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Alan Pearse

@arpearse.bsky.social

Research Fellow in Bayesian Statistical Methods, University of Melbourne

33 Followers  |  53 Following  |  18 Posts  |  Joined: 23.11.2024  |  1.604

Latest posts by arpearse.bsky.social on Bluesky

It refers to itself in the third person as it goes down the chimney lol

Vraiment incroyable! ๐Ÿ–

26.12.2025 09:42 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Conversely, I cite R but never RStudio... Should I?

23.12.2025 02:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Green cheek conure standing on some empty bottles of Bundaberg ginger beer

Green cheek conure standing on some empty bottles of Bundaberg ginger beer

Boris is drinking up our supply of spiced ginger beer. #parrotsky

16.12.2025 13:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Man lying down and taking a selfie with a quokka (cute Australian marsupial)

Man lying down and taking a selfie with a quokka (cute Australian marsupial)

Last week, I attended the Australian Statistical Conference in Perth.

I reconnected with old friends, made many new connections, and had the privilege of listening to some excellent research presentations.

Here I am with one of my colleagues, Dr Quokka Q. Quantile.

09.12.2025 14:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
A cute little parrot on a table, glass of water in background. He's approaching the camera. He has a bright red belly and a green back and cheeks.

A cute little parrot on a table, glass of water in background. He's approaching the camera. He has a bright red belly and a green back and cheeks.

This boy has been so good over Thanksgiving - very friendly to everyone and no biting despite the extra excitement!

28.11.2025 21:05 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 34    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

See you there :)

28.11.2025 23:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Academic intros that go hard

20.11.2025 17:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 68    ๐Ÿ” 28    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 9
Green cheek conure elongating his neck

Green cheek conure elongating his neck

Boris craning his neck to get a good look at something ๐Ÿฆœ#parrotsky

08.11.2025 06:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Slide is titled: You don't need to use LLMs. 

Science is a process of collaborative meaning making, by which we try to understand the world

Even if AI were perfect, we rely on it at our peril โ€” it is not science if we (i.e., humanity as a whole) do not understand and cannot recapitulate all parts of it

I very, very rarely use LLMs myself. You can give yourself permission not to. Donโ€™t FOMO yourself into it

Slide is titled: You don't need to use LLMs. Science is a process of collaborative meaning making, by which we try to understand the world Even if AI were perfect, we rely on it at our peril โ€” it is not science if we (i.e., humanity as a whole) do not understand and cannot recapitulate all parts of it I very, very rarely use LLMs myself. You can give yourself permission not to. Donโ€™t FOMO yourself into it

Conclusion: Don't rely on something you don't understand and can't control

If you must use LLMS:

1. Treat them like you would an intern: only use them for things you can easily and thoroughly check

2. Make your process as robust as possible

3. Be aware of your own (human) cognitive biases

Conclusion: Don't rely on something you don't understand and can't control If you must use LLMS: 1. Treat them like you would an intern: only use them for things you can easily and thoroughly check 2. Make your process as robust as possible 3. Be aware of your own (human) cognitive biases

Getting nervous for the talk I'm about to give at a workshop about "using AI to drive impact" which features slides such as these.

06.11.2025 20:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 379    ๐Ÿ” 90    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 26    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11
Preview
Power-divergence copulas: A new class of Archimedean copulas, with an insurance application This paper demonstrates that, under a particular convention, the convex functions that characterise the phi divergences also generate Archimedean copulas in at least two dimensions. As a special case,...

Another preprint! www.arxiv.org/abs/2510.06177

I noticed that the convex functions that characterise f divergences can also be generators of Archimedean copulas. Here, I look at the case associated with the power divergences.

This seemingly 'simple' problem took me to some very strange places.

05.11.2025 03:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Green cheek conure eating a segment of mandarin

Green cheek conure eating a segment of mandarin

Boris fighting off scurvy by eating a bit of mandarin. Don't worry; I took it off him after a few bites so as not to upset his little tummy (crop?).

#parrotsky #parrot

05.11.2025 03:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 50    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Bayesian copula-based spatial random effects models for inference with complex spatial data In this article, we develop fully Bayesian, copula-based, spatial-statistical models for large, noisy, incomplete, and non-Gaussian spatial data. Our approach includes novel constructions of copulas t...

Preprint out! arxiv.org/abs/2511.02551

This paper on copula-based spatial random effects models is based on part of my PhD dissertation at the University of Wollongong.

05.11.2025 02:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
A smallish parrot sitting on my hand as I try to draw on a digital tablet. He's chewing on the top of the pen.

A smallish parrot sitting on my hand as I try to draw on a digital tablet. He's chewing on the top of the pen.

Parrot-assisted* drawing

*it does not help.

31.10.2025 00:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 83    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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It always gives me so much joy to watch parrots grip their favourite snacks like children eating ice cream cones.

Boris here has an almond sliver.

25.10.2025 02:39 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Dishevelled old dog looking stressed

Dishevelled old dog looking stressed

How I feel after submitting a paper...

24.10.2025 15:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As Heron
Spending all your time
Staring for fish
You must get used to
Your Reflected Heron Soul
Staring back at you

17.10.2025 06:13 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 37    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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This week weโ€™ve been monitoring regent parrot breeding- look at this little cutie ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿฉต๐Ÿ˜‡

11.10.2025 18:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 389    ๐Ÿ” 51    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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Regent parrot chicks getting weighed are just so absurdly adorable and undignified ๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜‡

12.10.2025 08:55 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 698    ๐Ÿ” 144    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 17    ๐Ÿ“Œ 7
Crimson Rosella eating bread

Crimson Rosella eating bread

Yummy bread ๐Ÿฅ–

12.10.2025 02:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For my own reference later, very cool!

08.10.2025 02:15 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Vladimir the Vladistician checking over his manuscript before he sends it out to a journal for peer review and publication. (If his paper gets rejected, he will cry.)

#dogs #academia

07.10.2025 11:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Thesis titled "Why I am mean to my mum but a sweet angel baby for my dad: a psychoanalytic study"

06.10.2025 23:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
2026 ASA SBSS Student Paper Competition | International Society for Bayesian Analysis Application deadline. November 15, 2025, by 5 pm ET (US Eastern Time).

The ASA Section on Bayesian Statistical Science (SBSS) is pleased to announce a student paper competition for research in Bayesian methodology.

More information can be found in the News section on the ISBA website: ๐Ÿ‘‡

bayesian.org/2026-asa-sbs...

06.10.2025 13:11 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Green cheek conure sitting on a shoulder

Green cheek conure sitting on a shoulder

My anti-research assistant, Dr Boris B. Bayes, PhD. His research interests include
(1) Optimal methods for screaming louder than 120dB,
(2) Finding excuses to bite, and
(3) Figuring out where fruit and almonds come from and how to make them appear on command.

06.10.2025 15:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 178    ๐Ÿ” 27    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Given 7-10 days to return a reviewer report from the day that I accepted the request... Not an MDPI journal. When did this become normal? Did it become normal?

26.09.2025 16:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
rdwplus: Inverse Distance Weighted Percent Land Use for Streams Compute spatially explicit land-use metrics for stream survey sites in GRASS GIS and R as an open-source implementation of IDW-PLUS (Inverse Distance Weighted Percent Land Use for Streams). The packag...

New version for our R package, rdwplus! Calculate your spatially explicit land use metrics today.

Actually, I just changed the maintainer email... but at least you know where to reach me now.

cran.r-project.org/package=rdwp...

14.02.2025 12:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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้นฟใจใƒžใƒจ

#ไปŠๆ—ฅใฎใƒžใƒจใƒใƒผใ‚บ
#ใƒžใƒจใƒใƒผใ‚บ
#ใ‚ญใƒฆใƒผใƒ”ใƒผ

09.02.2025 11:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 44    ๐Ÿ” 14    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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