@hannanotte.bsky.social
Russia's foreign & security policy | Middle East | Director for Eurasia @JamesMartinCNS & Snr. Associate @CSIS | PhD Oxford Uni. | Berlin-based | Currently writing a book on Russia for W. W. Norton & Co. | Personal views
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
Even if Russia succeeds in maintaining its military presence in Syria, it is unlikely to play a significant role in shaping the country’s future, writes Hanna Notte.
03.10.2025 20:51 — 👍 12 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
10 years ago this week, Russia intervened in Syria to save Assad.
His ouster last December dealt a serious blow to Putin.
But Russia is not done in Syria. It's turning adversity into opportunity.
My essay in @foreignaffairs.com
www.foreignaffairs.com/russia/russi...
In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
What began as a Wagner replacement is turning into something much larger.
18.09.2025 14:30 — 👍 11 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 2
After Ukraine, Moscow may turn its attention south. Africa Corps is already paving the way.
17.09.2025 21:15 — 👍 12 🔁 9 💬 2 📌 1
In my latest for @warontherocks.bsky.social I look at what Africa Corps is up to and what its activities suggest about Russia‘s long-term strategy in the Sahel and beyond
warontherocks.com/2025/09/russ...
This week in the newsletter: @hannanotte.bsky.social on Russian foreign policy. What does Putin want? We discuss China, North Korea, Iran and Trump.
thehundred.substack.com/p/interview-...
"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de
26.08.2025 06:17 — 👍 26 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
"Die Ukraine ist in Putins Mär Dreh- und Angelpunkt eines angeblichen Systemkampfes," schreibe ich in einem Essay für @zeit.de
26.08.2025 06:17 — 👍 26 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
Klein beigegeben ist für Putin im Krieg gegen die Ukraine keine Option. Auch, weil er Russlands gesamte außenpolitische Bestimmung von seinem Ausgang abhängig gemacht hat.
Ein etwas anderer Blick auf Russlands Krieg in meinem @zeitonline.bsky.social Essay
www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
After all the hype re: Alaska & Washington diplomacy, the fundamentals are unchanged:
Putin won't revise his aims.
Ukraine & Europe will resist.
The war remains Russia's strategic cul de sac & limits its throw-weight elsewhere, as I argued in @nytopinion.nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
“Mr. Putin has long insisted that Ukraine will be his,” Hanna Notte writes. “But in a world shaped by Mr. Trump’s mercurial temperament and might-is-right principles, his obsession may cost Russia more than he has bargained for.”
15.08.2025 11:45 — 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Putin "won", played Trump in #Alaska?
Fact is, despite the summit hype/optics, the Ukraine war remains a strategic cul de sac for Russia
Putin will it keep going - but he'll make Russia ill-prepared for an increasingly unruly Trumpian world, as I write:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
✍️ "Putin Should Be Careful What He Wishes For," writes
@hannanotte.bsky.social in her new piece in @nytimes.com.
Don't miss her full essay below––outlining why the stakes of today's #TrumpPutinSummit may be higher for Russia than meets the eye:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
No, a world shaped by Trump’s mercurial temperament & might-is-right principles actually isn’t good for Putin - for as long as he indulges his illusion of total victory in Ukraine.
The Alaska summit won't change that.
My essay in @nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
No, a world shaped by Trump’s mercurial temperament & might-is-right principles actually isn’t good for Putin - for as long as he indulges his illusion of total victory in Ukraine.
The Alaska summit won't change that.
My essay in @nytimes.com
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/15/o...
Fascinating reporting on Russia's efforts to preserve influence in post-Assad Syria, including:
-dangling prospect of defense cooperation
-intensified mil. activities in northeast and contacts with SDF
-contacts with remnants of old regime (for leverage)
(in Arabic)
www.majalla.com/node/326725/...
The always insightful @hannanotte.bsky.social joined me on this season's last episode of @crisisgroup.org's War & Peace podcast to discuss how Russia's role in the Middle East is & is not changing: A great ep, from implications of Iran & Syria events to the vagaries of Russian-Israeli relations.
28.07.2025 10:53 — 👍 13 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 0
Last week, on the anniversary of the Trinity Test, I was fortunate to join Nobel Laureates and colleagues from the nuclear expert community in Chicago.
Our declaration to reduce the risk of nuclear war by implementing 13 achievable recommendations: nobelassembly.org/declaration/
My article on how the Philharmonic Orchestra in #Odesa/#Odessa has played on through all the travails of wartime, and the story of its amazing American conductor, Hobart Earle, who has been with them since 1991.
In today’s FT magazine (sorry, behind a paywall). www.ft.com/content/9dc6...
After research trips to over a dozen countries and many months of writing, I just sent off the finished manuscript for:
WE SHALL OUTLAST THEM
Putin's Global Campaign to Defeat the West
Out with W. W. Norton in 2026
In conversation on ABC Australia's "Saturday Extra" radio show to discuss what the Israel-Iran war meant for Russia.
www.abc.net.au/listen/progr...
A pleasure to join @csis.org colleagues @maxbergmann.bsky.social & @msnegovaya.bsky.social for the Russian Roulette podcast
This week on what the recent #Israel-#Iran war (& ongoing tensions surrounding Iran) mean for #Russia - both in the Middle East & more broadly
www.csis.org/podcasts/rus...
In this week’s episode of Russian Roulette, @maxbergmann.bsky.social and I speak with the always insightful @hannanotte.bsky.social about how the recent war between Iran and Israel, along with U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, are shaping Russia’s strategy in the Middle East. Tune in today!
27.06.2025 21:57 — 👍 10 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
My latest column @financialtimes.com
#Russia doesn't need #Iran’s help to sustain the war in #Ukraine.
Iran’s humiliation and weakening don’t please Russia -- but domestic drone production and new alliances mean Putin can fight on.
on.ft.com/4l5O3GA
Russia no longer needs Iran’s help to sustain the war in Ukraine https://on.ft.com/44huVy6 | opinion
25.06.2025 12:49 — 👍 31 🔁 14 💬 4 📌 5
My latest column @financialtimes.com
#Russia doesn't need #Iran’s help to sustain the war in #Ukraine.
Iran’s humiliation and weakening don’t please Russia -- but domestic drone production and new alliances mean Putin can fight on.
on.ft.com/4l5O3GA
