence+themachine named the new tour EVERYBODY SCREAMS because that is how I felt now for more than an hour trying to get tickets on lousy #eventim and failing miserably. Until they fix these nightmarish websites that privileges scammers, concert going is becoming an anxiety inducing experience.

Nenhuma foto e NENHUMA menção ao Tarcísio...

German Social Democracy is not dead folks

O governo parece não ter entendido que ou mobiliza suas bases na rua de fato ou pode entrar em 2026 já derrotado. Problema: o PT tem medo de rua pq não entendeu 2013 até hj. Teme "perder o controle" do povo na rua. Meu feeling: ou supera esse medo agora e dá um salto ou 26 vai ser um massacre.

Brazil's GDP is one eighth of the US's.

Eat every politician that claims it's impossible to have free public healthcare.

Ah, so the new Sabrina Carpenter's song is actually the soundtrack for this whole shit show?
Manchiiiiiiiild 🎶

Only public reaction from major European leader I could find (so far) is from Starmer.

Not only suggest little influence, but also little warning despite conducting talks with Iran on Friday.

Also no pre-coordinated response despite knowing for days US strikes could happen

Alt text: A screenshot from Sean Hannity’s Instagram story shows a massive fiery explosion lighting up the night sky over a distant landscape, with a large white flash and rising smoke resembling a blast cloud. A dark silhouette of a rooftop and satellite dish is visible in the foreground.

Sean Hannity, and many others, are posting this video claiming it is the explosion at Fordow after the US military bombed it.

Its not.

This is from Syria in December 2024.

Remember when we agreed that the environment catastrophe was the biggest threat for humanity? Yes, with B2 aircraft that refill midair to bomb and risk radiation, starving people while bombing them and destroying infrastructure everywhere while threatening to increase oil prices we will arrive there

I see many folks making many uncaveated claims about what happens next.

I also see the best and most seasoned experts admitting that they don’t know what’s coming—and advising us not to buy what such fully confident pundits are selling.

Trust the latter view. We’re in largely uncharted territory.

"Once you guys plot against my family and that was tough. I have big guns and I am much more powerful than you so you will see it one day!"

De acordo com algumas infos, a aeronave B2 saiu dos EUA e voou 37 hrs direto, abastecendo no ar. E tiveram também outros movimentos que dava para cravar ontem ainda cedo que algo ia passar nas próximas 24h. Não acho que foi um vazamento, o q importa é a alta capacidade de monitoramento que temos hj.

Military strikes make people's brains fall out of their heads. Why would anyone believe anything Trump says?

We have no idea at this point if Iran's nuclear facilities remain intact or if they were "totally obliterated."

"war of choice" is a great term. I highly recommend to read @sethabramson.bsky.social take on how this war is personal to Trump and has been long in the making (as he himself just announced). He betrails the MAGA movement for basically revenge thirst and delusion of what it means to be powerful.

Unless it falls? There are close to zero chances that if (big if) it falls, there will be a) a new stable regime b) that is friendly with the West and c) that will give up the nuclear program.
It was a massive dumb idea.

O que podemos esperar do conflito Israel-Irã? Madrugada foi marcada por troca de ataques entre os dois países

Estive hoje na @globo-news.bsky.social falando novamente sobre Irã e Israel e as perspectivas (nada esperançosas) para a segunda semana de conflito.

g1.globo.com/globonews/co...

Catastrophic Success by Alexander B. Downes | eBook | Cornell University Press In Catastrophic Success, Alexander B. Downes compiles all instances of regime change around the world over the past two centuries. Drawing on this impressive data set, Downes shows that regime change....

Top of mind for me was @profdownes.bsky.social's @cornellupress.bsky.social book "Catastrophic Success: Why Foreign-Imposed Regime Change Goes Wrong." It's right there in the title. www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/book/9781501...

A must read for this Wednesday

7/ My assessment as his biographer is that at this point only one thing can stop a war with Iran that will define the next two decades of US foreign policy and cause countless deaths around the world: if the MAGA base so loudly yells about this that Trump worries his entire movement could collapse.

YouTube video by CNN Brasil Análise: Há pouca chance de pressão externa derrubar o regime iraniano, diz especialista | CNN 360º

Argumento que mesmo com mt insatisfação com o regime entre iranianos, a possibilidade que o povo iraniano apoie as medidas de Israel é muito baixa. O interesse é de destronar o atual regime por vias democráticas ou revolucionárias internas e nao por pressao externa
www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8FX...

YouTube video by CNN Brasil “É preciso evitar uma escalada do conflito entre Israel e Irã”, diz pesquisadora | CNN 360º

Ontem na @cnn-brasil.bsky.social discuti a escalada de conflito entre o Ira e Israel, no qual eu reforco o interesse israelense de mudanca de regime e questiono se, mesmo com o colapso do regime, o problema entre os dois paises seria resolvido (1/2)
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vnV...

We can say that the goal of regime change from Israel is obvious by now..

Acabo de ser entrevistada sobre o conflito entre Irã e Israel pelo melhor time da @globo-news.bsky.social! Que baita experiência, muito obrigada pelo convite!

The Islamic Republic of Iran has now confirmed that IRGC intelligence chief Mohammad Kazemi and his deputy, Hassan Mohaqiq, were killed in Israeli air strikes.

Tive minha estreia na TV brasileira hoje falando um pouco para a #CNN Brasil sobre a necessidade de olhar para a história criticamente para entender o que passa entre Irã e Israel hoje. Nervosismo a parte, espero que tenha trazido uma perspectiva importante às vezes esquecida sobre o projeto nuclear

Senior dog taking a little break on a walk.

all of us at the end of this shitty week

Not "preemptive."

Illegal.

There is no evidence of an actual or imminent armed attack by Iran.

This is a blatant violation of the UN Charter.

It has no legal basis in the right of self-defense.

Now we wait to see how many civilians will die because of this insanity.

David, famous for his undisclosed nuclear arsenal

The SHOCK of the guy's face by realizing that big artists can actually be normal, decent people and be OK with it?