Daniel Brieba

A WILD ONE: A man broke his leg during an arrest by ICE at a car wash south of L.A.

ICE has held him under 24/7 guard at a hospital, registering him under a pseudonym, for *37 days* without telling him why.

A judge has ordered his immediate release.

storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

I missed the “for” in the first sentence and thought the article might be worth reading for a second

Comparto mi columna de ayer en La Segunda

Hola, les comparto mi columna de hoy en La Segunda

✍️ As Chile’s left prepares to choose its presidential candidate in a low-profile primary, the stakes are higher than they seem. @dbrieba.bsky.social explores whether the left can reinvent itself before the elections. 🇨🇱🇨🇱🗳️

🧑‍💻 Read it now:
👉 tinyurl.com/4zxaam4a

I wonder what ;)

The Political Quarterly: Vol 96, No 2 Click on the title to browse this issue

Latest issue out now!

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/1467923x...

With John Connolly David Judge Matt Flinders; @sekip.bsky.social; @jimtomlinson45.bsky.social; Andrés Velasco @dbrieba.bsky.social; Coree Brown Swan @paulanderson88.bsky.social Judith Sijstermans; Stewart Lansley; Tom Wraight Kai Green

Modern xkcd.com/3089

How Can Populists Be Defeated? UCL Uncovering Politics · Episode

Andrés Velasco and I had a great conversation with Alan Renwick on UCL’s Uncovering Politics podcast—talking about populism, identity, and liberalism, based on our article in The Political Quarterly (onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/14…).
You can check it out here: https://shorturl.at/zGiXP

How Trump team turned a dinner invite into a crypto boon worth millions iNearly two dozen crypto wallets acquired more than 100,000 $TRUMP meme coins, worth roughly $100 million, after the team said top buyers could join the president for dinner.

New: We analyzed Trump's meme coin -

At least 27 crypto wallets have picked up $100 million worth of $TRUMP coins since his team said the top holders would join him for an "intimate private dinner."

Huge profit for Trump; "the most brazenly corrupt thing a President has ever done"

wapo.st/4iAatO1

The Trump Effect: Australia Edition

Federal spending is *up* under Trump according to the Wall Street Journal. Chaos is not actually the same as cost savings.

Actual budgeting is a kind of actual policy-making and takes real work spread over real time. Running around breaking stuff isn't that.

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

Those jokes a while ago about Trump appointing a horse as his advisor. Shame he didn’t as it turns out.

If you accept that non-citizens have no right to due process, you are accepting that citizens have no right to due process. All the government has to do is claim that you are not a citizen; without due process you have no chance to prove the contrary.

After the AfD's surge on Sunday, far right parties are the most voted-for of any grouping in Europe, for the first time in history: www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

Well, as America implodes from within, it’d be a *great* time for the EU to finally do official Eurobonds. It’d likely be very attractive as a safe haven given the destruction of US hegemony & spillover to US T-bills. Bonus: Eurobonds can finance a desperately needed European security build up! 🇪🇺💶 ‼️

Russia is perfectly clear what side Trump is on

Phony friendliness and behind-the-scenes treachery from Trump and Vance would have been much more dangerous to the cause of freedom in Ukraine than the self-exposure by both men.

Sotomayor’s dissent in Trump v. United States: “Let the President violate the law, let him exploit the trappings of his office for personal gain, let him use his official power for evil ends. Because if he knew that he may one day face liability for breaking the law, he might not be as bold and fearless as we would like him to be. That is the majority’s message today. Even if these nightmare scenarios never play out, and I pray they never do, the damage has been done. The relationship between the President and the people he serves has shifted irrevocably. In every use of official power, the President is now a king above the law.”

This was just 233 days ago:

One of the things we learnt during Trump term one is that corruption committed openly and without shame gets less coverage because there's no opportunity for EXPOSES, SCOOPS, and EXCLUSIVES.

It's just there, gets reported, and on we go.

The Populist Playbook: Why Identity Trumps Policy and How Democrats Can Adapt Despite their poor record in office, populists continue to win elections. Traditional models that assume a narrow definition of self-interest fail to explain the electoral resilience of populism. Con...

Excited to share new work with Andrés Velasco (open access)! Populism isn’t just bad policy—it’s powerful identity politics. To beat it, we need better identity politics: liberal, inclusive, & rooted in a sense of shared fate. Check it out here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

Here’s the link to the article: t.co/ngBoRErN65. Thanks for reading this far! THE END

Additionally, these patterns weren’t tied to any specific ministry: the trends were consistent across the board (disclaimer: we excluded the Health Ministry from this study). This suggests a systematic preference rather than prioritisation of specific areas or policies.

We also showed that the reduced hiring of Social Scientists wasn’t driven by a single profession but applied broadly—e.g., public administration, education, sociology—all declined under Piñera, with a few exceptions (eg journalism, psychology; + poli sci, which always grew).

30% to 100% more likely to be Civil and Business Engineers compared to Bachelet’s, while the likelihood of hires being Social Scientists was 30% to 60% lower. Notably, there were no consistent effects for the other three professional groups.

Conversely, we expected left-wing governments to prefer more Social Scientists. What did we find? Both hypotheses were correct, and the magnitudes are striking. After controlling for several factors, we found that Piñera’s administrations' hires were...

Drawing on public perceptions and adapting some existing literature (including work on Chile by Nicolas Fleet: Ch5 of t.co/f8OjGAsVzl), we hypothesised that right-wing governments would favour the 1st group, ie Civil Engineers & Econ/Business majors (prestigious professions in the private sector).

We focused on professional and managerial hires at grade 10 or above (top 25% of all hires), grouping professions into five categories: Civil Engineers + Economics/Business; Social Sciences; Law; Other Engineering; and all others. Each group represents ~20% of the total.

Using extensively cleaned and processed individual public employment data from 2010–2020, we compared the hiring profiles of President Bachelet’s second term (2014–2018, left-wing) with the right-wing administrations that preceded and followed it (Piñera 1 2010-2014 and Piñera 2 2018-2022).