dezamaroczy.bsky.social

At the end, I consider 4 plausible specific scenarios that could happen over the next 18 months.
1) A Boycott of a Major Video Game for Geopolitical Reasons
2) A Ban on a Foreign Mobile Game by the US Gov't
3) Increased Regulatory Pressure on Valve's Steam
4) Tencent Having to Divest Its US Holdings

11.06.2025 02:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Will Gaming Be the Next Casualty of the Great Decoupling? The video game industry has managed to sit out the Great Decoupling until now, but moving forward is likely to find itself in the crosshairs.  Regulators in both China and the US are taking a …

Just published a piece on how the video game industry is weathering the Great Decoupling between the US and China. Regulators in both China and the US are taking a heightened interest in this lucrative, highly globalized, and increasingly politicized industry.

wp.me/p7BZNR-12d

11.06.2025 02:03 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

ILL/ILB library staff are the real heroes of basically all research, especially humanities research.

Just insane to watch us, as a society, actively opting to let decades of knowledge and progress rot, not out of poverty, but out of a mix of apathy and malice.

10.06.2025 19:12 — 👍 233    🔁 55    💬 4    📌 1

This is a funny reminder that at the start of the year I was very worried that we were not going to renew the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA, our unilateral trade deal with many African countries), and how quaint that worry looks versus the current 10% tariffs on all African countries

21.05.2025 20:37 — 👍 173    🔁 10    💬 1    📌 0

A drone view of detainees forming the letters SOS with their bodies in the courtyard at the Bluebonnet Detention Facility, where Venezuelans at the center of a U.S. Supreme Court ruling are held, in Anson, Texas, U.S. April 28, 2025. REUTERS/Paul Ratje

April 28, 2025: Migrants are making SOS signs out of their bodies so drones can see them at our country's concentration camps.

30.04.2025 19:08 — 👍 42484    🔁 14722    💬 772    📌 680

“5/10: The EU's Deforestation-free Supply Chain Regulation (EUDR) aims to prohibit imports of seven products—including cattle, cocoa, rubber, and wood—unless exporters meet various burdensome compliance requirements, including due diligence and geolocation data. It is estimated the EUDR will potentially impact $8.6 billion worth of annual U.S. agricultural and industrial exports.” 7/10: Illegal logging and illegal mining in South America, particularly in Brazil, Peru, Colombia, and Ecuador, fuel environmental degradation and create unfair competition that harms U.S. businesses committed to responsible sourcing and compliance with environmental laws. These illicit activities, which usually involve transnational criminal organizations, distort global commodity markets by driving down prices and allowing bad actors to undercut legitimate American exporters.

I’m losing my mind here. USTR made a list of “Unfair trade practices” they’re retaliating against, complaint number 5 is that the EU cares too much about stopping illegal deforestation, complaint number 7 is that the South Americans are doing too much illegal deforestation

07.04.2025 21:55 — 👍 4404    🔁 1128    💬 137    📌 85

Again, nobody is forcing them to put tariffs on bananas, coffee, avocados, or any of the hundreds food/minerals/materials that literally can't be obtained in the US. They could write exemptions for any or all of them. Instead they press the "make groceries more expensive" button.

02.04.2025 21:55 — 👍 3367    🔁 654    💬 63    📌 26

Do Geopolitical Risk Datasets Show the Trump Effect Yet? The Unprecedentedness of Trump 2.0 We are 5 weeks into Donald Trump’s second presidency, and four months since he won the 2024 election. In foreign policy, the effects have already felt catac…

nicolasdezamaroczy.com/2025/03/04/d...

05.03.2025 03:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

A bitter irony of these cuts is that economists will have amazing regression discontinuity designs to quantify exactly how much human suffering the cuts engendered.

12.02.2025 03:05 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

America Already Has a Greenland. It’s Called Alaska. There is a well-established pattern from the first Trump presidency that the world temporarily forgot during the Biden years and is now rediscovering. Trump will pick up provocative ideas from people in his orbit, will repeat them out loud, people will freak out, causing Trump to double down, and then the commenting classes will write articles saying, "Well, you know, actually the idea isn't that dumb." But the idea does indeed remain fundamentally unsound.

The US doesn't need Greenland, it's already got Alaska.

23.01.2025 18:28 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Love the deep cut.

17.12.2024 05:16 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0