Pedro M Afonso's Avatar

Pedro M Afonso

@pmafonso.bsky.social

PhD candidate in biostatistics at Erasmus MC working on joint modeling of time-to-event and longitudinal data. https://www.pafonso.com/

65 Followers  |  146 Following  |  10 Posts  |  Joined: 19.11.2024  |  1.9047

Latest posts by pmafonso.bsky.social on Bluesky

This is joint work with
@erandrinopoulou.bsky.social
and many other brilliant co-authors.

18.06.2025 20:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Enjoyed being in Milan for the European Cystic Fibrosis Conference! Presented our study on the long-term effectiveness of CF modulators using US CFF registry data, challenging without a contemporary control group post-rapid adoption.

Grateful to the ECFS for the Travel Grant Award.

18.06.2025 20:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
SPE2025 - Inรญcio

Abstract submissions are open for the 2025 Portuguese Statistical Society Conference. Deadline: June 22.

๐Ÿ“ Faro, Algarve ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น
๐Ÿ“… October 22 to 25, 2025
๐Ÿ”— spe2025.mozellosite.com

October is a fantastic time to visit: sunny skies, pleasant highs around 23โ€ฏยฐC (73โ€ฏยฐF), and the summer crowds are easing. โ˜€๏ธ

17.06.2025 11:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Dynamic Predictions

A new version of JMbayes2 is out with new implementations of the AUC and Brier score for Cox models, and internal validation using cross-validation and the Bootstrap. Read more about it here: drizopoulos.github.io/JMbayes2/art...

16.06.2025 14:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Personalized Biopsy Schedules Using an Intervalโ€Censored Causeโ€Specific Joint Model Active surveillance (AS), where biopsies are conducted to detect cancer progression, has been acknowledged as an efficient way to reduce the overtreatment of prostate cancer. Most AS cohorts use fixe...

๐ŸŒŸ New Publication Alert! ๐ŸŒŸ

Excited to share our new paper: ๐—ฃ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐˜‡๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—•๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐˜€๐˜† ๐—ฆ๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐˜‚๐—น๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—จ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜ƒ๐—ฎ๐—น-๐—–๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—–๐—ฎ๐˜‚๐˜€๐—ฒ-๐—ฆ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜ ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น.

๐Ÿ”— doi.org/10.1002/sim....ย 

with Zhenwei Yang, @drizopoulos.bsky.social , Eveline Heijnsdijk, Lisa Newcomb

28.05.2025 06:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Periodic reminder:

Hyphens for double-barrelled surnames (Fisher-Box, Barndorff-Nielsen).

En-dashes for shared credit among 2+ people (Boxโ€“Cox, Kaplanโ€“Meier, Cramรฉrโ€“Rao, Gaussโ€“Hermite, Newtonโ€“Raphson).

Stop wasting my time (googling โ€œdid Kaplan and Meier have a kidโ€) by getting this wrong

19.05.2025 11:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 50    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Bayesian joint modeling for multiple clinical outcome variables is highly promising. I canโ€™t wait to read this. #StatsSky #rct

28.04.2025 11:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@f2harrell.bsky.social, thank you for your interest! Iโ€™d be very interested to hear any feedback or thoughts you might have after reading it.

28.04.2025 12:26 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A Joint Model for (Un)Bounded Longitudinal Markers, Competing Risks, and Recurrent Events Using Patient Registry Data Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have become a popular framework for studying the association between repeatedly measured biomarkers and clinical events. Nevertheless, addressing compl...

Our new paper is out in Statistics in Medicine! We developed a joint model for multiple (un)bounded longitudinal markers, recurrent events, and competing risks, applied to US CF patient registry data. Joint work with @drizopoulos.bsky.social and @erandrinopoulou.bsky.social.

doi.org/10.1002/sim....

27.04.2025 17:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 20    ๐Ÿ” 9    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Looking forward to present at the Diabetes StatClin Meeting in the beautiful Santiago de Compostela!

I'll be talking about dynamic prediction using joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data, connecting biostatistics and clinical practice to advance diabetes care.

03.04.2025 20:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

What a great few days in Bonn! A huge thank you to the organizers for such a well-run event. Grateful for the opportunity to share my work, and honored to bring home the Best Oral Presentation award! #SAfJR #SAfJR2025

23.03.2025 17:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Off to Bonn for the 10th Survival Analysis for Junior Researchers Conference! Iโ€™ll be presenting our work on dynamic prediction of survival benefit to prioritize patients on the liver transplant waiting list. #SAfJR #SAfJR2025

18.03.2025 12:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Joint work with @erandrinopoulou.bsky.social.

25.02.2025 08:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Heading to Paris for the European CF Young Investigator Meeting! Excited to present our work on the long-term effectiveness of ivacaftor. With rapid adoption, finding a control group is challengingโ€”I'll discuss how within-subject analyses can help! @vaincrelamuco.bsky.social

25.02.2025 08:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@pmafonso is following 20 prominent accounts