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Tim Arrowsmith

@timarrowsmith.bsky.social

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ β€’ Motorcyclist β€’ Winery Owner β€’ PhD: history of British motorcycle culture

97 Followers  |  154 Following  |  36 Posts  |  Joined: 16.11.2024  |  1.6471

Latest posts by timarrowsmith.bsky.social on Bluesky

Interesting counterposition: Rebecca Burke, British woman detained for 10 days in the US was refused entry from US-Canada because she was intending to work, and didn't have a work visa to enter Canada. She was detained on return to the US because she didn't have a work visa to enter the US either

06.04.2025 19:03 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

meaning the dealership income for EV brands will plummet. Ford (or indeed any other brand) can replace that lost revenue with charging. Existing dealerships could easily add charging stations across the country, using real estate Tesla never had, and take a % off the fee charged to users. END

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

As Ford moves to a more dense EV offering across its range, it could acquire its own charging network at a bargain price, having also recently done the deal to open up Tesla chargers to Mustangs and Lightnings. Why does that make sense? Because EVs require little to no ingoing maintenance 8/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

... and acquire - and rebrand - the Supercharger network (which is itself in poor shape and in dire need of investment). As for the cars, the CyberTruck excluded, they're dated designs with interiors that disintegrate after hard use. Ford could wipe out the cars and retain the 60,000 chargers. 7/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

...it was at its lowest share price last year, so it's not unreasonable to expect the price to drop < $100. It's hard to see how they survive beyond the end of the year, and if they do it'll be brutal for them. I've long expected Ford to reverse into Tesla in a value collapse... 6/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

So where does that leave Tesla? It's hard to see rural Republican voters overcome their antipathy for EVs to sufficiently support the brand so it makes a comeback. There'll be a symbolic bounce in sales & the share price but there'll be a downward trend. The brand is in worse shape than.. 5/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

$138.80 was Tesla's lowest 52w share price, $488.54 the highest. That's wild fluctuation, way beyond anything seen by any other car manufacturer. The market gets more competitive by the day, and there's no sign of any imminent changes in interest rates. Recalls on the cars are plentiful. 4/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Throw a 7 to 8% interest rate into the mix and you have a very potent mix of barriers to purchase. Toxic branding, expensive lease costs, low residual values whether you buy or lease.... Tesla needs even deeper pockets than it had in 2024 to subsidize leasing / purch finance, and boost sales 3/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Lease deals are based on the value of the car at the end of the lease period and the mileage limitations. Right now Tesla projected values in 3 yrs are anyone's guess, so the market will price in a very low RV. Monthly lease costs will rise exponentially, making the cars wildly uncompetitive. 2/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Tesla boycotts / demonstrations at dealers are a sign that residual values are about to tank. The impact on RVs will be felt on leasing, which is all that was propping up Tesla's sales in Q3/Q4 last year. Model 3 cars were available for $199/mth, which boosted sales. That will evaporate in 2025 1/?

17.03.2025 19:50 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This is how the Press and the Public at town halls need to phrase it when talking to GOP in Congress.

"Do you support the US Government standing with North Korea in attacking and killing Europeans?"

25.02.2025 01:09 β€” πŸ‘ 498    πŸ” 87    πŸ’¬ 8    πŸ“Œ 2

Drop it into Google docs, then just scroll through checking each for words underlined. You would spot any typos in no time at all.

19.02.2025 07:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Might be best if you didn't fly for a while....

18.02.2025 09:59 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Which is why you don't need tech bros, you need expensive forensic accountants.

16.02.2025 22:07 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

This feels accurate

15.02.2025 18:12 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's 626 days until the mid terms.

15.02.2025 14:23 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image 15.02.2025 03:27 β€” πŸ‘ 21566    πŸ” 4053    πŸ’¬ 497    πŸ“Œ 156
Video thumbnail

Brianna Keilar: Do you think that calling Elon Musk a dick is effective messaging?

Congressman Robert Garcia: Well, he is a dick.

12.02.2025 21:58 β€” πŸ‘ 25818    πŸ” 4836    πŸ’¬ 1787    πŸ“Œ 1168

Next time you're in Costco, take a look at the name badges of the staff. Each one has the year the employee started working there. At our two local stores many of the staff have been there over thirty years. That tells you everything you need to know about how they treat their staff.

02.02.2025 08:31 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fun fact: Mike Hailwood's Honda RC181 from this race is in the Solvang Motorcycle Museum three miles from my home.

01.02.2025 17:58 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

That's great photo, and I really want to see someone reprinting those Castrol T-shirts.

01.02.2025 17:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's a great video, and it's totally right that it was pitched at a different demographic than the usual stuff. This is exactly how we attract more people into motorcycling, and by building that bridge between ebikes /Surrons and the more conventional stuff. Great work.

29.01.2025 22:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

You've got just a couple of days to binge the first season of SAS: Rogue Heroes on Amazon Prime before it gets dropped. It's a fascinating story - mostly true - in which Nazis and fascists get stabbed, shot and blown up in comically large numbers.

29.01.2025 08:53 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It's certainly a short sighted approach, even if it was done in a cheery way.

28.01.2025 20:20 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Don't give your customers an excuse to take their business elsewhere by polarizing your prospects. Last thing I want to do now is any training or travel with this company if I think I'll have to tolerate the owner forcing his views on me while *I pay for his time*.

28.01.2025 19:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

An owner telegraphing his support for Trump in the first email marketing communications for 2025 is a brave move, especially here in California. It's a motorcycle business that's clearly been struggling for the last year or so, and may not be off to the best start. They just lost my business.

28.01.2025 19:18 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 1

I wish more people understood this.

28.01.2025 19:15 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Just got a notification that Ducati's latest Panigale V4 has been recalled for a problem causing rear brake failure. Slightly worrying that a big manufacturer can have such a serious issue that makes it through quality control.

23.01.2025 17:29 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Meanwhile, in California, we're dumping excess renewable energy to neighboring states because solar and wind generation far exceeds demand. What a clown.

23.01.2025 11:05 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

No doubt driven by a desire to free EU economies from reliance on Russian gas. De facto sanctions; just as effective, despite taking longer.

23.01.2025 10:52 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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