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Social Science Prediction Platform (SSPP)

@socscipredict.bsky.social

The Social Science Prediction Platform (SSPP) enables researchers to collect and contribute to forecasts of academic studies. socialscienceprediction.org

128 Followers  |  34 Following  |  34 Posts  |  Joined: 21.11.2024  |  1.6048

Latest posts by socscipredict.bsky.social on Bluesky

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The Economic Impact of University Research Parks We are conducting a study to understand the estimated economic impacts of university-affiliated research parks. Your participation in this survey will help us gather anonymous information on the perce...

New on the SSPP: what are the economic impacts of university-affiliated research parks? Make forecasts below on this study by @mihaicod.bsky.social:
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/46...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Labor Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: Oct 31

29.07.2025 17:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Informality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions We are soliciting expert predictions about a project analyzing the pass-through and incidence of Value Added Tax (VAT) exemptions on food in a low-income setting with very high levels of informality. ...

New on the SSPP: What is the impact of VAT exemptions on food in an informal setting in Papua New Guinea? Christopher Hoy et al. welcome your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/2b...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Dev Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: Sept 30

23.07.2025 17:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Aid, Economic Recovery, and Social Cohesion in Post-War Iraq The protracted nature of recent displacement crises has resulted in increased interest from policymakers, donors, and aid organizations in durable solutions for the challenges faced by the forcibly di...

New on the SSPP: What will be the outcomes of a livelihood support program in Iraq for microentrepreneurs? Study by Andrea Caflisch et al.
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/e5...

โฑ๏ธTime: 10 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Dev Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: Sept 30

22.07.2025 22:06 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Role of Monthly Office Days in a Fully Remote Work Model This trial assesses the impact of remote work with monthly office visits on productivity and job satisfaction among call center agents in Sanliurfa, Turkey. In the partner institution, agents typicall...

New on the SSPP: How does remote work impact job satisfaction and productivity among call center agents in Turkey? Study by Cevat Giray Aksoy, @nickbloom.bsky.social, and co-authors.
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/17...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: Aug 31

18.07.2025 00:33 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

New on the SSPP: what are the impacts of an AI-driven mental health smartphone app in Mexico? @mangeluc.bsky.social @raissafabregas.bsky.social, and Antonia Vazquez welcome your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/56...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: Aug 13

18.07.2025 00:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Forecasting the SSPP Research Results Increasingly, researchers gather forecasts ex ante about the results of their research studies. Ex post, this allows for a comparison with the results to gauge contributions to the literature. But wha...

New short meta-survey on the SSPP: can you predict how well people predict?

Try your hand at it:
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/0f... @socscipredict.bsky.social @sdellavi.bsky.social

10.07.2025 16:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
https://socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/01889476c6a84c489daaae372702cd6b/

New on the SSPP: How does providing information on attractive occupations to job seekers impact employment and earnings? @bryanstuart.bsky.social and coauthors welcome your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/01...

โฑ๏ธTime: 10 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Labor Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: Jul 31

30.06.2025 09:35 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

๐Ÿšจ4 surveys close Mon, June 30th! Make your predictions at:
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/

1โƒฃ Predicting tax non-compliance in Kampala, Uganda
2โƒฃ Politically motivated reasoning
3โƒฃ Predicting the impacts of self-promotion
4โƒฃ Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions?

25.06.2025 22:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Delighted to have received an Alfred P. Sloan Foundation grant for the next phase of the Social Science Prediction Platform!

Some exciting new developments coming soon... watch this space! @socscipredict.bsky.social @sloanfoundation.bsky.social @econuoft.bsky.social ft.bsky.social

25.06.2025 16:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 3    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Predicting the impacts of self-promotion We study the impacts of self-promotional language on responses to informal requests for support. We conducted a field experiment where we emailed researchers a request to help a team advance an ongoin...

New on the SSPP: How does using self-promotional language impact responses to requests for support? @jennychang.bsky.social et al. designed a field experiment and invite you to predict their findings:
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/6e...

โฑ๏ธTime: 10 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ, Psych
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: June 30

23.06.2025 22:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Predicting the Impacts of Input Subsidy and Training on Environmental Outcomes in Agriculture This study explores how subsidizing early-maturity rice seeds and providing information on sustainable crop residue management affect farmersโ€™ decisions in Punjab, India. Your responses will help us u...

New on the SSPP: How does subsidizing early-maturity rice seeds and farmer education impact farmers' decisions in Punjab? New study by Piyush Gandhi, who welcomes your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/ad...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: July 15

20.06.2025 16:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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DO DIFFERENT EFFECT SIZES IN META-ANALYSES LEAD TO DIFFERENT CONCLUSIONS? This survey seeks your views on whether meta-analyses are likely to produce different conclusions when using alternative effect sizes.

New on the SSPP: Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions? April Wang et al. look forward to your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/66...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: June 30

29.05.2025 22:14 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: Do business support programs actually help businesses grow and succeed in the UK? Maria Brackin and Rob Fuller welcome your predictions on turnover and employment outcomes!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/

โฑ๏ธ15 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: June 30

28.05.2025 23:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐ŸšจClosing this Saturday, May 31! How accurate are CEO forecasts of future revenues? Don't miss the chance to make a prediction on this survey and be entered into the lottery for $100.

28.05.2025 22:58 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

New on the SSPP: What are the attributes of politically motivated reasoning? Robin Musolff & Guy Yanay invite your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/93...

โฑ๏ธTime: 10 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: June 30
๐Ÿ’ฐLottery-based incentives

07.05.2025 22:16 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Beliefs about choice reversals In this study, you will submit a total of 21 forecasts related to how individuals make choices about future work allocations, what they believe about their future work allocations, as well as other re...

๐Ÿ† Winner Announced! ๐Ÿ†

Congratulations to Alexander Coutts & Sรฉverine Toussaert โ€” winners of the 2025 SSPP Outstanding Use of Forecasts Award ($10,000) for โ€œBeliefs about choice reversalsโ€!

See the winning survey here: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/f6...

07.05.2025 21:56 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: How prevalent is tax non-compliance among businesses in Kampala, Uganda? Yannick Markhof, Stephan Dietrich, and Rose Camille Vincent invite your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/...

โฑ๏ธTime: 10 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: May 31

17.04.2025 21:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

๐ŸšจClosing tomorrow! Some online retailers use nudges to influence choices. But do consumers find them ethical? @kellenmrkva.bsky.social, Ashley Otto, and Yuna Choe invite your predictions!

socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/...

17.04.2025 21:12 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Rationalizing Firm Forecasts This project examines a panel survey of quarterly sales forecasts for 6,000 firms. Firm CEOs are asked to predict future revenues that are matched to assess accuracy. We are interested in how data use...

New on the SSPP: How do CEOs forecast future revenues and how accurate are they? @nickbloom.bsky.social, @mihaicod.bsky.social, and Robert Fletcher welcome your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/85...

โฑ๏ธTime: 10 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Management
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: May 31

15.04.2025 16:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: How did "deep" efforts to turn out the vote compare to standard approaches in the 2024 general election? Daniel Markovits and Donald Green invite your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Poli Sci
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: April 30

08.04.2025 16:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: How will people across countries respond to energy price reforms? Christopher Hoy and coauthors invite your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/...

โฑ๏ธTime: 5 min
๐Ÿ“šField: Dev Econ
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: April 30

07.04.2025 17:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: How strong is our preference for conformity? ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘ How do incentives influence it? Ozan Isler and Daniel Zizzo welcome your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/...

โฑ๏ธTime: 10 min
๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses: April 22
๐Ÿ“šField: Behavioral Econ
๐Ÿ’ฐIncentives based on accuracy

03.04.2025 22:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

๐Ÿ“ข Closing soon! Beliefs about choice reversals ๐Ÿ”„
How well do people predict their own future decisions about work? Alexander Coutts & Sรฉverine Toussaert analyze expectations vs. reality:
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/

๐Ÿ—“๏ธCloses March 31
๐Ÿ• 15 min
๐Ÿ’ฐIncentives available

26.03.2025 19:59 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿšจ4 surveys close March 31!

1๏ธโƒฃCash transfers: Chicago @alexbartik.bsky.social @smiller.bsky.social @elizabethrds.bsky.social @evavivalt.bsky.social
2๏ธโƒฃBeliefs abt Choice Reversals
3๏ธโƒฃDigital Empowerment: India @mridul.bsky.social @jalnidh.bsky.social
4๏ธโƒฃCognitive Development: Kenya @tedmiguel.bsky.social

24.03.2025 20:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

๐Ÿšจ I am looking to hire 1-2 pre-docs at the University of Toronto.

Some things you could work on: forecasts of research results, guaranteed income, evidence-based policy, AI.

For more info and to apply: evavivalt.com/2025/03/pre-...

Deadline: March 31.

#predoc #econ_ra @econuoft.bsky.social

17.03.2025 18:28 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 30    ๐Ÿ” 25    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

๐Ÿšจ Closing March 25! How do people react to "one-time" taxes & fiscal policies? Make predictions on a study by
@abergeron.bsky.social, @lukasbolte.bsky.social, and @jakobbrounstein.bsky.social on behavioral responses to fiscal events ๐Ÿ’ธ

โฑ๏ธTime: 15 min

socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/a5...

19.03.2025 22:27 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: How do digital nudges used by online retailers influence consumer choices? @kellenmrkva.bsky.social, Ashley Otto, and Yuna Choe invite your predictions!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/...

โฑ๏ธ 10 min
๐Ÿ“š Econ, Psych
๐Ÿ“… Closes: April 18

@evavivalt.bsky.social

25.02.2025 01:53 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: What is the impact of informing voters about candidatesโ€™ criminal records? Siddharth George & Yusuf Neggers welcome your predictions about their study in Uttar Pradesh!
socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/...

โฑ๏ธ 5 min
๐Ÿ“š Field: Econ, Poli Sci
๐Ÿ“… Closes: April 15

19.02.2025 17:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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How can you use the Social Science Prediction Platform for development papers?

In today's blog, @tedmiguel.bsky.social & I discuss how to use the @socscipredict.bsky.social Social Science Prediction platform for research on economic development. Use cases include providing alternative nulls and defense against "it's obvious", priors, & more blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...

17.02.2025 16:38 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 21    ๐Ÿ” 4    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Social Science Prediction Platform Predict research results, improve social science.

New on the SSPP: What factors predict publication in a Top 5 economics journal? We welcome your predictions on a study by @prashantgarg.bsky.social and @trfetzer.com analyzing author and paper characteristics.
socialscienceprediction.org/s/ba04az

โฑ๏ธ 10 min
๐Ÿ“š Field: Econ
๐Ÿ“… Closes: April 30

03.02.2025 19:44 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

@socscipredict is following 20 prominent accounts