Olivier Bois von Kursk

The Production Gap Report 2025, released today, shows fossil fuel expansion is still accelerating. Major producers such as COP30 host Brazil, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Canada, and the US are driving some of the world’s biggest increases, mostly to boost exports, even as global demand growth slows.

🚨 OUT NOW! Our new @science.org study led by @kohrathefog.bsky.social is the first to comprehensively quantify the health impacts of and inequities in outdoor air pollution exposure across all stages of the US oil and gas lifecycle: extraction ➡️ transport/storage ➡️ refining/processing ➡️ end-use. 🧵

IEA: Oil still on track to peak by 2030; oil for fuel to peak in 2027

"annual growth slows…to just a trickle over the next several years, with a small decline expected in 2030, based on today’s policy settings and market trends"

Here are some of the most striking charts 🧵
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📣New Report | Petrobras accounts for more than half of planned oil & gas expansion in Brazil, including some of the riskiest frontier projects.

Up to 85% of oil from its new projects isn’t economically viable in a 1.5°C world.
📗 www.iisd.org/publications/report/brazil-petrobras-oil-gas-expansion

Terrific thought-piece by Laurence Tubiana and Emmanual Guérin on recommended priorities for #COP30. geopolitique.eu/en/articles/...

Oil and gas companies plan to spend billions to boost future fossil fuel supply Over the next decade, just over 180 oil and gas companies in Canada plan to collectively spend more than $600 billion developing new oil and gas fields, according to data reviewed by Canada’s National...

🇨🇦 oil & gas companies plan to spend more than $600bn expanding #fossilfuels over the next decade.

IISD's @aaroncosbey.bsky.social warns "the more you expand that sector the more you set it up for a sector in distress when demand goes sour.”

@woodsideful.bsky.social | @nationalobserver.com

#BREAKING

Senator @davidpocock.bsky.social announces at our #ClimateIntegrity Summit he will be introducing the Ending Fossil Fuel Exploration Bill into Parliament tomorrow!

"This just brings us into line with what many leaders in the world are already doing."

🆕 PIK-led research work generates the map of research on #ClimatePolicy from 85,000 individual studies. It informs existing gaps in knowledge and facilitates the summarisation of the state of knowledge for governments. #MachineLearning
www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...

See also this one with a focus on fossil fuels phase-out pathways

www.science.org/stoken/autho...

Gorgon CCS underperformance hits new low in 2023-24 In the last financial year, the Gorgon CCS project captured only 30% of the CO2 it removed from its reservoir, its weakest performance to date. As a result of technical challenges and underperformance...

Gorgon is the world's largest #CCS project. It's attached to an LNG facility that was approved based on Chevron's promise to capture 80% of emissions

Not only has Gorgon never achieved that, it's performance has decreased year over year - capturing just 30% last year

ieefa.org/resources/go...

How much longer can we keep using the IPCC AR6 1.5°C scenarios (limited overshoot) for percentage reductions, net zero years, etc, given that we are currently not even remotely on track?

Starting today, the percentage reductions will be higher, net zero year earlier (all else equal).

Sweden’s first Citizens’ Assembly on Climate presents a new report in Parliament today, highlighting how Swedes found common ground on climate action, enriching and deepening the national climate debate.

Learn more: https://buff.ly/3V5PTfh

The Last Ice Age For storyteller Andri Snær Magnason, climate change is like a black hole: it’s larger than language. Retracing his grandparents’ annual journey to Iceland’s Vatnajökull glacier, he seeks stories that ...

Brilliant storytelling by @andrimagnason.bsky.social connects us to the not-so-distant climate future, capturing the scale of our moment🌍
Based on Magnason's book "On Time and Water" this Emergence Magazine doc—backed by PIK scientists—brings what data can't to life with stunning imagery and stories

Cop29 agrees $1.3tn climate finance deal but campaigners brand it a ‘betrayal’ Deep divisions remain after high-stakes talks end with agreement to help developing world shift to low-carbon economy

Given how hard it was to get rich countries to give just $300 billion a year to the developing world to decarbonize and deal with the impacts of extreme weather, how will we ever deploy CO₂ removal (CDR), which will cost trillions of dollars every year and mainly benefit the developing world?

Looking for voices on climate science and policy?
Here's a starter pack to get you going.
Updated on a running basis.

go.bsky.app/BKRogFu

Nearly USD 30bn was invested to explore new oil & gas reserves over the last 12 months.
Despite gov'ts pledge to transition away from #FossilFuels, 🆕 oil & gas exploration licenses are still being issued.
Stay up to date on oil & gas expansion: ➡️ www.iisd.org/publications...

New Brief A Precarious Pursuit Europe's dash for Liquified Natural Gas in Africa puts European company profits over African state interests

🆕 REPORT | Europe’s dash for gas in Africa puts disproportionate risks on host countries, researchers warn.
BP, Eni, & TotalEnergies are set to reap near-term 💰 from LNG projects while Africa gov’ts wait until mid-30s/40s for uncertain 💰.

🔎 www.iisd.org/articles/dee...

An image of the Baku skyline. Text reads: "Join IISD on Bluesky and follow us at COP 29". The IISD logo is in the top left hand corner.

Join us on Bluesky! Follow us for research, analysis and updates on sustainable development. Our experts are at #COP29 and we'll bring you the latest from negotiations in Baku.

🔎 www.iisd.org/inside-cop-29

Transitioning Away From Oil and Gas At COP 28, 198 governments agreed to transition away from fossil fuels. What are the next steps for a global phase-out of oil and gas production?

IISD has published a primer on oil and gas phaseout. It tackles climate scenarios, equity principles, economic risks, supply-side policies, legal barriers, and discussions in international forums.

Phasing out oil & gas production and📈 #CleanEnergy must go 🫱 in 🫲.

www.iisd.org/publications...