Seasonally adjusted payment flows in Russia really cratered in July. Pretty much across the board too. Tells the same story as weak PMIs. Economic situation in Russia is not strong.
www.cbr.ru/Collection/C...
@hannuhimanen.bsky.social
Retired Finnish diplomat, ex-amb in Moscow (2012–2016), non-fiction writer, public commentator on Russia, security & foreign policy
Seasonally adjusted payment flows in Russia really cratered in July. Pretty much across the board too. Tells the same story as weak PMIs. Economic situation in Russia is not strong.
www.cbr.ru/Collection/C...
Venäjän nykyisille vallanpitäjille sodan lopettaminen on suurempi riski kuin sen jatkaminen. Onneksi Venäjän rahat ovat loppumassa Haastattelin @hannuhimanen.bsky.social ja @laurasolanko.bsky.social (€)
Venäjä ei tavoittele neuvotteluissa rauhaa @mustread.bsky.social www.mustread.fi/artikkelit/s...
Venäjä järjestää Moskovassa Putinin ihailijoiden tulevaisuusfoorumin, jossa puhuu myös Elon Muskin isä Errol Musk. www.is.fi/ulkomaat/art...
08.06.2025 08:06 — 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1Trump, on the leader of Russia:
"Putin is tired of this whole thing and he’s not — he’s not looking good. And he wants to look good”
It's hard to imagine a more fundamental misunderstanding.
No, Putin is not "tired of the whole thing" - the war is the only thing keeping his economy going
This is, as @drjademcglynn.bsky.social acknowledges, not a maximalist solution - it's the bare minimum that the West - or rather Europeans - should do. Ensuring that Ukraine loses more slowly is no use to UA or to Europe; Russian victory in Ukraine wd encourage RU aggression elsewhere in Europe.
15.05.2025 11:10 — 👍 11 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0Indeed. NATO'S art 5 and EU'S art 42.7 both cited. Preparing for a Euro-centric future
10.05.2025 08:31 — 👍 32 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 0Headline from linked article, with KG giving it loads on a handheld mic.
Apparently it was karaoke night.
www.hbl.fi/2025-03-27/k...
Tästä voisi kai jo sanoa, että ei mitään uutta itärajan takana. Sama meno jatkuu.
www.is.fi/ulkomaat/art...
Moni ei tule ajatelleeksi, mitä Putinin ja Trumpin ehdoilla pakotettu ”rauha” Ukrainaan todennäköisesti tarkoittaisi. @keirgiles.bsky.social auttoi ajattelemaan. www.is.fi/kotimaa/art-...
27.03.2025 06:22 — 👍 38 🔁 11 💬 1 📌 0Last month I did a little experiment.
I wanted to see how the exact same post would perform on both X (Twitter) and Bluesky.
The results were...interesting...
[Thread]
Tänne kannattaa tulla! @keirgiles.bsky.social on kirjoittanut kirjan, jonka ajankohtaisuus on vain kasvanut.
Don’t miss this! Keir Giles’s book Who Will Defend Europe? has only gained in topicality and timeliness since its publication in English in October.
www.hs.fi/menokone/eve...
“Keir Giles saapuu Suomeen.”
Don’t miss it: Thursday 27 March, 1030-1145, in Helsinki’s Oodi in company with @hannuhimanen.bsky.social and Tuomas Iso-Markku.
www.hs.fi/menokone/eve...
The Trump administration appears to be returning to a Yalta-like approach, where the voices of smaller states are sidelined, and Ukraine’s participation in negotiations about its future is unnecessary.
@kyivindependent.com.web.brid.gy
@kyivindependent.com
@sceeus-ui.bsky.social
Military experts' "Sky Shield" proposal would see 120 European warplanes patrol west/central Ukraine, protecting critical infrastructure, including nuclear plants, from air attack by fascist Russia. No "boots on the ground" required.
Ukraine has been begging for this for 3 years.
Given that the Trump people did nothing to induce Russia to end the war, it’s fair to conclude that the whole idea of pursuing peace was just a pretext to renew relations with Russia.
28.02.2025 19:11 — 👍 12260 🔁 2786 💬 277 📌 123Finland stands with the people and the people’s right to choose. In Ukraine, people have chosen freedom.
We stand by Ukraine. 🇫🇮🇺🇦
The unravelling of the transatlantic order is moving from hypothetical and tentative to sudden and brutal. The West as a strategic construct is broken. 🇪🇺 and its 510 million inhabitants (EU, UK, Norway) is now very much on its own. This isn't an nth wakeup call but like being thrown out of bed...
28.02.2025 19:01 — 👍 293 🔁 96 💬 8 📌 5When Russia invaded Ukraine, Finland’s then-president Niinistö said that the masks had fallen.
If anyone was still clinging onto some kind of hope of Trump coming around on Ukraine, this disgrace of a press conference should make everything clear now.
Trump is anti-Ukraine. Pro-Russia.
Trump isn’t fooling anyone. Trump and Vance were the only disrespectful people in that room.
28.02.2025 18:38 — 👍 492 🔁 53 💬 12 📌 1Efter kollisionen i Washington en påminnelse om hur det ligger till för Europa
28.02.2025 19:11 — 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0As it happens, on that very day, The Washington Post’s Keyword play featured the word MUZZLE. Mere coincidence?
27.02.2025 08:52 — 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Merz with remarkable clarity: „Absolutely no illusions“ about Trump. Goal needs to be step by step
independence from a US who „pretty much no longer cares about fate of 🇪🇺“.
„Unclear whether we will still speak of NATO in present shape“ by time of June summit or we need to come up with 🇪🇺alternative.
Probably it looks like something the Russians drafted because it was drafted by the Russians
23.02.2025 20:02 — 👍 297 🔁 64 💬 5 📌 1Tbh, I saw this and thought: “careful Economist, it can always get worse…”
#happythoughts
Wrote a short summary of how antagonizing Europe can backfire on the Trump administration, at the expense of US global power.
More on the European side of things when we know more about the results from Paris
Lavrov will eat Rubio alive.
Good. Let this meeting make America look weak. They’ll hate that and try to compensate later.
In the meantime, European countries need to be planning announcements of aid packages, sanctions crackdowns, troop commitments, and Russian asset seizure.
Nordic-Baltic joint statement on Ukraine just published.
Good to see that coordination has been swift and unhesitant.
www.regjeringen.no/no/aktuelt/n...
The audacity of Vance scolding Europe for having annulled Romanian election results due to Russian interference, representing a president who violently physically attacked the US system of governance and refused to acknowledge his defeat, still claiming the elections was stolen, is simply disgusting
14.02.2025 14:25 — 👍 4759 🔁 1168 💬 174 📌 70Tänään klo 21:05 #Astudio ssa hyvässä seurassa keskustelemassa polttavan ajankohtaisesta teemasta. #Venäjä #Ukraina #rauha
13.02.2025 14:31 — 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0Lycka till, Annika! Hanna ja kaksi Hannua #AnnikaDamstrom in haastateltavina #Astudio n suorassa lähetyksessä.
05.02.2025 19:05 — 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0