C. Manuel Bosancianu, PhD

No, You're Not Crazy: It's Brand Protection And it's tragic.

charlotteclymer.substack.com/p/no-youre-n...

duckplyr fully joins the tidyverse! duckplyr 1.1.0 is on CRAN! A drop-in replacement for dplyr, powered by DuckDB for speed. It is the most dplyr-like of dplyr backends.

"duckplyr fully joins the tidyverse!"

www.tidyverse.org/blog/2025/06... #duckdb #RStats #tidyverse

New York Times’ Style Guide Substitutions for “The President Violated the Constitution” “The president remained steadfast in his novel interpretation of constitutional law.” “Faced with the choice between clinging to the letter of the ...

www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/new...

Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆

He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."

Nobel Prizes by country and year.

The dominance of Germany is striking every time. Before 1933, that is. And the utter dominance of America (and the UK) after 1945.

According to this @zdfde.bsky.social Politbarometer poll, 76% of Germans are in favour of more defence spending with new debt.

This includes 90% of CDU voters, 52% of Die Linke voters and even 70% of FDP voters.

A fiscal public opinion revolution.

Postdoctoral fellow in political science: party competition in Europe Are you our next postdoc with a focus on using expert surveys to examine political party competition around cleavage politics? The Department of Political Science invites applications for a 2-year pos

I am looking to hire a post-doctoral researcher to work with me in a project on social cleavages and political party competition in Europe:
lu.varbi.com/en/what:job/...
Happy to answer any questions, and thanks in advance for circulating the call!

New Yorker cartoon showing a cookie factory executive in front of a company podium with the Cookie Monster Frome Sesame Street by this side. Caption: “Let me assure you that as an unpaid ‘special factory employee’ Mr. Monster stands to gain nothing personally from his work.”

From the New Yorker

The American National Election Study has been fielded at every US presidential election since 1948 and has led the world in the study of elections. The political withdrawal of funding for it would be destructive and a dangerous signal regarding the future of survey research in America.

Rubio claims that @USAID lifesaving assistance for health and humanitarian needs will continue. But his team just communicated that the entire agency will be imminently reduced from 14,000 to 294 people. Just 12 in Africa.

Kindleberger Spiral is an inward spiral, visualizing the steady collapse of world trade.

As someone trained as a trade economist, it is my duty to share the 1929-1933 Kindleberger Spiral, showing the month-month decline in global trade due to the combined factors of the (global) Great Depression and retaliatory tariffs. Smooth Hawley is implemented mid-June 1930.

I knew that we were in trouble when USAID cancelled all of our projects last week. But I never guessed we'd end up here, with a purge of its senior leadership, the suspension of all programming (that millions rely on) and the shuttering of its website, in about 10 days time. Dark times.

🚨👀 Big news!

The @yougov.co.uk German political team are launching our first MRP model of the 2025 German Bundestag election later this week.

We'll be making detailed calls for every constituency, estimating regional list vote shares, and projecting how the parliament would shape up.

🚨 Job Alert! 🚨

I’m looking for a postdoc to join my Emmy Noether project on the New Climate Divide! 🌍

🔍 It is a 3-year position with a likely extension for another 3 years & no teaching obligations

📄 Check out the job call: uni-heidelberg.de/md/politik/p...

Thanks for sharing! 🤝

⏰ Please share widely!

We have an opening in our group at @wzb.bsky.social Berlin for a PhD student wanting to work on political violence (pol economy of development / pol ineq)
wzb.hr4you.org/job/view/345... Apps from global south especially encouraged. Fun group, great city, lots to do!

Junior Professorship (W1, non tenured) in Computational Social Science Deadline: 7th of January 2025

🚨 Assistant Professorship in Computational Social Science 🚨

Konstanz has a call for a 6-year junior professorship.

stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/2...

This is an amazing department & a strong community.

Happy to share more about my own (great) experience there!

Deadline SOON: 2 DAYS left ‼️

*And* it’s the sum of all single digit numbers cubed:

1³+2³+3³+4³+5³+6³+7³+8³+9³ = 2025

💕 pure mathematical joy 💕

a line graph showing shares of various experimental methods over time in 2 academic journals. Survey experiments goes up the most.

In the most recent year, about 1/5 articles in AJPS and JOP had a survey experiment. (preliminary result from work in progress with @vincentab.bsky.social and @jonmellon.bsky.social, come see more at SPSA)

The standard errors of persistence Many studies of historical persistence find that modern outcomes strongly reflect characteristics of the same places in the distant past. However they…

1/ This very important paper by Tim Conley and Morgan Kelly is now forthcoming.

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

A photo I posted of graffiti in Syria in 2014.
"One day the war will be over and I will return to my poem"
I hope they will return to their poem

Real footage of a synthetic control model

Bitcoin is worth $100,000. It still doesn't have a single legitimate use case It's speculation all the way down

It seems pretty clear that a) there will be a massive crypto crash, and b) the Trump admin will push a massive taxpayer bailout even though it's obvious to nearly everyone this is a Ponzi scheme, and c) this will be celebrated as "populism" or something

How the Bank of Mum and Dad reshaped the British economy Parental support has effects well beyond getting on the housing ladder

The Bank of Mum and Dad (BOMAD) increasingly determines what property you can buy and your salary “If you’re under 45, your life chances and opportunities are increasingly determined by your access to the Bank of Mum and Dad, not by what you earn or learn.”

www.ft.com/content/4b7e...

University of Essex to cut 200 jobs amid £29m shortfall The University of Essex says it faces a

This is very sad.

An outstanding university that gave me a lot and means a lot to the city.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

🚨 New Blog! 🚨

GDP is everywhere in development. But in Zambia in 2010, the national accounts were prepared by just one (1!) person. How much can we trust developing country GDP?

A 🧵 and post on Morten Jerven's 2013 classic, Poor Numbers, on how African GDP is actually made—

Very important broader point about progressive-leaning policy change -- there may be people who were in the same position before and received no help, leading them to resent the policy change

What do we call this? Seems like the negative of policy feedback effects?

EU to demand technology transfers from Chinese companies New requirements will apply to batteries but could be expanded to other green sectors

FT: "Brussels is planning to force Chinese companies to transfer intellectual property to European businesses in return for EU subsidies as part of a tougher trade regime for clean technologies."
www.ft.com/content/f4fd...

Tried to put together a list of pol econ people (both theory and empirics) on bsky: go.bsky.app/UhWxdmh

Probably missing a lot of names: let me know who I should add!

Austrian Airlines' farewell to the Twitter.

This was Austrian Airlines' final post over on the Twitter.