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Amni Rusli

@amnirusli.bsky.social

Quant, Economist. I write about the US monetary policy at eightateeight.substack.com and about trade at https://eighttradeeight.substack.com/ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­

2,078 Followers  |  2,919 Following  |  627 Posts  |  Joined: 23.09.2023  |  1.5137

Latest posts by amnirusli.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Tech titans lined up for Trump’s second inauguration. Now they’re even richer Silicon Valley bosses who lined up behind the US president for his inauguration have fared well under his administration

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Tech titans lined up for Trump’s second inauguration. Now they’re even richer

20.01.2026 11:01 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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EU readies €93bn tariffs in retaliation for Trump’s Greenland threat Europe could also threaten to restrict US companies’ market access in run-up to crunch talks at Davos

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... EU readies €93bn tariffs in retaliation for Trump’s Greenland threat

18.01.2026 23:10 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/nick...

16.01.2026 15:47 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

bsky.app/profile/clau...

16.01.2026 00:32 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How much is genius worth? The value of the Renaissance masters' work: Leonardo, Michelangelo, and Raphael

How much is genius worth? open.substack.com/pub/artjourn...

15.01.2026 12:55 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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GS

15.01.2026 11:39 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Jay Powell sent senators details on $2.5bn Fed project following testimony Letter seen by FT appears to undermine claims that chair of US central bank misled Congress over renovation

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Jay Powell sent senators details on $2.5bn Fed project following testimony

13.01.2026 20:53 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 1
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Timely Powell (from my post)

13.01.2026 11:41 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 2    πŸ“Œ 0
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Do markets care about Fed independence? They will eventually

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Do markets care about Fed independence?

13.01.2026 06:51 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Justice department’s probe into Jay Powell galvanises Fed leaders to repel Donald Trump’s attacks Federal Reserve chair could stay on board beyond this year in effort to protect US central bank’s independence

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Justice department’s probe into Jay Powell galvanises Fed leaders to repel Donald Trump’s attacks

13.01.2026 06:43 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

while for inflation to be tamed post-Covid shock, this Trump-reign-induced shock will take even longer.

12.01.2026 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 2    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Would crazy, soaring living costs not force Trump to backtrack and demand rate hikes instead, to curb prices?

Or is the bet that the fallout lands squarely on the next president’s lap? If so, it will take forever for the Fed to wrestle high inflation back to 2%; if you think it took a

12.01.2026 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

low interest rates and expansionary measures, despite climbing inflation, fuelling runaway inflation and unanchored expectations that plagued the economy for years.

Now, picture a β€œTrump-dependent” Fed instead of a β€œdata-dependent” one: rates stay artificially low, inflation spirals.

12.01.2026 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

Firstly, don’t judge Fed independence’s importance by market behaviour. Jeopardising it invites severe consequences that emerge sooner or later through multiple channels.

Secondly, the US lived this nightmare before, when Nixon pressured Fed Chair Arthur Burns to ease monetary policy through

12.01.2026 18:23 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0
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bsky.app/profile/fede...

12.01.2026 07:17 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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bsky.app/profile/cram...

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bsky.app/profile/edwa...

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πŸ—»

20.12.2025 18:54 β€” πŸ‘ 5    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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Monday Links: The Fed Divided, the Fed United Some thoughts on last week's FOMC, the unanimous reappointment of Reserve Bank presidents, zigs & zags in supervisio n, Mormons & civility, and the importance of the boring deload week

petercontibrown.substack.com/p/monday-lin...

16.12.2025 23:44 β€” πŸ‘ 3    πŸ” 2    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How US Banks Fund Themselves and Other Things Strictly speaking, this topic does not fall under monetary policymaking, though it is adjacent to it.

How US Banks Fund Themselves and Other Things #EconSky open.substack.com/pub/eightate...

10.12.2025 12:17 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0
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How US Banks Fund Themselves and Other Things Strictly speaking, this topic does not fall under monetary policymaking, though it is adjacent to it.

How US Banks Fund Themselves and Other Things #EconSky open.substack.com/pub/eightate...

10.12.2025 12:17 β€” πŸ‘ 4    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

Globally, central banks are funding fiscal policies whether explicitly or not. That sounds bad, but there is another dimension where achieving price stability requires acknowledging that monetary and fiscal policies cannot ignore each other. #EconSky 🧡 (1/n)

09.12.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 1    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

With primary budget deficits exceeding 3% of GDP and debt trajectories deemed unsustainable, the drift towards fiscal dominance, where politics increasingly trumps policy, poses a profound risk to long-term stability.

09.12.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 0    πŸ“Œ 0

False promises to one’s own population may have won elections, but using the same ploy under the scrutiny of the international community will not win the same credibility and trust.

09.12.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 1    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

The focus is also wrong when the priority should have been the welfare of ordinary people, seeing them through a period of elevated inflation and growth plans that need to fit the new reality of the US’s fiscal challenges.

09.12.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

of the fiscal plan to stimulate growth.

It’s hypocritical for the US to, on one hand, plan for growth through tax cuts and increased spending, and yet on the other hand exacerbate barriers to trade and investment that undermine productivity.

09.12.2025 19:40 β€” πŸ‘ 0    πŸ” 0    πŸ’¬ 1    πŸ“Œ 0

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