Extreme & Convective Events

Snow Outlook - 7th January:

Snow/sleet showers will track into parts of Ireland, Wales N Eng & into Midlands. Slight dusting / covering could be seen within these LOW warning zones.

Heavy snow showers will track into Scotland bringing 4-8cm.

YouTube video by ConvectiveUK ⚡️ Snow Outlook - Monday 6th January ❄️

Little bit of delay to the video due to a technical issue. Here is our first video, so please let us know what you think! 😁

👉 youtu.be/mefOunRHSQo?...

Snow Outlook - Mon/Tue 6/7th January:

Snow showers will track into England, Scotland & Ireland where widespread dusting/slight covering could be seen in heaviest bursts, with 4-8cm expected across N Scotland, Wales, N & far SE parts of Ireland.

Video coming shortly!

ConvectiveUK ⚡️ A small group of amateur meteorologists dedicated to tracking and forecasting: ⚡ Thunderstorms 🌬️ Wind Events ❄️ Snow Events Subscribe for regular updates, insights, and our forecasts delivered with ...

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⚡️Thunderstorms / Convective Risks
🌬 Wind Events
❄️ Snow Events

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#UKWeather

Big Announcement At 2.30pm 🚨📢

Snow dumping down outside Castlebar now. Conditions challenging in several parts of the county at the moment, including Achill, which is rare!

#Sneachta
#BígíCúramach | #TógGoBogÉ

Wind Outlook - Wednesday 25th Sept:

A few frontal systems move round the Irish Sea, and along the occluded front in the SE, the isobars being pushed tightest likely towards the southern area of Wales. Where they could be channelled into forcing a few gusts in excess of 50mph. 🌬️

Wednesday 25th September:

A front will track across the country with the chance of occasional embedded lightning affecting England, quickly followed by a potent trough.

This trough will track into SW Eng heading E bringing active thunderstorms.

Update - Tomorrow Morning

Hey Everyone, 👋

Whilst convective risks has died down, we have been busy making a few new graphics:
- Wind Outlook
- Snow Outlook

A different style to how the risks are shown have been presented on these outlooks, examples can be found bellow.

Let us know what you think! 😆

2/2

The high pressure will advect north with lower pressure across Europe. Looking at a few models, there seems to be a drastic increase in convective risk during Thursday & Friday.

Exact details are uncertain however the risk *MAY* increase later in the week.

Convective risk seems to reduce over the coming days as higher pressures builds in bringing clear, sunny, dry & warm weather. Temperatures are expected to rise into the low/mid 20s.

1/2

Sunday 15th September:

An occluded front will track into W & NW Scotland bringing the risk of thunderstorms as MU CAPE rises throughout the day up to 600J/KG.

Lightning will remain sporadic. ⚡️

Friday 6th September:

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms expected across S England especially active & severe ones across Sussex stretching towards Cardiff.

These storms could become severe bringing frequent lightning & flooding to many parts of S/SE England. ⚡️

A few showers maybe the odd thunderstorm is expected to develop in the coming hours across Wales stretching into the Midlands.

Lightning will remain low if not nothing due to the low amount of CAPE. However a few strikes can't be ruled out ⚡️

Tuesday 27th August:

Intense showers are expected to form overnight Monday across Ireland & Scotland where some instability exists.

Sporadic lightning is expected especially across SW/W parts of Ireland where higher instability exhibits.

Risk remains very low though. ⚡️

Friday 23rd Morning:

Storm Lillian is expected to affect northern England during the early hours alongside thunderstorms & sporadic lightning expected as it moves through.

Lightning is expected to remain limited, however it could pep up for a time.

Thundery showers across Scotland today as SB CAPE rises to 600J/KG in places that could allow sporadic lightning to take place. ⚡️

There was no time to publish an outlook today, however a low risk certainly an AOI would've been issued for Scotland.

Saturday is one to watch….

With low pressure development off base of trough signalled near S UK, potential for a significant rainfall event.

TORRO are now on bluesky. Please follow and share. #UKWeather

Aerosol optical depth forecast chart showing a plume of high values indicating smoke from Canadian wildfires crossing the Atlantic Ocean to Europe.

Long-range transport of smoke from W Canada #wildfires across the North Atlantic reaching NW Europe in the last couple of days with high aerosol optical depth values (AOD > 1) in the #CopernicusAtmosphere T+12 forecast from 18 August 00 UTC. Latest chart ➡️ atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/packa...

Stunning 😍

Hey Blue sky, new on this platform 💙

A threat of possible thunderstorms across Wales mainly staying within the Bristol Channel, Irish / Celtic Sea early hours tomorrow.

Looking closely at this threat this evening, an outlook may be required ⚡️

Last night's hazy sun setting over Dublin courtesy of Canadian wildfire smoke. Could see the large sunspots on the solar disc very clearly with my eyes.

I like these kinds of sunsets but the sky was awfully dull yesterday from all the smoke. Can't wait for blue skies to return.