@timallinger.bsky.social
PhD Candidate, Aarhus University | Political Science | Democratic attitudes & norms, political extremism, and causal inference | He/him
🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar.
We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads.
What we find is disturbing:
osf.io/preprints/os...
🚨 My first publication, co-authored with Sylvia Kritzinger & Susanna Bastaroli, is out! In our chapter, we explore how Italians re-elaborate their country’s role in the WWII & the Holocaust.
Available online & in print (EN): www.wallstein-verlag.de/978383535866...
🧵 Some key findings: 👇
🛎️New WP with @morganlcj.bsky.social @timallinger.bsky.social and @danbischof.bsky.social
Against the surge of conjoints and other hypothetical experiments in relation to democratic backsliding, we study the consequences of using hypotheticals versus real-world scenarios.
osf.io/preprints/os...
Paper abstract: Are some political preferences more costly to express? In this study, we investigate the extent to which individuals face social exclusion for showing far-right political beliefs. We run a field experiment in Madrid where confederates initiate an interaction with random passers-by. We randomize whether the confederate wears a neutral (white) t-shirt or a t-shirt of different parties. Results show that passers-by are more likely to avoid interacting with confederates wearing the t-shirt of a far-right party (Vox). This finding holds both when we compare this condition against the neutral t-shirt one or the ones where confederates wear a t-shirt of other parties. Analyses of heterogeneity show that this effect is particularly strong in a left-wing neigbourhood. These findings contribute to theories about peer pressure and social punishment, providing evidence of how those processes can extend to the expression of different political views. They provide new insights into the micro-level mechanisms that underpin broader political trends, particularly the rapid and sometimes unexpected electoral growth of far-right parties.
I am very excited to share a new working paper coauthored with @amaliaab.bsky.social.
Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.
osf.io/preprints/os...
1/8
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
Now available Open Access:
📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion?
🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
You wonder how the CDU/CSU playing with the "Brandmauer" to AfD last week has influenced German voters? @mafaldapratas.bsky.social @jmfernandes86.bsky.social & I have you covered. We surveyed sample of 2,000 German voters. 🧵with first results 👇. Spoiler: It did not go down as well as CDU/CSU hoped.
07.02.2025 08:49 — 👍 164 🔁 79 💬 5 📌 12
🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...
Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
🚨 Out now in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social
: "Citizens' Preferences for Multidimensional Representation". Jack Blumenau, Fabio Wolkenstein & I investigate citizens' preferences regarding 6 dimensions of representation using surveys conducted in 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇩🇪. Short 🧵(1/10) doi.org/10.1017/S15375
New working paper!
How do protesters' demographics and policy preferences affect politicians' responsiveness to their demands? I find no effects of shared demographics btw. protesters and politicians, but asymmetric responsiveness to left-right policy preferences: gupea.ub.gu.se/handle/2077/...
🚨 New @apsrjournal.bsky.social Paper! 🚨
In “When Migrants Mobilize against Labor Exploitation: Evidence from the Italian Farmlands,” I study how empowering undocumented migrants can reduce labor exploitation and even weaken organized crime.
Thread : 🧵
The super election year is ending, with many winners and losers.
Our new @thejop.bsky.social paper, (@henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social ) asks: How do winning and losing candidates see elections?
Spoiler: Losers are more concerned about fairness.
Link: doi.org/10.1086/734240
Thrilled that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🎉 The article argues that low statistical power is a major impediment to acquiring cumulative knowledge on questions concerning cross-national differences: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
10.12.2024 11:14 — 👍 152 🔁 44 💬 8 📌 10🚨 PUBLICATION ALERT 🚨
Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!
It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties.
A thread 👇1/n...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Join our team! 🚨
We are hiring 2 postdocs for the new Advertising Democracy project at Aarhus University.
We are looking for researchers who are passionate about advertisements & citizens’ democratic values in Western democracies.
Feel free to share!👇🏾
bss.au.dk/en/about-aar...
Haha, Germany now on the fast track
26.11.2024 20:17 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Crazy numbers! Though I am still unsure whether this is a methodological issue, or a substantive finding. Will think more about it - thanks Markus!
25.11.2024 12:55 — 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0We now have a preprint!🥳
If you’re interested in understanding why radical voters’ satisfaction with democracy decreases even when they make an electoral breakthrough, we have a mixed-method paper for you with @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social
Here is our draft: osf.io/7bfka 👀
It is super tough to cut down about 40% of 482 submissions for the EPSA behavior section. But I've finished the first evaluations.
Some thoughts, if you are interested:
To all polisky and migcitsky peeps working on migration and/or ethnicity in one form or another, and who are located in or passing through Aarhus this coming spring (Feb-June): Let me know if you'd like to present or participate in the Migration & Ethnicity Workshop at Aarhus University 1/2
20.12.2023 07:56 — 👍 19 🔁 16 💬 3 📌 0Is it possible to phase out coal and still win an election? Yes! Excited that my paper w @fergusgreen.bsky.social
& Mikel González-Eguino on the electoral success of JustTransition policies in coalmining communities is now available OpenAccess at the APSR doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Polisky
Very happy to share that “The Enforcement of Political Norms” (w/ the great @amaliaab.bsky.social) has been accepted for publication at the BJPolS @bjpols.bsky.social.
The accepted version can be found at papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
polisky behaviorsky
"Does Right-Wing Violence Affect Public Support for Radical Right Parties? Evidence from Germany"
Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with page numbers!
Blog Post: theloop.ecpr.eu/right-wing-v...
Full Article (Open Access): journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.11
Happy to share that our paper on why peripheral regions vote for the radical right is now out with the APSR: tinyurl.com/4zvv67d4
A quick thread on how this idea came along and developed within the last 5 years:
Delighted that my paper Young People Punish Undemocratic Behavior Less Than Older People is now conditionally accepted at @bjpols.bsky.social.
I show what the title suggests using a large amount of survey experimental evidence. Thread below.
The Polish elections coming up this Sunday are the most important in Europe this year - perhaps even in a decade - for anyone interested in democratic stability. This thread is about the elections and the results of a survey of N5,500 Poles fielded this week up until now.
13.10.2023 19:33 — 👍 32 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 2
Accepted now at AJPS "Voted In, Standing Out: Public Response to Immigrants' Political Accession" with the incredible Stephanie Zonszein. Ungated draft at osf.io/xd4wk/ Polisky
10.10.2023 18:29 — 👍 55 🔁 19 💬 0 📌 0
