Much scarier than the Burevestnik test
www.wsj.com/world/russia...
@proftalmadge.bsky.social
MIT professor, Brookings senior fellow, series editor at Cornell Press ⎮ Foreign policy, military operations, civil-military relations, nuclear weapons, authoritarianism ⎮ Views are my own ⎮ Book: The Dictator's Army https://www.caitlintalmadge.com/
Much scarier than the Burevestnik test
www.wsj.com/world/russia...
Quite a double standard here: "Despite concluding that an armed conflict is underway, the memo also says the operation is not covered by the War Powers Resolution" www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
14.11.2025 12:26 — 👍 9 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0Civil-military relations again rears its head as a key variable in the generation of authoritarian military power...
Good quotes from @josephtorigian.bsky.social here
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/12/w...
Significant development-- could pave the way for introduction of U.S. nuclear weapons to Japanese territory
www.reuters.com/world/china/...
Great debate on "gulf" between academic community that believes in "theory of the nuclear revolution, strategic stability, counter-population or minimum deterrence & US gov't...who saw enduring value in damage limitation strategies or counterforce" strategicsimplicity.substack.com/p/debating-d...
06.11.2025 08:41 — 👍 48 🔁 8 💬 2 📌 1🧵New piece from me @goodauth.bsky.social on risks of striking Venezuela, focused on the added risk from Trump team of loyalists. Hint: it has to do with centralized role of Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, and the incompetence of advisers like SecDef Hegseth. 1/
goodauthority.org/news/trump-m...
Brilliant and deeply researched essay by Lindsey O'Rourke and Alex Downes on the many dangers of regime change operations.
www.foreignaffairs.com/venezuela/re...
One of those rare times the President should trust his instincts
04.11.2025 23:14 — 👍 2 🔁 2 💬 2 📌 0Rare MAGA on MAGA violence over Congressional control of defense policy
www.defenseone.com/policy/2025/...
My latest with Mike O'Hanlon on why a military campaign against Venezuela will likely fail:
nationalinterest.org/feature/bomb...
Good development but need more details to know what it really means. Who can actually connect rapidly with whom here is a big deal....
www.militarytimes.com/news/pentago...
Sam also recently discussed this research with the Cato Institute: www.cato.org/multimedia/p...
02.11.2025 14:38 — 👍 3 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0And if you want more, check out our 2020 research article on this topic in the Washington Quarterly: ssp.mit.edu/publications...
02.11.2025 14:37 — 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0Does acting like an irrational maniac make Trump a more effective negotiator?
In a word, no.
My new @lawfaremedia.org piece with Samuel Seitz explains why.
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/why-...
History demonstrates why the administration’s approach of “strategic uncertainty” is unlikely to produce better deals, write Samuel Seitz and @proftalmadge.bsky.social.
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/why-...
This is good.
taskandpurpose.com/news/vet-gro...
I never knew Halloween could feel heavy, but it's hard to slap on a smile and gear up for a holiday about gorging on candy when millions of kids are about to lose SNAP benefits.
31.10.2025 11:39 — 👍 98 🔁 19 💬 5 📌 0Last year, I wrote an article for @foreignaffairs.com on why the US stands to lose the most from a resumption of nuclear testing.
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
As I was saying… 👇🏻
30.10.2025 15:39 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Trump continues to be both arsonist and fireman.
30.10.2025 15:23 — 👍 10 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0The issue isn't ownership of the shipyard, it's industrial base capacity to build incredibly complex nuclear-powered submarines, something this shipyard has never done before.
30.10.2025 15:18 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0Wut. This is actually way more puzzling than Trump's tweet. 🤔 How on earth are we going to build ROK nuclear-powered subs in... *checks notes*... Philadelphia? If it were that easy we wouldn't be having so much difficulty building our own and the ones we owe Australia.
www.ft.com/content/a6ee...
Congress pushing back against Hegseth attempts to restrict military communications with Congress, a bedrock of healthy civilian control of the military. 👏👏👏
www.defenseone.com/policy/2025/...
Ordering now. Huge congrats! Teaching an entire civil-military relations course this term...
30.10.2025 14:14 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Can't wait to read this!
30.10.2025 14:13 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Agreed and well stated
30.10.2025 14:09 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0But again, FWIW, we already test delivery vehicles regularly, so who knows. 🤷♀️ But the reference to Pentagon doing it (not DOE) and the fact that Russia conducted a notable missile test last week lead me to this interpretation.
30.10.2025 13:28 — 👍 9 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1FWIW it's not in US interest to normalize nuclear testing. We have the data we need from many earlier tests, but China doesn't, so China has the potential to gain much more than we do from resumption of testing. But I suspect POTUS was referencing testing *delivery vehicles* anyway-- not warheads.
30.10.2025 13:26 — 👍 99 🔁 25 💬 12 📌 1