Felix Rusche

Felix Rusche Wins FBK-IRVAPP 2025 Best Paper Award | Felix Rusche has been awarded the prestigious FBK-IRVAPP Best Paper Award 2025 for his research showing how community radio in India can empower women and reduce gender inequality.

🎉 Cue the confetti, ...
CDSE doctoral graduate @felixrusche.bsky.social has been awarded the FBK-IRVAPP Best Paper Award 2025 for his research showing how access to media can serve as a trans­formative tool in advancing gender equality. Congratulations, Felix! 👏 (1/2)

Thank you so much @mircotonin.bsky.social! I am very honoured to receive the award.

The Consumer Welfare Effects of Online Ads: Evidence from a 9-Year Experiment (Forthcoming Article) - Research on the effects of online advertising on consumer welfare is limited due to challenges in running large-scale field experiments. We analyze a long-running field experim...

Forthcoming in AER: Insights: "The Consumer Welfare Effects of Online Ads: Evidence from a 9-Year Experiment" by Erik Brynjolfsson, Avinash Collis, Daniel Deisenroth, Haritz Garro, Daley Kutzman, Asad Liaqat, and Nils Wernerfelt. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Graph of the actual DAX stock market index and media-reported DAX, 2017-2024. The performance of stock markets often appears worse in the daily news than it actually is. This column argues that this negative news bias arises from two factors: (1) journalists tend to focus on major events, and (2) the daily performance of stock market indices is negatively skewed. It shows that about half of the negativity bias in news can be explained by the distribution of stock returns, even when the negative reporting bias is not explicitly present. Media consumers should be aware of the big news bias and look beyond the daily news cycle to stay informed.

The performance of stock markets often appears worse in the daily news than it actually is because of 2 main factors: journalists tend to focus on major events, and the daily performance of indices is negatively skewed.
Antonio Ciccone, @felixrusche.bsky.social
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky

Please find the paper and short summaries on my website: felixrusche.github.io
We are happy about any feedback.

If progress is characterised by many small, incremental improvements with few yet larger setbacks, news reporting will focus on the latter. We also generalise these findings to other indices.

The remaining half is explained by a focus on large events in combination with negative skewness in daily changes. As such, we quantify what Rosling et al., @hannahritchie.bsky.social, and @ourworldindata.org have argued for in the past:

We decompose this 20-point difference by simulating news reporting with and without negative reporting bias. We find that even when muting the negative reporting bias half of the gap remains.

ZDF journalists mention daily changes in Germany’s DAX on 29% of days. While the DAX increased by a daily avg. of 4 index points from 2017-24, it fell by 10 points when mentioned on the news and increased by 10 points when not mentioned. Adding this up results in the above figure.

A case in point is Germany’s most-watched nightly news – the ZDF heute Journal. The nightly news include a 1:30 min segment reporting economic and financial news from the stock market in Frankfurt.

To motivate: From 2017 to 2024, the main national stock market indices rose in the US and the five largest European economies. Yet, the average daily performance of all six indices turns from positive to negative when weighted by coverage of the countries’ ten most-read outlets.

Do the media focus on the negative? If so, why? We study this in the context of stock market reporting and identify and quantify an overlooked bias. A thread:

America’s Oligarchs Are Trump’s Achilles’ Heel The best thing that countries targeted by Trump's punitive tariffs can do is condition market access for foreign multinationals and billionaires on fair taxation.

Once again, I must stress that there is a pretty obvious answer to this madness, which is to have a big, fat tariff on US oligarchs and their multinationals!

gabrielzucman.substack.com/p/americas-o...

This is absolutely horrifying. Turkish graduate at Tufts student is picked up and removed to undisclosed destination by ICE, apparently because she wrote a pro-Palestinian oped.

"Very thrilled to share my new working paper on..."

www.cesifo.org/en/publicati...

www.cesifo.org/en/publicati...

Opinion | Musk Said No One Has Died Since Aid Was Cut. That Isn’t True. A journey through the front lines of global poverty shows that when the world’s richest men slash aid for the world’s poorest children, the result is sickness, starvation and death.

The world's richest man stole food from the world's poorest children. Now they are beginning to die
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

LinkedOut? A Field Experiment on Discrimination in Job Network Formation* Abstract. We assess the impact of discrimination on Black individuals’ job networks across the United States using a two-stage field experiment with 400+ f

More high-quality evidence that the world is not blind to race... absent intervention, there is not equality of opportunity.

academic.oup.com/qje/article-...

Competition and Consumer Discrimination Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Economists often use models that show firm discrimination cannot withstand market competition. The discriminating firm is unprofitable. But what happens when it’s consumers that have discriminatory preferences? In this case, the market doesn’t solve the problem. A 🧵 www.nber.org/papers/w33547

NEW: The actions of Trump and Vance in recent weeks highlight something under-appreciated.

The American right is now ideologically closer to countries like Russia, Turkey and in some senses China, than to the rest of the west (even the conservative west).

My column: www.ft.com/content/3046...

Barring any last minute change, the 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada are going into effect tomorrow

What should these countries (and, tomorrow, the European Union) do? 🧵

This is massive

The Asad Islam — GDRI saga Understanding what we know and need to know

It has been weirdly quiet on social media ever since the Institute4Replication dropped its first two of 15 reports about the questionable research practices of Asad Islam-GDRI and scores of his collaborators. Here is my take on what we know and need to know.

a-ortmann.medium.com/the-asad-isl...

If you don't pay close attention to German politics, you don't know how much of a political earthquake it is to see a _CDU_ leader making this kind of statement.

New data from Facebook reveals interesting patterns of cross-gender social ties around the world, from Michael Bailey, Drew M. Johnston, Theresa Kuchler, Ayush Kumar, and Johannes Stroebel https://www.nber.org/papers/w33480

🚨CfP: 5th Discrimination & Diversity Workshop, 2-3 Jun '25

Keynotes by Alexander Cappelen & Claudia Olivetti,

Sessions on LGBTQ+ (chaired by Billur Aksoy), Gender (Pamela Campa), AI (Andreas Leibbrandt), Environment (Katrin Millock) and Migration (@jeromevalette.bsky.social)

Deadline: 17 Mar '25

If you're looking to break from doomscrolling at end of week - check out this fascinating new special issue in @FeministEcon edited by @BilgeErten @DuvvuryN @bilgeerten.bsky.social + Ramnarain on perspectives on conflict, disaster + violence against women #econtwitter #econsky

🚨 #Data alert 📣 We just released #ParlLawSpeech – full texts of more than 40k bills, 28k laws, and 3 mio. parliamentary speeches from 7 countries (AT, CZ, DE, DK, ES, HR, HU) and the EU! If you study democracy with #TextAsData / #NLP methods, this is for you! A short 🧵 (1/3) #PoliSkyData #polisky

list of banned keywords

🚨BREAKING. From a program officer at the National Science Foundation, a list of keywords that can cause a grant to be pulled. I will be sharing screenshots of these keywords along with a decision tree. Please share widely. This is a crisis for academic freedom & science.