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Daniel Citron

@dtcitron.bsky.social

Applied mathematics for epidemiology | Infectious disease modeling | Digital data for health | HIV | Malaria Opinions my own

866 Followers  |  140 Following  |  187 Posts  |  Joined: 24.07.2023  |  1.7593

Latest posts by dtcitron.bsky.social on Bluesky


It’s named for the field ecologist who identified it, Stephanie TailΓ©d

19.02.2026 17:48 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Article: The political effects of X’s feed algorithm

Abstract: Feed algorithms are widely suspected to influence political attitudes. However, previous evidence from switching off the algorithm on Meta platforms found no political effects1. Here we present results from a 2023 field experiment on Elon Musk’s platform X shedding light on this puzzle. We assigned active US-based users randomly to either an algorithmic or a chronological feed for 7 weeks, measuring political attitudes and online behaviour. Switching from a chronological to an algorithmic feed increased engagement and shifted political opinion towards more conservative positions, particularly regarding policy priorities, perceptions of criminal investigations into Donald Trump and views on the war in Ukraine. In contrast, switching from the algorithmic to the chronological feed had no comparable effects. Neither switching the algorithm on nor switching it off significantly affected affective polarization or self-reported partisanship. To investigate the mechanism, we analysed users’ feed content and behaviour. We found that the algorithm promotes conservative content and demotes posts by traditional media. Exposure to algorithmic content leads users to follow conservative political activist accounts, which they continue to follow even after switching off the algorithm, helping explain the asymmetry in effects. These results suggest that initial exposure to X’s algorithm has persistent effects on users’ current political attitudes and account-following behaviour, even in the absence of a detectable effect on partisanship.

Article: The political effects of X’s feed algorithm Abstract: Feed algorithms are widely suspected to influence political attitudes. However, previous evidence from switching off the algorithm on Meta platforms found no political effects1. Here we present results from a 2023 field experiment on Elon Musk’s platform X shedding light on this puzzle. We assigned active US-based users randomly to either an algorithmic or a chronological feed for 7 weeks, measuring political attitudes and online behaviour. Switching from a chronological to an algorithmic feed increased engagement and shifted political opinion towards more conservative positions, particularly regarding policy priorities, perceptions of criminal investigations into Donald Trump and views on the war in Ukraine. In contrast, switching from the algorithmic to the chronological feed had no comparable effects. Neither switching the algorithm on nor switching it off significantly affected affective polarization or self-reported partisanship. To investigate the mechanism, we analysed users’ feed content and behaviour. We found that the algorithm promotes conservative content and demotes posts by traditional media. Exposure to algorithmic content leads users to follow conservative political activist accounts, which they continue to follow even after switching off the algorithm, helping explain the asymmetry in effects. These results suggest that initial exposure to X’s algorithm has persistent effects on users’ current political attitudes and account-following behaviour, even in the absence of a detectable effect on partisanship.

Figure 2. ITT estimates of feed-setting changes on engagement and political attitudes. ITT effect estimates of switching the algorithm on and off (in s.d.). Left, effect of moving from the chronological to the algorithmic feed for users initially on the chronological feed. Right, effect of moving in the opposite direction for users initially on the algorithmic feed. For each outcome, the results of two specifications are reported. Blue, unconditional estimates with robust s.e., controlling only for the initial feed setting and, where applicable, pre-treatment outcome levels. Orange: conditional estimates, controlling for pre-treatment covariates using GRFs; 90% and 95% CIs are reported. Numerical effect sizes and P values correspond to the conditional estimates (all tests are two-sided). The unit of observation is respondent. From top to bottom, sample sizes are n = 4,965, n = 3,337, n = 4,965, n = 4,965, n = 4,596, n = 4,596 and n = 4,850. Tests are described in Methods. Supplementary Information Table 2.16 reports the exact numerical point estimates, s.e., CIs and sample sizes for every specification. All outcomes are standardized. Additional results are presented in Supplementary Information section 2. PCA, first principal component from principal component analysis.

Figure 2. ITT estimates of feed-setting changes on engagement and political attitudes. ITT effect estimates of switching the algorithm on and off (in s.d.). Left, effect of moving from the chronological to the algorithmic feed for users initially on the chronological feed. Right, effect of moving in the opposite direction for users initially on the algorithmic feed. For each outcome, the results of two specifications are reported. Blue, unconditional estimates with robust s.e., controlling only for the initial feed setting and, where applicable, pre-treatment outcome levels. Orange: conditional estimates, controlling for pre-treatment covariates using GRFs; 90% and 95% CIs are reported. Numerical effect sizes and P values correspond to the conditional estimates (all tests are two-sided). The unit of observation is respondent. From top to bottom, sample sizes are n = 4,965, n = 3,337, n = 4,965, n = 4,965, n = 4,596, n = 4,596 and n = 4,850. Tests are described in Methods. Supplementary Information Table 2.16 reports the exact numerical point estimates, s.e., CIs and sample sizes for every specification. All outcomes are standardized. Additional results are presented in Supplementary Information section 2. PCA, first principal component from principal component analysis.

X's algorithm is in fact doing what you think it's doing. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

18.02.2026 17:24 β€” πŸ‘ 1873    πŸ” 728    πŸ’¬ 30    πŸ“Œ 86
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Meet the Metal Snail from the Bottom of the Ocean Live specimens of Chrysomallon squamiferum (known as the β€œscaly-foot snail”) from the Longqi vent field in the Southwestern Indian Ocean

Meet the Metal Snail from the Bottom of the Ocean ocean.si.edu/ocean-life/i...

12.02.2026 21:16 β€” πŸ‘ 76    πŸ” 23    πŸ’¬ 4    πŸ“Œ 5

If you can live through February, you’ll live another year.

11.02.2026 02:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

From the Latin meaning β€œOreo-toothed.” Very relatable.

29.01.2026 22:18 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
QUIXOTE

QUIXOTE

Time to retire

29.01.2026 20:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Dares us to ask - what if Heathcliff were freakishly tall?

26.01.2026 19:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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William H. Foege, Key Figure in the Eradication of Smallpox, Dies at 89

Highly recommend William Foege’s memoir β€œThe Fears of the Rich, the Needs of the Poor” on public service through public health.

Thank you for your career of service to Americans and to the world.

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/u...

25.01.2026 19:59 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I found this at the store a few years ago and I cannot believe it is real still

22.01.2026 17:05 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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wikipedia turns 25 today! the last unenshittified major website! backbone of online info! triumph of humanity! powered by urge of unpaid randos to correct each other! somehow mostly reliable! "good thing wikipedia works in practice, because it sure doesn't work in theory" - old wiki adage

15.01.2026 13:47 β€” πŸ‘ 12544    πŸ” 4032    πŸ’¬ 95    πŸ“Œ 305

β€œI will accept electronic communication from students, but only by Telex or telegram”

07.01.2026 20:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Origami bird sitting on origami capybara

Origami bird sitting on origami capybara

Capybara and bird friend. #capybara model by Hiroaki Kobayashi, folded from papyrus. Homage to www.tumblr.com/animalssitti... #origami

03.01.2026 23:16 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

β€œLord, please make my enemies ridiculousβ€œ

16.11.2025 12:53 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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This work uses a mathematical model of malaria transmission in Bangladesh. This model includes a spatial component for tracking human movements, and uses data collected from mobile phones as an input for that model. The result is a map of source-sink dynamics throughout the region.

08.11.2025 17:34 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

New paper out: "Identifying #malaria elimination strategies in the presence of human movement in Bangladesh" - led by Hsiao-Han Chang and and @ayesha-mahmud.bsky.social.

rdcu.be/eOXse

08.11.2025 17:31 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

All of the samurai are muppets and the peasants are humans.

Kermit is Kambei. Sam Eagle is Kyuzo. Animal is Kikuchiyu.

03.11.2025 21:33 β€” πŸ‘ 26    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Plague doctor with correlation=causation sign

Plague doctor with correlation=causation sign

Happy Halloween from this plague doctor

01.11.2025 00:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Satoshi Kamiya #octopus, folded from 4 inch papyrus #origami

28.10.2025 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Came here to post this

28.10.2025 19:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

They interviewed him on Hard Fork too, and it was some wild gravy. I was aghast at how manic his claims were, and how poorly reasoned his arguments were.

16.10.2025 07:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Photograph taken of an exhibit at the Zambia National Museum of a Ground-to-Air Rocket used in witchcraft.

The caption evokes a world of invisible combat by witchcraft, where practitioners trade barrages of magic missiles.

15.10.2025 13:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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The demolition of the Bastille was undertaken by a private citizen, Pierre-FranΓ§ois Palloy, who became quite wealthy selling souvenirs and even giving guided tours of the site.

This is his portrait.

13.10.2025 15:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Here are some Bastille stone buttons, on display at Paris’s Carnavelet Museum

13.10.2025 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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One of my favorite things that I learned on my French Revolution history tour of Paris is that when they dismantled the Bastille, they repurposed the stones. Some of them were carved into maquette sculptures of the Bastille, or other knicknacks, and sold as souvenirs.

First Bastille day had merch.

13.10.2025 15:34 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

They mentioned that they deoxygenate the water and keep it very cold. The isopods can only stay in the open tank for a little while so they don’t get too much oxygen.

I don’t think I got a clear answer on how they survive in sea level pressure.

07.10.2025 12:22 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The last time I was at the Seattle Aquarium, they did a live feeding with the Giant Pacific Octopuses there, and they were not shy at all! Most of the GPOs that I’ve seen at aquariums are asleep or hiding during the day. It was pretty special.

06.10.2025 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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I checked in on them a few weeks ago and they said to say hi.

Seriously amazing to see them at surface level, I had so many questions for the docent about how they keep them alive.

06.10.2025 20:50 β€” πŸ‘ 33    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1
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And last but not least, here is the site of Robespierre’s house, now a Louboutin.

06.10.2025 20:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Here is the Place de la Concorde, former site of the guillotine and now where Napoleon stores one of his obelisks.

06.10.2025 20:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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Here is the former site of the Salle du Manège, where the National Assembly met (and where the terms of left, right, center referred to literal locations in the room). Currently a Loewe gallery for Paris Fashion Week.

06.10.2025 20:20 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

@dtcitron is following 20 prominent accounts