Pawel Zerka, PhD's Avatar

Pawel Zerka, PhD

@pawelzerka.bsky.social

Senior Policy Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), based in France / public opinion on foreign affairs / European sentiment / France / Poland / Belarus / Latin America

300 Followers  |  41 Following  |  10 Posts  |  Joined: 25.11.2024  |  1.4664

Latest posts by pawelzerka.bsky.social on Bluesky

@rafal-trzaskowski.bsky.social powinien zacząć mówić o 2027.

Jeśli Nawrocki motywuje wyborców potrzebą zatrzymania jedynowładztwa Tuska, to łatwo to odwrócić. Prawica ze skrajną prawicą mogą dojść do władzy w 2027.

Trzaskowski jako prezydent jest potrzebny, aby zatrzymać ich jedynowładztwo.

20.05.2025 11:38 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

These are Eurovisionary times.

07.05.2025 10:18 — 👍 17    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Rightwing Polish presidential candidate meets Trump The first round of the Polish presidential election will take place on May 18.

This is interesting on so many levels: as an effort of #Trump 2.0 to influence domestic politics in Europe (this time in #Poland); as an experiment on whether this can boost rather than damage the candidate's credibility; and as presence of 'US policy' in elections.

tvpworld.com/86489103/rig...

02.05.2025 10:43 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

With @celiabelin.bsky.social and @camillelons.bsky.social, we argue Le Pen's conviction will have implications well beyond France, serving as a powerful proof for the international far-right that the system is unfair and skewed against them 👇 @ecfr.eu

01.04.2025 20:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Preview
Disdain for Ukraine: How Europeans can support Zelensky against Trump’s cuts The Trump administration has withdrawn all military aid for Ukraine. Europeans can fill the void—but they need to act fast

The Trump administration has withdrawn all military aid for Ukraine. Europeans can fill the void—but they need to act fast, writes @rafaelloss.bsky.social

Read here:

05.03.2025 14:47 — 👍 22    🔁 8    💬 0    📌 0

Join us next week for the discussion inspired by ECFR's fresh polling data.

05.02.2025 15:36 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Don't write off #France just yet, but instead keep it engaged in Europe's defence & #Ukraine decisions + seek to fill in Europe's leadership gaps that its domestic political turmoil only exacerbates.

Here's our recommendation - with @camillegrand.bsky.social & Camille Lons - for the rest of Europe.

06.12.2024 12:00 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 1

Germany, France... Which is the other EU country most vulnerable to government collapse or the need to call snap elections?

The Netherlands? The Czech Republic? Spain?

05.12.2024 08:29 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Today's vote to end #Barnier gov looks like a lose-lose situation to me.

Not only will it heighten economic uncertainty in and vis-a-vis #France, but it's also to-be-seen if the left or the far-right, who voted the government down, will be able to draw any political benefit from it.

04.12.2024 20:52 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Argentina needs Brazil or Europe needs Argentina?

26.11.2024 08:51 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Preview
Samba Steps: Understanding Brazil’s global role and what it means for Europe As global power dynamics shift amid intensifying US-China rivalry, the rise of assertive middle powers, and increased scepticism toward the international rules-based order…

Why #Europe needs #Brazil, how the two misunderstand each other, and what would it take for them to build a real partnership.

We discussed these with Monica Hirst @jpuglierin.bsky.social & Nacho Torreblanca at the @ecfr.bsky.social webinar last Friday. Watch it here 👇

ecfr.eu/event/samba-...

25.11.2024 14:43 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0

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