Charles Franklin

Big Wisconsin news today is Gov. Tony Evers will not seek a third term, creating wide open primaries in both parties.

Here is a review of Evers polling as governor, opinion about a 3rd term and the challenge of building name recognition for 2026. law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...

Hot summer refreshment.

Here you go. Crosstabs for May are at www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/0bq8s...

You can see all our polls on this term’s cases at law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...

The Supreme Court today upheld Tennessee's ban on transgender treatment for minors with a 6-3 majority. In @MULawPoll national surveys this year about 70% favor this outcome with about 30% opposed. Independents and Democrats became slightly more opposed in May.

Since December each partisan group has become less likely to say Trump policies will decrease inflation. Majority of Reps still believe but down 21 points since Dec. Inds very dubious. MULawPoll, National May 5-15

Quite an honor to be compared to this Charles. Let’s say I’m well preserved.

YouTube video by WGN News New Marquette Law School Poll

A quick look at this week’s *national* MULawPoll results on Trump approval across issues and what are the most important issues. m.youtube.com/watch?v=_qu3...

Americans remain wary of Trump's handling of the economy, new poll shows They were apprehensive of Trump’s tariff plan even before he launched his sweeping policy in April.

Trump's job approval on inflation and the cost of living in @pollsandvotes.bsky.social's new Marquette national poll: 34% approve, 66% disapprove.

New Marquette Law School *national* poll. law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-cont...

Could be, though Nate’s model accounts for partisan lean of each pollster. If Trump quit hurting himself on tariffs I think there could be a rise. If not and if inflation rises then I expect more decline in approval. Inflation remains #1 most important issue.

Consumer confidence fell in May (see earlier post). But note that Trump net approval is up a bit in May. Reps should worry about confidence and Dems should not assume approval will fall continuously.

The Boundaries of Law and Politics | Marquette Today Wisconsin’s 2020 redistricting cycle was long, bitterly contested, and subject to dramatic reversals of fortune. Yet perhaps the most unusual feature of the whole process was how it ended in 2024: wit...

Care about how districts are drawn and their consequences? MULaw’s John Johnson @jdjmke has a great account of Wisconsin’s redistricting past and a look to 2031 (never too early to plan ahead.) today.marquette.edu/2025/05/the-...

Yes, began recovery from pandemic then high inflation sent it back down. Began rising in summer 2022 after inflation began to fall. Now this.

Consumer sentiment fell for the 5th straight month in UMich data. Look for final May data at end of month to see if lower tariffs with China provide a boost.

I had not seen the vax rate data before, so I was surprised. Also how low rates are in every county, not a blue-red split or urban-rural. And how different we are from other states.

I wonder about that. Ease of opt out seems higher than other states too, though.

Economist writes “One of the largest drops is in Wisconsin—no county there has an mmr vaccination rate above 85%. It is among the most permissive states for vaccine exceptions in schools, allowing opt-out for personal-conviction reasons … parents only have to submit a written note.”

Surprise to me: Wisconsin has an exceptionally low rate of kindergarteners with MMR vaccinations. www.economist.com/graphic-deta...

My @MULawLubar colleague Derek Mosley is part of Milwaukee Magazine’s Most Influential Movers and Shakers list. As Director of the Lubar Center Derek brings fascinating programs to MULaw and the community. Bravo!

www.milwaukeemag.com/milwaukee-pe...

Milwaukee Magazine has included my colleague John Johnson @jdjmke in their Milwaukee’s Most Influential Movers and Shakers. Earlier this year Milwaukee Business Journal listed him in their 40 under 40 awards. Well deserved. www.milwaukeemag.com/milwaukee-pe...

This past week marked the anniversary of the end of the Vietnam war. In 2017 I posted a statistical companion to the Ken Burns PBS documentary on the war. medium.com/@PollsAndVot...

From 1966-1970 there was only one day no US soldier was killed.

As with last week’s UMich survey, the new Conference Board’s consumer confidence survey shows a sharp drop in April.

Thanks Liz!

My colleague jdjmke.bsky.social has a nice analysis showing Dems now advantaged by lower turnout, flipping the pattern prior to 2016. Also shift in Supreme Court elections in Milwaukee give huge boost to liberal candidate. law.marquette.edu/facultyblog/...

Inflation rose in 2021 to a peak in June-July, then declined steadily. Consumer sentiment did the opposite, with low in June-July 2022

Inflation peaked in June-July 2022.

Consumer sentiment chart show sharp drop in April.

University of Michigan consumer sentiment drops precipitously in April.

I have a Sweet Meteor of Death sweatshirt from 2016.

I actually had an audience member who had been a submarine pilot or helmsman. Not yet a respondent, that I know of.