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James G

@orth.ca.bsky.social

@james_in_to on the old site

499 Followers  |  69 Following  |  907 Posts  |  Joined: 18.08.2023  |  1.7268

Latest posts by orth.ca on Bluesky

Record against Rockies for Teams in Postseason Position

BOS: 3-0
CHC: 3-0
DET: 3-0
HOU: 2-1
LAD: 6-0
MIL: 4-2
NYM: 6-0
NYY: 2-1
PHI: 7-0
SDP: 5-1
SEA: 0-0
TOR: 1-0

Total: 42-5

05.08.2025 16:42 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
https://www.thestar.com/sports/blue-jays/from-the-brick-works-to-the-rom-toronto-is-a-hit-for-blue-jays-players/article_06dc0710-ea2a-4b73-884c-7eb71fef6f61.html

Wilner has a piece in the Star on some of the Jays' favourite locations to visit on their off-days. t.co/HfTx3bEilW

05.08.2025 15:15 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Chart Description: Line chart showing Blue Jays postseason probabilities
based on different win totals in their final 48 games of the season.
Three lines represent: Playoff Probability, Bye Probability (1st + 2nd place),
and Home Team Probability (1st + 2nd + 3rd + 4th place).

Key Findings:
Playoff Probability Quartiles:
β€’ 25th percentile: 56.0% (at 18 wins)
β€’ 50th percentile: 99.0% (at 22 wins)
β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 22 wins)

Bye Probability Quartiles:
β€’ 25th percentile: 2.0% (at 15 wins)
β€’ 50th percentile: 39.0% (at 25 wins)
β€’ 75th percentile: 98.5% (at 31 wins)

Home Team Probability Quartiles:
β€’ 25th percentile: 9.0% (at 18 wins)
β€’ 50th percentile: 95.0% (at 25 wins)
β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 27 wins)

β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% playoff chance: 19
β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% bye chance: 26

Chart Description: Line chart showing Blue Jays postseason probabilities based on different win totals in their final 48 games of the season. Three lines represent: Playoff Probability, Bye Probability (1st + 2nd place), and Home Team Probability (1st + 2nd + 3rd + 4th place). Key Findings: Playoff Probability Quartiles: β€’ 25th percentile: 56.0% (at 18 wins) β€’ 50th percentile: 99.0% (at 22 wins) β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 22 wins) Bye Probability Quartiles: β€’ 25th percentile: 2.0% (at 15 wins) β€’ 50th percentile: 39.0% (at 25 wins) β€’ 75th percentile: 98.5% (at 31 wins) Home Team Probability Quartiles: β€’ 25th percentile: 9.0% (at 18 wins) β€’ 50th percentile: 95.0% (at 25 wins) β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 27 wins) β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% playoff chance: 19 β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% bye chance: 26

Blue Jays Postseason Probabilities vs Wins.
www.playoffstatus.com/mlb/bluejays...

05.08.2025 11:42 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That’s not my order, just listing them

05.08.2025 03:37 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

How would you order player of the game top 3?

Lauer
Bichette
Clement

05.08.2025 03:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Team Batting Game Stats Finder - Baseball | Stathead.com Find batting stats for teams with most number of home runs in a game, and more filter criteria on Stahead.com

This is the first time since 2017 the Jays have 50+ PA with 5 or fewer strike outs.

stathead.com/tiny/kDW6B

05.08.2025 03:33 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Team Batting Game Stats Finder - Baseball | Stathead.com Find batting stats for teams with most number of home runs in a game, and more filter criteria on Stahead.com

This is the fourth time in history the Jays have 25+ hits.
stathead.com/tiny/UErmx

05.08.2025 03:30 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Yankees lose, they’re 2 losses from being out of a playoff position.

05.08.2025 03:17 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Jeez the Rockies know how to find the 5.5 hole.

05.08.2025 03:01 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I honestly can't remember the last time we could just relish in a massive lead for a few innings.

05.08.2025 03:00 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Devin Williams just gave up a game tying homer to Joc with 1-out in the bottom of the ninth.

05.08.2025 02:54 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I already had to edit this mid-post because of Bichette's homer as Kirk and Bo swapped places. Now Kirk jumps back over Bo.

05.08.2025 02:52 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

AL Batting Average Ranks
5 Bichette
6 Kirk
9 Springer
10 Guerrero Jr.
11 Clement

05.08.2025 02:48 β€” πŸ‘ 13    πŸ” 4    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

9-0, dangerous lead at Coors.

05.08.2025 01:46 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

Top of the third an hour into the game. Much easier to accept now up by 6.

05.08.2025 01:37 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The crack of that bat was lovely.

05.08.2025 01:32 β€” πŸ‘ 6    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Spelled Bowden Francis weirdly here.

05.08.2025 00:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is Bo's first time ever at Coors, which seems weird.

05.08.2025 00:40 β€” πŸ‘ 9    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

Bad out of town scoreboard, hoping for a win!

05.08.2025 00:38 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Also, anything you can do to prevent that piece of shit's orange face from appearing in my feed would be appreciated.

I loathe news sites that have his pic as the main one so the Bluesky card displays it.

04.08.2025 17:22 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Dodgers series probables as currently lined up:

Scherzer vs Kershaw (!)
Bassitt vs Snell
Lauer vs Yamamoto

04.08.2025 17:11 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

They don’t put east coast @ west coast games on later than 8 though?

04.08.2025 13:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is the last week of late games for 2025. πŸ‘πŸΌ

04.08.2025 13:10 β€” πŸ‘ 15    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
Chart Description: Line chart showing Blue Jays postseason probabilities
based on different win totals in their final 49 games of the season.
Three lines represent: Playoff Probability, Bye Probability (1st + 2nd place),
and Home Team Probability (1st + 2nd + 3rd + 4th place).

Key Findings:
Playoff Probability Quartiles:
β€’ 25th percentile: 53.0% (at 19 wins)
β€’ 50th percentile: 99.0% (at 23 wins)
β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 23 wins)

Bye Probability Quartiles:
β€’ 25th percentile: 2.0% (at 15 wins)
β€’ 50th percentile: 36.0% (at 25 wins)
β€’ 75th percentile: 97.5% (at 32 wins)

Home Team Probability Quartiles:
β€’ 25th percentile: 7.8% (at 19 wins)
β€’ 50th percentile: 93.5% (at 25 wins)
β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 28 wins)

β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% playoff chance: 20
β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% bye chance: 27

Chart Description: Line chart showing Blue Jays postseason probabilities based on different win totals in their final 49 games of the season. Three lines represent: Playoff Probability, Bye Probability (1st + 2nd place), and Home Team Probability (1st + 2nd + 3rd + 4th place). Key Findings: Playoff Probability Quartiles: β€’ 25th percentile: 53.0% (at 19 wins) β€’ 50th percentile: 99.0% (at 23 wins) β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 23 wins) Bye Probability Quartiles: β€’ 25th percentile: 2.0% (at 15 wins) β€’ 50th percentile: 36.0% (at 25 wins) β€’ 75th percentile: 97.5% (at 32 wins) Home Team Probability Quartiles: β€’ 25th percentile: 7.8% (at 19 wins) β€’ 50th percentile: 93.5% (at 25 wins) β€’ 75th percentile: 99.0% (at 28 wins) β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% playoff chance: 20 β€’ Minimum wins needed for >50% bye chance: 27

Blue Jays Postseason Probabilities vs Wins.
www.playoffstatus.com/mlb/bluejays...

04.08.2025 12:43 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Also trying not to think about Ernie running into an out.

03.08.2025 20:43 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Talk all you want about the offense, free passes via walks and HBP proved extremely costly.

Also KC made some big time defensive plays.

03.08.2025 20:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What's up with YRod?

03.08.2025 20:20 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Oh is this going to be one of those 7-3 extra inning losses? Didn’t miss those.

03.08.2025 20:15 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Same, but it at least feels like a win-win vs lose-lose which can happen some times.

03.08.2025 16:22 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I found the lack of SLG with first and third interesting but then you realize the runner at first is usually being held on so the right side is wide open and so Bo just places it there instead of going all out on his swing.

03.08.2025 16:19 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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