Nguyen Duy Khang

Incomers: through the barricades – a matter of curiosity? Xenophobia fuels myths about migrants, but facts show asylum seekers enrich the UK and face hardship, not handouts or criminality

Incomers: through the barricades – a matter of curiosity?

Xenophobia fuels myths about migrants, but facts show asylum seekers enrich the UK and face hardship, not handouts or criminality

By Jeremy Leslie-Spinks

@yorkshirebylines.co.uk

Bernanke, Cochrane, Greenspan, Mankiw, Paulson, Rogoff, Romer, Rubin, Summers, Yellen, etc & me: "allowing the removal of Governor Lisa D. Cook while the challenge to her removal is pending would threaten that independence and erode public confidence in the Fed." www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/25...

1/n Latest on history of credit feuds in Econ:

Herrade Igersheim ties many existing account of well-known longstanding priority dispute between Duncan Black & Ken Arrow over the median voter theorem with a layer of new archives

[open access] link.springer.com/article/10.1...

The preliminary benchmark revision reflects the difference between two independently derived employment counts, each subject to their own sources of error. It serves as a preliminary measure of the total error in CES employment estimates from March 2024 to March 2025. Preliminary research, which is not comprehensive and is subject to updates in QCEW data, indicates that the primary contributors to the overestimation of employment growth are likely the result of two sources—response error and nonresponse error. First, businesses reported less employment to the QCEW than they reported to the CES survey (response error). Second, businesses who were selected for the CES survey but did not respond reported less employment to the QCEW than those businesses who did respond to the CES survey (nonresponse error). Estimates of other errors, such as the forecast error from the net birth-death model, are not available at this time. Information on how the net birth-death forecasts have reduced benchmark revisions historically are available on the CES Birth-Death Model Frequently Asked Questions page in question 10, www.bls.gov/web/empsit/cesbdqa.htm.

BLS releases annual preliminary benchmark revision, something they do every year.

#JobsReport estimates are based on employer survey responses, that arrive quickly. Later, BLS checks slow-arriving, more-reliable administrative data from employers' UI premium filings.
www.bls.gov/news.release...

Rising Unemployment Among Black Women Is a Bad Economic Sign "Black women are the canary in the coal mine on the health of the economy," write Cooper and Opoku-Agyeman.

This afternoon in TIME MAGAZINE, @mariannecooper.bsky.social and I discuss why 300,000 Black women leaving the workforce is bad for the economy, bad for society, and bad for you.

In the piece, we argue that Black women are the canaries in the coalmine and why ignoring #TheDoubleTax harms us all.

Gen-Z says that owning a home is more important to their personal definition of success than getting married or having children.

"I see an American economy that's very much frozen in place."

Policy whiplash around tariffs creates the option value of waiting. Firms won’t expand into opportunities that might vanish, and they're not pivoting based on threats that might fade. It's an uncertainty-driven paralysis.

Reality is ripping the clothes off Emperor Trump:

*Putin humiliating him
*Failing to indict in DC
*Rs warning mail-voting edict will backfire
*Tariffs are blundering fiasco
*Economy tanking
*Deportations/occupations deeply unpopular

citing @jamellebouie.net

4/

newrepublic.com/article/2000...

Trump Is a Weak and Failing President, and It’s Time to Say So It’s possible for Trump to be an inept buffoon—but still extremely dangerous. And it shouldn’t be so hard to make that case.

Many media types and Dems continue to operate as if Trump is a politically invincible figure, a "Teflon Don." But in truth he's becoming an increasingly weak, failing, diminished, unpopular, naked-emperor figure, and it's time to treat him as such. 1/

(new piece)
newrepublic.com/article/2000...

Recently I came across a book called "Who is Government?" by Michael Lewis, which tells the stories of many public servants in their work.

It's timely that we keep appreciating the work they do every day!

This is a reminder of it

Commission updates guidance on anti-deforestation law

Commission updates guidance on anti-deforestation law

I would much rather people celebrate the life that I have lived than to mourn over what I could be.

I am also content if others feel the need to mourn instead.

We process and express ourselves differently, it's all fair. Don't want this to become a new cultural standard to be used to shame others.

Reading a draft you wrote a while back be like

EU presents its International Digital Strategy On 5 June 2025, the European Commission and the High Representative unveiled the EU International Digital Strategy, setting a clear direction for the Union’s external digital action.

News: EU presents its International Digital Strategy

Author, activist traces transgender history in San Francisco's Tenderloin neighborhood In honor of Transgender History Month, a new book is shining a light on the rich history of San Francisco's Transgender District. Lauren Toms reports.

In honor of Transgender History Month, a new book is shining a light on the rich history of San Francisco's Transgender District. Lauren Toms reports.

www.cbsnews.com/sanf...

#transgender #trans #LGBTQ #LGBTQIA

I'd like to also point out the slight irony of Kennedy telling people not to trust the "experts" while wanting them to trust in his competence to run the CDC.

It's never been about "trusting scientific expertise", the game is *equating* scientific competence with politically motivated incompetence.

You needn't be a Georgist (or any other -ist or -ian) to feel that slight happiness when others might agree with yu

Henry George smiles ever so slightly from beyond the grave as the ideas he upheld so strongly is slowly creeping back.

He just announced the 90 day pause.

Somebody on LinkedIn said what we're all thinking.

Thousands rally in Tel Aviv against Netanyahu’s new Gaza plan, demand release of hostages Public opinion polls show an overwhelming majority of Israelis favour an immediate end to the war.

Thousands rally in Tel Aviv against Netanyahu’s new Gaza plan, demand release of hostages reut.rs/4mxwPBZ

"What Happens When Politicians Meddle With Economic Data: Argentina’s Example" www.wsj.com/economy/trum...

Interesting new paper on EconStor: Henrekson, Magnus; Jonung, Lars; Lundahl, Mats (2025) : Not just the top five
journals: A recipe for European economists, IFN Working Paper, No. 1519, Research Institute of
Industrial Economics (IFN), Stockholm; hdl.handle.net/10419/311655 (1/3)

The rise of the ghost academic The academic conference no-show might feel like a minor inconvenience, but for Anne Tierney and Doug Specht it represents evidence of a growing concern with CV padding over contributions to the field

This week on Wonkhe: The academic conference no-show might feel like a minor inconvenience, but for Anne Tierney and Doug Specht it represents evidence a growing concern with CV padding over contributions to the field

For example with job guarantee, three intuitions scream why we would want them: (1) we already have public job matching boards, (2) no one wants to be stressed about finances and (3) work is generally viewed as a good thing. If the government promises to give me a job, why not take it?

I personally prefer to avoid the "ism" debate and only engage it under highly specific conditions, but the studies listed in this thread should definitely be looked at, at least if you want to understand the political landscape of opinions.

With concrete policies, it feels intuitive to favor them.

The BLS Can’t Be Replaced by the Private Sector Government statistical agencies provide breadth and context that private firms can’t match.

The President firing the BLS Commissioner last week stirred up many criticisms agency. One that I found most troubling is the idea that the private sector could do it better. No, there's no substitute for the BLS as I argue in my
@opinion.bloomberg.com piece: www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Why the B.L.S. Regularly Revises Jobs Data

Data revisions are a normal, necessary part of trying to measure a $30 trillion economy in real time. They can also be jarring, especially for people who don't obsessively scrutinize every jobs report.
So I dug into the how and why of revisions. A few big takeaways:
#EconSky

Fascinating new paper shows that papers reporting statistical significance get at least 60% more media attention #econtwitter #econsky: from
Brodeur Cook @nikolaimcook @taylor_wright, a short 🧵