@isoveikko.bsky.social
PhD candidate in political science @SocSciHelsinki | intraparty competition | ideology | voting advice applications | FNES
🤖 AI chatbots can persuade voters 🗳️
@cvargiu.bsky.social and I were recently asked to review a piece for @nature.com, now out, and wrote a short digest about it
TLDR: chatting with a LLM can change your mind, even if facts provided are not always accurate
check it out 👇
#chatbots #persuasion
🎉 New publication 🎉 Why do #youngpeople vote for the #AfD? This question has kept our research project busy for quite some time, so I'm beyond excited that our first article - co-authored with @timonscheuer.bsky.social - is now out in #GermanPolitics! 🤩 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
22.11.2025 09:36 — 👍 312 🔁 117 💬 4 📌 11
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
18.11.2025 21:23 — 👍 187 🔁 83 💬 3 📌 25
Now out @apsrjournal.bsky.social with page numbers! 🫒
We advance a new argument on how economic crises fuel support for far-right parties in left-behind places by tapping into long-standing community narratives
shorturl.at/bA55v
@catherinedevries.bsky.social
Parents exhibiting greater ideological constraint are more successful at passing along their political views to their children than are less ideologically constrained parents link.springer.com/article/10.1...
14.11.2025 07:49 — 👍 21 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 2
🚨 New paper with Maria Grasso on generational shifts in political values. Despite talk of rising age polarisation, we show that gaps in attitudes are stable or even narrowing. Economic attitudes move in cycles, while social values have become more liberal – mainly due to generational replacement.
13.11.2025 10:29 — 👍 69 🔁 29 💬 2 📌 5
Aika yllättävä veto, että vaalidataa laitetaan AWS pilveen (Ruotsin servereille). Kyse kuitenkin kriittisestä infrastruktuurista. Vaalitietojen näyttäminen ei ole enää ns. omissa käsissä.
Olisi kiva kuulla kyber-osaajien mietteitä tästä.
yle.fi/a/74-20191502
Ukraine may be repeating a costly mistake in Pokrovsk.
It’s a recurring pattern, seen for example in Vuhledar and Kursk – a reluctance to conduct a controlled, militarily justified withdrawal from a threatened salient when the situation no longer favors the defender. 1/
Ennen: Mannerheim-linja
Nyt: Linkola-linja
💫💫💫 Great News: We are over the moon that our paper "Election Pledges in Multiparty Governments: When do Voters Accept Non-Fulfillment?" is now published in BJPS @bjpols.bsky.social 🍾 🤗
👉🏻 doi.org/10.1017/S000...
w/ Juha Ylisalo, Katrin Praprotnik & @laurenzennser.bsky.social
🧵1/5
The amount is meaningless — less than one day of salary. But the principle is important: once the armed services are paid by the oligarchs, they become a private militia, and we no longer have a country.
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...
Now out in Party Politics 🎉
Our study (@jbpilet.bsky.social)suggests that when a mainstream right-wing party signals willingness to rule with the radical right, support for the radical right rises — while the mainstream gains nothing.
👉 A legitimisation effect.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Chatbots offer explicit vote advice ahead of elections.
A simple prompt leads to receiving an advice for the Dutch October 29 elections ⬇️
The Dutch Data Protection Authority concluded: AI chatbots are not transparent, they are not auditable, and providers should prevent use as vote advice.
SDP:n linja on kyllä poikkeuksellisen riippuvainen puolueen puheenjohtajasta. Jokseenkin yllättävää, että juuri talouspolitiikassa puolueen linja voi liikkua paljonkin, vaikka juuri vas-oik kysymyksien varaan puolueen kannatus rakentuu.
13.10.2025 19:12 — 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
...in contrast to the study above, @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social @hannawass.bsky.social and Johanna Peltoniemi find that in Finland, the implementation of postal voting had a negligible effect on turnout across low-participation areas
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Great paper on the state of political science osf.io/preprints/os... by @guygrossman.bsky.social et. al. We have become more diverse, more quantitative, and more collaborative.
07.10.2025 10:38 — 👍 62 🔁 25 💬 1 📌 2
Abstract of the research note "Women's descriptive representation in multi-level political systems: (almost) no pyramids found" by Adam Gendzwill and Stanislaw Mazur. Published online first in West European Politics.
Figure 1, displaying different patterns of the descriptive representation of women at national, regional, and local levels.
Figure 2, displaying (a) levels of women's descriptive representation in two-tier countries (left panel), and (b) inter-level gaps in women's representation in three-tier countries (right panel).
Tables 1 (upper panel) and 2 (lower panel), presenting the assignment of countries with three or two levels of political representation to specific patterns of women's descriptive representation.
Online first:
"Women’s descriptive representation in multi-level political systems: (almost) no pyramids found"
The new research note by @adamgendzwill.bsky.social & Stanislaw Mazur
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Plot showing perception of voter ideology of candidates overtime. It is separated by House and Senate. Republicans are drifting slightly to be more conservative, Democrats are mostly staying in one place.
Plot showing messaging ideology of candidates overtime. It is separated by House and Senate. There is increasing separation between parties over time, with Republicans becoming messaging more moderately during the Trump era and then shifting to the right during Biden.
New paper with @hjghassell.bsky.social and @michaelheseltine.bsky.social out in @bjpols.bsky.social.
We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
All EU countries appear to be gone in the Google political ad library
By @lizcarolan.com
Now out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. In our new article, @denis-cohen.bsky.social @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that where local rent prices increase more, residents with lower incomes become more likely to support the radical right AfD.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Depolarization is not "a scalable solution for reducing societal-level conflict.... achieving lasting depolarization will likely require....moving beyond individual-level treatments to address the elite behaviors and structural incentives that fuel partisan conflict" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
23.09.2025 19:59 — 👍 389 🔁 131 💬 17 📌 32Happy to see our study out! Our main takeaway is that while poor voters vote less often, are less ideologically aligned with their preferred party, and see their preferred party less often in government - voting still does not seem to explain unequal representation.
24.09.2025 07:57 — 👍 9 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
Millaista oli vaalijulkisuus viime presidentinvaaleissa? Mikä selittää presidentin korkeaa kansansuosiota? Tuore kokoomateos Presidentinvaalit 2024 avaa mm. näitä kysymyksiä. www.tuni.fi/fi/ajankohta...
@pisotalus.bsky.social
@elinakk.bsky.social
@asavschoultz.bsky.social
@isoveikko.bsky.social
🚨🚨🚨 Survey Researchers! WE HAVE A HUGE PROBLEM!🚨🚨🚨
I have access to the Comet browser by Perplexity.
I asked it to pretend to be a human, take the survey, and give me feedback. IT DID!
Like this! sessioninfo::session_info() can now (or will after review) output to LaTeX #rstats github.com/r-lib/sessio...
19.09.2025 17:28 — 👍 44 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
📢 New paper alert: How does war shape democratic values?
Conflict exposure and democratic values: Evidence from wartime Ukraine
by @kristinmbakke.bsky.social, Marianne Dahl & Kit Rickard. 📖 Published in the @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social special issue on Political Violence in Democracies.
👇🧵
Map of Russian drones currently found in Poland:
10.09.2025 19:00 — 👍 313 🔁 90 💬 14 📌 3
Russia dropped a 250kg guided bomb on pensioners waiting in line for their monthly payments in the frontline Yarova village
At least 24 civilians killed, 19 wounded in what officials call a deliberate act of terrorism
euromaidanpress.com/2025/09/09/r...
Radical right accommodation really does not work.
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
