Daniel Müller

🦋 The Land System Group is now on Bluesky!
We're excited to share some interesting insights from our research group at IAMO. Keep up to date by following us.

My colleague, Patrick Meyfroidt, has 3 PhD positions and 2 Postdoc positions as part of a new ERC grant on 'land use, sustainability, and democratic backsliding'. Hoping to reach Canadian candidates through this post.

landsystems-lab.earth/news/25-07-3...
landsystems-lab.earth/news/25-07-3...

Snow water equivalent estimates and climate oscillation indices that were used as predictors

Inclusion of #ENSO & #NAO climate indices enhances prediction accuracy and reduces uncertainty of seasonal discharge when incorporated into snowpack data, especially at longer lead times. @gfz.bsky.social @iamo.bsky.social

Machine-learning workflow of the ensemble-based forecast approach

Our new study combines snow-water equivalent data with #climate teleconnections in an ensemble-stacking workflow to improve seasonal #streamflow forecasts in #CentralAsia at various lead times: hess.copernicus.org/articles/29/...

Researchers value null results, but struggle to publish them Survey finds that fear of reputational harm and a lack of support and publication platforms are among respondents’ key concerns.

Scientists overwhelmingly recognize the value of sharing null results, but rarely publish them in the research literature

go.nature.com/450KElr

credits: Johannes Kamp

#NewPaper led by Brett R. Hankerson,
@tkuemmerle.bsky.social @kampjohannes.bsky.social @danielmu11er.bsky.social and Florian Schierhorn out now in Regional Environmental Change
@iamo.bsky.social

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Changes in #grazing patterns explain post-Soviet fire trends on the Eurasian #steppe better than #climate.
More empirical evidence that the build up of biomass due to the collapse of livestock systems made Kazakhstan a global #fire hotspot:
link.springer.com/article/10.1...

🌿 Join Our Team as Postdoctoral Researcher in Regional Climate Downscaling at the Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL in Switzerland and lead the development of regional, highresolution climate scenarios for Armenia. @wslresearch.bsky.social @wsl-dme.bsky.social apply.refline.ch/273855/1747/...

The data cover 19 EU countries with up to 17 years of annual data. It includes detailed crop codes, farm identifiers, and organic cultivation status—crucial for analysing land-use changes and farming practices

Field and farm-level data on agricultural land use for the European Union - Scientific Data Scientific Data - Field and farm-level data on agricultural land use for the European Union

A comprehensive field- and farm-level land-use dataset from the Integrated Administration and Control System (IACS) is now available: doi.org/10.1038/s415... #OpenData #EUAgri #LandUse #SustainableFarming

Land of opportunities: aligning organic farming and conservation targets in Europe In the face of growing environmental challenges, the European Green Deal sets ambitious targets for 2030, including strictly protecting 10% of the EU’s land area and expanding organic farming to 25...

Interesting new paper on European conservation targets and land-use conflicts

Land of opportunities: aligning organic farming and conservation targets in Europe
doi.org/10.1080/0964...

@glp-earth.bsky.social

Congratulations to Future Earth community member Zia Mehrabi, one of three international winners of the 2025 Frontiers Planet Prize!

He was recognized for research showing how agricultural diversification can benefit both human and environmental health. He'll receive $1M to scale up his work. 🌱🌍

The researchers contacted the authors of the original studies -- 156 of them.

And you know how many were willing to share data?

14% of them.

If we're going to address replication issues, it has to start with sharing data.

In it, we bring up four main hurdles we and other women around us have faced through the early stages of our careers, and outline several (of many other) actions that we see as necessary for achieving gender equity in academia.

(Nice synthesis of our piece here: www.fu-berlin.de/en/presse/in...)

New PhD position on large mammals and land-use change in Europe | Conservation Biogeography Lab We are excited to invite applications for a new PhD position on large mammals and land-use change in Europe. Join us at the Conservation and Biogeography Lab at Humboldt University Berlin!

Come join us at the Conservation Biogeography Lab @biogeoberlin.bsky.social @humboldtuni.bsky.social and carry out work on megafauna in Europe

pages.cms.hu-berlin.de/biogeo/websi...

Putting land claiming on the map reveals that the footprint of agricultural frontiers extends far into seemingly ‘intact’ forests.
New paper by @o-delgiorgio.bsky.social in PNAS @pnas.org
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
@matthiasbaumann.bsky.social
@tkuemmerle.bsky.social
@yannlepolain.bsky.social

‼️ Last chance to register ‼️

Registration for the IAMO Forum 2025 is open until June 1!

➡️ Register now:

forum2025.iamo.de/about-the-co...

Actual and projected climatic treeline positions. Left: North-Western Carpathians (High Tatras); right: Southern Carpathians (Făgăraș)

We used the mean temperature of the warmest quarter from 23 global climate models to project areas above the climatic treeline for several SSPs. In the high-emissions scenario, the climatic treeline almost entirely disappears in about 50 years.

Depending on future climate projections, the climatic envelope for alpine ecosystems is expected to decrease to 410–515 km2 by 2040, 100–320 km2 by 2060, and 15–290 km2 by 2080 (3)

We identified the climatic treeline on high-resolution sat imagery, then correlated these with the location of the treeline. The mean temperature of the warmest quarter correlated most with treeline location. The current total area of the climatic envelope for alpine ecosystems is ~1,370 km2 (2)

Climatic determinants of the Carpathian treeline and its projected upward shifts in response to climate change - Climatic Change Treelines represent a significant ecological boundary in mountainous regions. Changes in temperature and precipitation regimes due to climate change affect the location of treelines, contingent on fin...

Our new article examines the climatic determinants of the treeline in the Carpathian Mountains and how it is likely to shift upwards with climate change: doi.org/10.1007/s105... (1)

🌎 Call for Applications!!

The GLP Early Career Network & START are offering 5 Small Seed Awards (USD 1000 each) for projects led by ecr's & practitioners tackling Land System Science challenges.

More info here: drive.google.com/file/d/1qHkX...
Apply here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Come and join us in Berlin - at a great university in a vibrant, livable, and green city!

Figure - Some emergent mechanisms in economies that may affect trust. Weakly governed market economies unleash mechanisms that can undermine trust. Well-functioning democratic regimes may dampen such effects. Note that various feedback loops (+ or −) exist that may amplify change toward either a low-trust or a high-trust regime. There is an intrinsic tendency for societies to move toward the right toward state capture and processes that undermine trust. Historically, aging states have been shown to lose resilience due to such intrinsic undermining tendencies, leading to the termination of states (76). The alternation between periods in which the virtuous versus vicious feedbacks dominate may drive oscillations between regimes (77). Yet, some states historically survived much longer than others, suggesting that processes such as institutional revitalization may prevent or delay the loss of resilience (76) and the meltdown of trust we discuss.

Meltdown of trust in weakly governed economies
Polasky+
doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

via "the intrinsic tendency for inequality to grow,
media to boost perceived unfairness, &
self-interest to gain rewards at the expense of others"
however,
investment in public good can create a high-trust state

Bodenfeuchte Daten für Europa im März 2025

🌾Is a new drought coming to parts of Europe? ZALF and @dwdderwetterdienst.bsky.social warn:
Soils in Eastern Europe and some parts of Germany are very dry. An extremely dry winter has not been able to replenish water reserves. www.zalf.de/en/aktue... #agriculture #climate change 🧪

A pair of wellies are standing on a dry patch of earth.

Register now for the #iamoForum25 “Rural Roots and Routes: Navigating Complexities of Quality of Life, #Immobility, and #Migration” from 18 - 20 June in #Halle (Saale), Germany. Early bird registration is possible until 4 May. www.iamo.de/forum/2025

co-organized by @isqols.bsky.social and @oenb.at

Navigating Change Conference – Agricultural Sustainability and Rural Development in Central Asia From 14 to 15 October 2025, the conference “Navigating Change: Agricultural Sustainability and Rural Development in Central Asia” will take place at the Westminster International University in Tashken...

📢 Call for Papers! 🌱🚜 Navigating Change Conference (Oct 14–15, 2025, Tashkent) explores agricultural sustainability & rural development in #centralasia. Submit your extended abstracts by June 16, 2025! Topics & details: shorturl.at/KYpuZ #agriculture #sustainability #ruraldevelopment

Massenproteste in Serbien: «Er ist am Ende!» 300 000 Menschen demonstrieren friedlich gegen das korrupte System von Aleksandar Vučić. Unterwegs in Belgrad an einem historischen Samstag.

Ihr habt die Bilder der Massen in Belgrad gesehen – aber wie war es mittendrin? Meine Reportage für @woz.ch gibt eine von rund 300.000 Antworten. Unterwegs an einem historischen Samstag. www.woz.ch/2512/massenp...

Wo ist die EU..? Man hört leider wenig von ihr… Angst um das Lithium?