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JkeySports

@jkeysports.bsky.social

Just a fan that likes to talk sports

51 Followers  |  382 Following  |  33 Posts  |  Joined: 15.11.2024  |  2.0594

Latest posts by jkeysports.bsky.social on Bluesky


Philly’s passing game was pretty good when he was pass game coordinator

12.02.2026 01:46 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

So shouldn't their weighted be better than their total?

27.01.2026 03:11 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0

No they’re not using the line at all. We are to judge whether the assumptions he may have been making were reasonable

26.01.2026 22:33 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

How are you not getting this. You're not using the line to make a decision. But any decision made should factor in reasonable guesses for how the game may play out. If we're judging how reasonable those guesses were, looking at the line is a good way to check those assumptions.

26.01.2026 22:01 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

2) the assumption is not that they'll score that many points because Vegas says they will. It's using Vegas as a proxy for what's a reasonable assumption of how many points may have been needed at that point to win the game (which once again, should be a relevant factor for coaches)

26.01.2026 20:51 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

1) having an estimate on how many yards you expect a RB to have over the game shouldn't impact your run/pass decisions at all. Whereas having an estimate of how many points you need should impact how agressive a coach should be in going for points.

26.01.2026 20:49 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

No it's not treating either like a target that will be hit. Lines are only even expected to be the median so half the time it should be below and half the time it should be above.

I think you have 2 misunderstandings here

26.01.2026 20:47 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Objectively, not even the best QB to start for the Browns this year

26.01.2026 19:43 β€” πŸ‘ 14    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

The total being in the 30s isn't arguing to go for it because the total says you're due for a TD. The argument is you should expect to need to score a certain # of points in order to win and therefore when you have a good oppurunity you should try to get 7 instead of settling for 3

26.01.2026 19:39 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

But that's still not what accurate. Saying we expect the RB to gain 50 more yards this game doesn't mean you should expect him to gain 15 yards on this play (or any play)

26.01.2026 19:36 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Because saying an RB should get 50 more yards this game is different from saying an RB should get 50 yards on this play

26.01.2026 19:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It would be 4 1sts in 2027 (Jets, Steelers, Colts, Cowboys). And I agree this would be a great draft for the Jets

23.01.2026 03:10 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Dozens!

18.01.2026 01:44 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I’m with you. There are so many ambiguous was this a catch calls in the NFL and this was not one of them

18.01.2026 01:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I thought his response was reasonable and kinda funny but I’m a big supporter of people curating their own feeds for what’s best for themselves

14.01.2026 19:16 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Why don't they put him in?

28.12.2025 20:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Lakers, Rams, Dodgers, Kings?

16.12.2025 13:30 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

But has he been?

30.11.2025 20:57 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a girl in overalls and a boy in a blue shirt are standing next to each other with the words skate better written in yellow ALT: a girl in overalls and a boy in a blue shirt are standing next to each other with the words skate better written in yellow
06.11.2025 22:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

It was an article about Judge. That doesn’t mean that defense wasn’t considered in who to select as POY. (They even made reference to the August injury preventing him from adding more value in the field which would imply that it was something they thought about)

06.10.2025 23:22 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Why do you assume it's not?

06.10.2025 19:53 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Always love reading these. Thank you!

29.09.2025 15:03 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

I see you don't have Kittle in the standalone tier. I assume that's because of the injury and not saying this is where you'll have him when he's back?

20.09.2025 15:35 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks!

10.09.2025 19:28 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Fascinating. Can you link the article?

10.09.2025 19:19 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Are you going to keep cherry-picking stats or acknowledge that I showed you with stats he’d be on a HOF pace?

13.07.2025 19:41 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

It’s not the only thing he’s top 500 in. He’s top 200 in career SLG, he’s 1st all time in career SB% and he’s up there in a number of defensive stats for OF.

13.07.2025 19:15 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Better than the HOF avg for his position

13.07.2025 12:45 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

This isn't even accurate. Where are you getting this number from? His BA over the sample is .258, this year it's .286, career is .249. He's only ever had one season that he hit .203 or less and that was 2018 when he only played 28 games.

13.07.2025 12:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Walden is exactly who they should be backing. Adams issue is that he's unpopular and corrupt. Throwing money at his campaign won't fix that. Walden's issue is that he's unknown. That's fixable by financing a campaign and giving him a platform to exapnd his reach.

26.06.2025 22:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

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