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Paul

@paul314.bsky.social

Retired actuary/data scientist. Grew up in Texas, happily living in Massachusetts. Board games, Ulysses, Bayern Munich, Commanders, GY!BE. If you voted for that guy, just shove off.

295 Followers  |  484 Following  |  1,401 Posts  |  Joined: 04.07.2023  |  2.3328

Latest posts by paul314.bsky.social on Bluesky

Man, this reminded me that I always forget to tell you how much I love/use your year-end recommendations - I listen to every one of them and find music I don't see anywhere else. (bonus fact: I'm currently listening to Langzamer, which is only on my top of 2024 list because I saw it here first).

07.10.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you.

06.10.2025 02:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Jim Cummings is such an oddball that I have a sneaking regard for Wolf of Snow Hollow. It's also Robert Forster's last full-length movie.

04.10.2025 04:27 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Bart Simpson saying I understood that reference

Bart Simpson saying I understood that reference

03.10.2025 03:46 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Imagine some analyst trying to explain that (x=170, y=470) data point to their bosses. Someone was giddy!

01.10.2025 22:16 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This is exactly the kind of joke that made me groan in despair, but I would have made it myself if I'd thought of it first.

01.10.2025 16:18 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I tried this in Copilot, and after repeated pressing I ended up with this, which even at the end is the AI trying to please me by confessing.

You can see why some tech billionaires have fallen in love with AI - part plutocracy, part praise machine. β€œGreat idea, Sam!” β€œVery perceptive, Elon!”

01.10.2025 14:21 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

(me going from house of leaves to S. and searching bluesky to see if anyone is talking about them)

I'm going to try to figure out the code wheel without help, but I suspect I'll be searching Reddit for it soon. πŸ™‚

01.10.2025 04:11 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I did the DiCaprio point and yell when I first spotted him.But definitely same on the age.

30.09.2025 19:54 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/paul...

30.09.2025 19:37 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Watching David Luiz get rinsed is quite the flashback.

30.09.2025 19:36 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1

Yes

30.09.2025 19:34 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Germany hugely underperforming what the hell.

29.09.2025 01:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a cartoon of a man talking on a telephone with the word humming below him Alt: a cartoon of Gil from the Simpsons talking on a telephone with the word humming below him

Every Dem politician at this point.

28.09.2025 19:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Les PyrΓ©nΓ©es - 1956
πŸ“Έ Justin Lock

28.09.2025 19:13 β€” πŸ‘ 46    πŸ” 3    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Hey #boardgamesky!

I'm looking for examples of /weird/ board games. Games that do something you don't expect games to do, whether theme, mechanic, player experience/emotion, or other surprises.

Bonus points for being cheap, recent and/or quick to play, but none of these are essential.

27.09.2025 18:16 β€” πŸ‘ 23    πŸ” 7    πŸ’¬ 32    πŸ“Œ 0

The Bloody Inn - where your goal is to murder your inn's guests, rob them, and bury their corpses - does cause some 'this is really weird' pauses, especially when you realize that you're desperately trying to kill that one last person and bury them before the game ends.

27.09.2025 18:37 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

point on Azul, and I can't control for that mix.

W/respect to game plays on BGA, I dropped Go for that reason - famously an expert game, but there are so few plays on BGA that you get a huge rating spread at the top & very little mathematical credibility.

I definitely appreciate the comments!

27.09.2025 17:48 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I believe we're thinking similarly.
- by player count I did mean players at the table; I was thinking of Race for the Galaxy, where all the top-rated players are in 2-player advanced in Arena, and that's where I reached 500 as well. I believe there's more luck in 3- and 4-player exactly to your

27.09.2025 17:48 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

I've favorited on BGA (yes, that's a verb).

The rankings fell about where I expected, though Ark Nova's gap is interesting.

The usual caveats - player count and expansions may affect outcomes, top 10 average is a proxy for a concept, not an easily-defined quantity, etc. (etc. etc.)

27.09.2025 14:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
A selection of board games and their average top 10 player ratings on BGA: No Thanks, 360; Flip 7, 393; Can't Stop, 397; 7 Wonders, 531; Potion Explosion, 633; Earth and Race for the Galaxy, 636; Wingspan, 664; Forest Shuffle, 678; Agricola, 721; Railroad Ink, 730; Terraforming Mars, 748; Ark Nova, 833.

A selection of board games and their average top 10 player ratings on BGA: No Thanks, 360; Flip 7, 393; Can't Stop, 397; 7 Wonders, 531; Potion Explosion, 633; Earth and Race for the Galaxy, 636; Wingspan, 664; Forest Shuffle, 678; Agricola, 721; Railroad Ink, 730; Terraforming Mars, 748; Ark Nova, 833.

I've been thinking about the idea that the top player ELO ratings for a #boardgame on #BoardGameArena might reflect the amount of the game's "luck" - that is, measuring the extent to which expert players (or bots) can arbitrage away randomness through their play. The games below happen to be ones

27.09.2025 14:41 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

What's important about this battle of ascendancy at Guinness isn't a fight amongst the plutocrats, it's that under the chairmanship of the winner the company hired a lot of bright science grads, including William Sealy Gosset, who would go on to invent a sampling test under the pseudonym 'Student'.

26.09.2025 22:06 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Really enjoying watching him today.

26.09.2025 19:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Gnabry with a coiffure change, usually means he'll be on.

26.09.2025 18:28 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks. There's only one female on the chart, the amazing Judit Polgar (who was #8 in 2005), but if you meant you'd like to see the same movement in the top 100 women across 20 years, so far I haven't been able to track down the 2005 list. Still looking though.

25.09.2025 21:13 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Alluvial chart shows the flow of the top chess players by federation (a proxy for nationality), 2005-2025. Russia and Ukraine shrink, India and US grow.

Alluvial chart shows the flow of the top chess players by federation (a proxy for nationality), 2005-2025. Russia and Ukraine shrink, India and US grow.

It's my first #tidytuesday ever, and I'm already cheating by grabbing extra data (2005 FIDE ratings)...but I wanted to learn ggalluvial and also see the growth in the top 100 players from India.

25.09.2025 17:55 β€” πŸ‘ 8    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 3    πŸ“Œ 0

No mention of this dude watching nude scenes from a Jackie Chan movie during a meeting?

25.09.2025 13:45 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Vibe Coding Cleanup as a Service The rise of AI-powered coding has created an unexpected market: cleaning up the technical debt from prompt-generated software. Here's why 'Vibe Coding cleanup' is becoming a legitimate service…

Vibe Coding Cleanup as a Service donado.co/en/articles/...

23.09.2025 15:55 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

100% flashback to when I was trying to learn how to use APIs in #rstats.

23.09.2025 15:22 β€” πŸ‘ 7    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man in a robe is sitting in a dark room and talking to someone . Alt: The strange dude from in Bruges saying "nooks and crannies-yes!"
23.09.2025 02:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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