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@wavebidder.bsky.social

Applied Mathematician turned infectious disease forecaster. Generally EA aligned.

497 Followers  |  2,076 Following  |  1,388 Posts  |  Joined: 14.11.2024  |  1.8459

Latest posts by wavebidder.bsky.social on Bluesky

The fourth circle of Hell: Maslow Alighieriโ€™s Hierarchy of Greeds

04.02.2026 06:18 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 29    ๐Ÿ” 5    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4
89 is a lot of TESCREAL

89 is a lot of TESCREAL

lmao didn't expect to be this far out. I guess some of these are "in principle only" answers

04.02.2026 06:20 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Sadly, 8-6 was a quieter caucus than in previous years. I have no problem attributing that to the fact that we're a heavily Latinx precinct, one of the most in the city. Good results all around with our group, but there was an aching absence

04.02.2026 05:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 44    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

An (Iโ€™m assuming unpopular) thought I have been having is the importance of centering immigrants and refugees in our stories of this moment.

When we center the stories of only observers, we get milquetoast.

Do you know who is brave? The mom who is terrified to go to work accepting help.

31.01.2026 06:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 100    ๐Ÿ” 36    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Ours in Longfellow was remarkably contained, but there were 120 of us.

04.02.2026 05:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Six years to be told to my face what a fucking failure I am in my defense, after the best scientist I know told me he loved me.

It put me into a spiral of depression that lasted six months to a year.

Why did I do it? I did it for me. I liked it. Because I was good at it.

04.02.2026 05:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think people often wonder this, and it's a great question, so let me explain the advantages of 3D printing whistles. There are many.

The 3D printing effort started from one of our organizers who started by sourcing mass-produced whistles.

04.02.2026 03:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 930    ๐Ÿ” 311    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 14    ๐Ÿ“Œ 60

I gave a talk to the @cartoonist.coop about how to keep your expenses organized for filing your taxes. And I end it with, don't use HR Block or Turbo Tax because they are keeping taxes complicated. If they aren't hiring an accountant, they should use www.freetaxusa.com instead

03.02.2026 23:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 192    ๐Ÿ” 101    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

silver lining of no peak oil is a much longer timeline to figure out renewable fertilizer

03.02.2026 23:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Not only did the cybercrime unit in Paris raid the X offices.

They rubbed it in and posted on X that the X offices have been raided.

Then retired their Twitter account, so their final post is that they are raiding Musk.

Absolute legend.

Magnifique! ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท

03.02.2026 18:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1746    ๐Ÿ” 611    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 71    ๐Ÿ“Œ 48
SHOCKING FEDERAL COURT MOMENT: DOJ attorney Julie Le, "The system sucks, this job sucks" to Judge Jerry Blackwell who pressed her on why so many court orders are being ignored by ICE/Trump admin. She asked to be held in contempt just so she could get 24 hours of sleep. @FOX9

SHOCKING FEDERAL COURT MOMENT: DOJ attorney Julie Le, "The system sucks, this job sucks" to Judge Jerry Blackwell who pressed her on why so many court orders are being ignored by ICE/Trump admin. She asked to be held in contempt just so she could get 24 hours of sleep. @FOX9

This is unreal. An AUSA talking like that in open court is about as close as you can come to a total breakdown. Never heard of anything like it.

03.02.2026 20:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 10577    ๐Ÿ” 3189    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 282    ๐Ÿ“Œ 856

this posting spree is mostly about leveraging this to get more people to talk to the press and focus on effective strategies.

03.02.2026 06:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think some adjacent neighborhoods may have increased their chatting with the press, but that seems to be about it

03.02.2026 06:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Iโ€™ve been in four or five chats that have been โ€œdoxxedโ€ or sabotaged by right-wing dipshits in the past week, and they mostly just start over right away and people keep doing what they have been doing. Specifically because nothing that is happening is illegal and all of the methods are transparent.

03.02.2026 04:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 352    ๐Ÿ” 36    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I am going to keep hammering what I see as the dichotomy between offense and defense in how people are confronting ICE here. The offensive aspects (e.g. tracking or observing ICE or doing rapid response) are much less like traditional organizing, whereas the defensive aspects (e.g. mutual aid) are.

03.02.2026 04:34 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 603    ๐Ÿ” 80    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11

Women couldnโ€™t be stormtroopers, so thatโ€™s one in three of his male voters. (Women were not much less likely to be Nazis.) Exclude the old men, and youโ€™re approaching half of Nazi men of stormtrooper age actually being stormtroopers.

That, in America? L, O, and I cannot emphasize this enough, L

03.02.2026 05:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 38    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

the aspect ratio makes me think of PCR

03.02.2026 05:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I always find gloves make keeping my fingers warm more difficult, but I definitely have bad circulation

03.02.2026 05:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

once again begging democrats to not continue limiting renters to harmful places

corridor zoning is a public health disaster.

bsky.app/profile/holz...

03.02.2026 01:07 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 68    ๐Ÿ” 11    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

the american version of eichmann is someone who works for doge. he owns The Singularity is Near. he has placed at least bronze in at least one kaggle contest, or equivalent. he does not keep posters on his wall because that's for boomers. his laptop wallpaper is either anime or a spacex rocket.

03.02.2026 04:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 96    ๐Ÿ” 10    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

I don't think this lasts months; the latest I've heard of rooms reserved was May, and I suspect they'll declare victory soon given all the failure they've hit.

This is just an emergency response. Sucks, but people believe in community, and basically everyone's doing *something* already.

03.02.2026 04:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

like a quarter of the people who do it would probably hate me for saying this, but it resembles beat-cop work, but without weapons or pay

03.02.2026 03:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

We Will Fill the Vacant Ranks With A Million Freemen More is not a promise. it is a threat.

03.02.2026 02:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 456    ๐Ÿ” 64    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 7    ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

jfc, the EAs who focus on AI have really lost the plot.

03.02.2026 03:51 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

What real heroism looks like is you drive past a school and itโ€™s 7am and itโ€™s -3 out and there are four dads posted at every door scanning every passing car to be sure itโ€™s not someone coming to take the children. And you drive by at noon and theyโ€™re there. And you drive by at 3pm and theyโ€™re there

03.02.2026 01:02 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1604    ๐Ÿ” 262    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 20    ๐Ÿ“Œ 12

My spouse refers to this as boring dangerous work, because most of the time it's just reading license plates, and then suddenly you have to tail someone who will shoot you if they think they can get away with it.

03.02.2026 03:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 295    ๐Ÿ” 29    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

No the โ€œanarchists in blocโ€ flocking in to fight ICE are very specifically interlopers. Minneapolis is being protected by ordinary neighbors using tactics that they are comfortable with and can learn. Thatโ€™s why there are tens of thousands of people involved.

03.02.2026 00:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 794    ๐Ÿ” 57    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 18    ๐Ÿ“Œ 11

The purpose of this is not to divine the internal alignment of these models (which would require many more tests) but to see if they have hardcoded commissar-modules (like deepseek, when you ask about Xi) around subjects sensitive to the current regime.

As of three days ago, they did not.

02.02.2026 19:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 37    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Come to America! Starve to death in DIFFERENT haunted mountains! (Okay, the same haunted mountains, but now on a new continent!)

02.02.2026 23:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
I want to let you know about something that happened at Pizza Luce and encourage you to thank and patronize them.  One of the drivers at Parkway Pizza who is a friend of mine told me tonight about something that happened at the downtown Mpls Pizza Lucรฉ where his wife works.  
A kitchen manager has been giving rides to workers afraid to take public transportation to work.  Last week, two ICE SUVs pulled her over.  There was a young Latina women in the car and ICE grabbed her.  She is here legally, but apparently, if you are not white, you need to carry a passport or other documents with you.
Despite the fact that she is here legally, ICE flew her to their detention facility outside of El Paso, TX.  Fortunately, the owner of the Pizza Lucรฉ chain paid for a lawyer to expedite her release.  Unfortunately, when ICE is forced to release people they have unlawfully detained and flown to Texas, they do not fly them back.  They just dump them on the streets of El Paso.  But again, fortunately, the owner of Pizza Lucรฉ paid for a plane ticket to fly her home.  So please thank the folks at Pizza Lucรฉ if you have the chance.
Dozens of Minnesotans have not been so lucky as this woman and are trying to find their way back from Texas.  Today's NY Times has a story about "Selamawit Mehari, an Eritrean single mother of three.... federal agents showed up at her apartment in St. Paul...(even though) her older daughter produced paperwork proving her mother was in the United States lawfully, the agents shackled Ms. Mehari and took her away."  The story cites many like her who "were eventually released in Texas, leaving them to find their own way home."

I want to let you know about something that happened at Pizza Luce and encourage you to thank and patronize them. One of the drivers at Parkway Pizza who is a friend of mine told me tonight about something that happened at the downtown Mpls Pizza Lucรฉ where his wife works. A kitchen manager has been giving rides to workers afraid to take public transportation to work. Last week, two ICE SUVs pulled her over. There was a young Latina women in the car and ICE grabbed her. She is here legally, but apparently, if you are not white, you need to carry a passport or other documents with you. Despite the fact that she is here legally, ICE flew her to their detention facility outside of El Paso, TX. Fortunately, the owner of the Pizza Lucรฉ chain paid for a lawyer to expedite her release. Unfortunately, when ICE is forced to release people they have unlawfully detained and flown to Texas, they do not fly them back. They just dump them on the streets of El Paso. But again, fortunately, the owner of Pizza Lucรฉ paid for a plane ticket to fly her home. So please thank the folks at Pizza Lucรฉ if you have the chance. Dozens of Minnesotans have not been so lucky as this woman and are trying to find their way back from Texas. Today's NY Times has a story about "Selamawit Mehari, an Eritrean single mother of three.... federal agents showed up at her apartment in St. Paul...(even though) her older daughter produced paperwork proving her mother was in the United States lawfully, the agents shackled Ms. Mehari and took her away." The story cites many like her who "were eventually released in Texas, leaving them to find their own way home."

From FB regarding Pizza Luce in Minnesota.

I like it when I can do something to help people displaced by ICE and then after I do that thing I get to eat a pizza.

02.02.2026 18:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2711    ๐Ÿ” 930    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 57    ๐Ÿ“Œ 115

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