Alison Bowden

104 WTNT33 KNHC 252055TCPAT3 BULLETINHurricane Melissa Advisory Number 18NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025500 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2025 ...MELISSA LIKELY STARTING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND EXPECTED TOBECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE TOMORROW......LIFE-THREATENING AND CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDESEXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA INTO EARLYNEXT WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...16.6N 75.5WABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICAABOUT 250 MI...405 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITIMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Watch for the Cuban provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo, and Holguin. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...* Jamaica A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...* Southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with theDominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince* Cuban provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo, and Holguin. A Tropical Storm Warning in effect for...* Southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the border with theDominican Republic to Port-Au-Prince A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expectedsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence oftropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outsidepreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect lifeand property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possiblewithin the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, eastern Cuba,the southeastern and central Bahamas, and the Turks and CaicosIslands should monitor the progress of Melissa. Watches could berequired for portions of eastern Cuba later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitorproducts issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Melissa was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 75.5 West. Melissa is moving toward slowly the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow westward motion is expected tonight through the end of the weekend. A turn to the north and northeast is forecast on Monday and Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Melissa is expected to move near or over Jamaica during the weekend and early next week, and it could be near or over eastern Cuba by the middle of next week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast to continue over the next day or so and Melissa is forecast to become a major hurricane tomorrow and is expected to still be a major hurricane when making landfall in Jamaica early next week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from thecenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles(260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical CycloneDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in Jamaica bytonight, with hurricane conditions expected by Sunday or Monday.Tropical storm conditions are expected and hurricane conditions arepossible within the watch and warning area in Haiti later today. Hurricane conditions are possible in the watch area in eastern Cuba on Tuesday into Wednesday. RAINFALL: Melissa is expected to bring total rainfall of 15 to 30 inches to portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica into Wednesday, with local maxima of 40 inches possible. Additional heavy rainfall is likely beyond Wednesday, but exact storm totals are still uncertain. Catastrophic flash flooding and landslides are probable across portions of southern Hispaniola and Jamaica.For eastern Cuba, total rainfall of 6 to 12 inches, with local amounts to 18 inches, are expected into Wednesday resulting in life-threatening flash flooding and landslides. Additional heavy rainfall is likely beyond Wednesday, but exact storm totals are still uncertain. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated withMelissa, please see the National Weather Service Storm TotalRainfall Graphic, available athurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Life-threatening storm surge is becoming more likelyalong the south coast of Jamaica later in the weekend or early nextweek. Peak storm surge heights could reach 9 to 13 feet aboveground level, near and to the east of where the center of Melissamakes landfall. This storm surge will be accompanied by large anddestructive waves. There is a potential for significant storm surge along thesoutheast coast of Cuba early next week. SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are expected to affect portionsof Hispaniola, Jamaica, and eastern Cuba during the next severaldays. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$Forecaster Papin

Hurricane Melissa 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

Hurricane Melissa 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

Atlantic Hurricane Melissa Advisory Number 18
...MELISSA LIKELY STARTING TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE TOMORROW... ...LIFE-THREATENING AND CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA AND JAM...
Additional Details Here.

Two dogs playing in a sunbeam on a riverbank

Perfect fall day
#AutumninNewEngland
#getoutside #dogs

Trump is backing a $20 billion rescue package for Argentina, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent talking about raising the total to $40 billion — more than the entire worldwide U.S.A.I.D. budget last year.

Argentina's bailout... "more than the entire worldwide USAID budget last year."

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/22/o...

If you aren't automatically enrolled -- maybe you got a heat pump before 2019 or didn't use Mass Save -- you'll need to enroll manually. The utilities will publish info online soon, they say, for how to do this.

Let me know if you have any questions or struggles signing up!

7 numbers that explain offshore wind's impact in New England For more than a decade, Massachusetts and several other New England states have been banking on a large expansion of offshore wind. Here's what's at stake if President Trump succeeds in halting the in...

As the Trump administration continues to target the offshore wind industry, I took at look at what's at stake for New England www.wbur.org/news/2025/10...
@wbur.org

(alongside the No Kings logo and images from the historic No Kings protests) WHAT’S NEXT AFTER NO KINGS? MASS CALL TUESDAY, OCT. 21 8PM ET / 5PM PT NOKINGS.ORG

Our pro-democracy movement is surging. Now it’s up to each of us to channel this incredible energy into the organizing power it will take to win.

Join us on Tuesday for a mass call of movement leaders and activists to discuss what’s next: www.mobilize.us/nokings/even... #NoKings

Looks like people showed up in DC

Haverhill, MA #NoKings

No Kings protest selfie holding a sign tnat says, when tyranny becomes law rebellion becomes duty"

#NoKings Haverhill, Massachusetts

Colored illustration of the Boston Tea Party, depicting colonial protesters disguised as Indigenous people aboard a ship in Boston Harbor at night. They are shown throwing crates of tea overboard into the water. A large crowd on the dock cheers and raises their arms in support. Other ships are visible in the background, and a multi-story building is shown on the left side. The caption below the image reads: "The Destruction of the Tea at Boston Harbor."

Original "No Kings" Protest
#wesaynokings

Welcome to the largest day of peaceful protest we’ve ever seen in our lifetimes.

Today, we’re gonna speak out on a grander scale than Trump has ever seen. No Kings Day is going to be big, loud, boisterous, and joyful. Find your local event and let’s make history: www.nokings.org?SQF_SOURCE #NoKings

Trump administration cuts nearly $8 billion in clean energy projects in states that backed Harris, including Mass. In Massachusetts, $466 million in grants to support more than two dozen projects are being rescinded, according to Gov. Maura Healey's office.

So much for those clean energy grants...In Massachusetts, $466 million to support more than two dozen projects is being rescinded. Gov Healey calls the Trump administration move "vindictive." www.wbur.org/news/2025/10...

Mama & baby southern white rhino, Mosi-oa-Tunya National Park, Zambia. Under 24/7 armed guard against poachers, these are 2 of ~16,000 in the wild.
#wildlife #naturerocks #conservation 🦏

www.forbes.com/sites/scottt...

@forbes.com #migration #birds #naturerocks

I get that the news cycle is packed right now, but I just heard from a colleague at the Smithsonian that this is fully a GIANT SQUID BEING EATEN BY A SPERM WHALE and it’s possibly the first ever confirmed video according to a friend at NOAA

10 YEAR OLD ME IS LOSING HER MIND (a thread 🧵)

What a perfect day for a bioblitz with @umassboston.bsky.social @inaturalist.bsky.social & TedxBoston!
#bioblitz #citsci #massnature #getoutside

clouds and changing leaves reflected in a pond

Happy #NationalPublicLandsDay from Cranberry Pond in Braintree, MA

#publiclands #massnature #getoutside

Three ways ex-CDC chief says that Trump team is sidelining science Nature - Susan Monarez testifies at tense Senate hearing that scientific integrity is being quashed at US health agency.

“I was fired for holding the line on scientific integrity. The stakes are not theoretical — we have already seen the largest [US] measles outbreak in more than 30 years, which claimed the lives of two children.”

go.nature.com/4213aJO

For Expertise to Matter, Nonpartisan Institutions Need New Communications Strategies To avoid irrelevance when they are needed most, experts and nonpartisan analysts must rethink not just their channels of communication but also their theory of influence.

Last week @rachelkleinfeld.bsky.social and I put out a provocation & set of suggestions on how influence has changed and why institutions (& funders) need to change their thinking on shaping public opinion and connecting w/audiences. The old way no longer works.
carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

What happened when Calgary removed fluoride from its water supply Earlier this month, Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced plans to end the federal recommendation that municipalities add fluoride to their drinking water. Amid the renew...

www.pbs.org/newshour/sho...

#fluoride #publichealth #evidence

New Bedford fisherman who found lifeline with offshore wind project hopes Trump reverses course The Revolution Wind project off the Rhode Island coast was about 80% built before it was recently stopped mid-construction.

www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/...

@cbsnews.com.web.brid.gy
#JustTransition #ClimateSolutions

Hard-Fought Treaty to Protect Ocean Life Clears a Final Hurdle

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/c...

#OceanOptimism @nytimes.com

A woman wearing a shuck the patriarchy shirt and a white bandaid with a red heart on her left shoulder

Covid and flu vaccines accomplished- thank you @massgovernor.bsky.social!

#VaccinesSaveLives

Thousands of women are sharing this and saying yes, this was their experience, many of them sharing their own horrific 70s, 80s, 90s, 00s experiences. (And almost everyone sharing it appears to be female.)

Humans Are Altering the Seas. Here’s What the Future Ocean Might Look Like. (Gift Article) Some marine ecosystems could soon be unrecognizable, according to new research. We mapped the possibilities.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

#naturebasedsolutions

Air pollution can drive devastating forms of dementia, research suggests Airborne particles cause toxic clumps of proteins in brain that are hallmarks of Lewy body dementia, study indicates

www.theguardian.com/environment/...

#cleanair #publichealth @theguardian.com

Between Moon Tides: hacking nature to save the saltmarsh sparrow documentary On a quiet ribbon of saltmarsh in Rhode Island, septuagenarian Deirdre isn’t prepared to accept the loss of her beloved saltmarsh sparrow - the species is facing extinction before 2050 due to elevated...

www.theguardian.com/global/ng-in...

@theguardian.com

Murder. He’s calling for the murder of people, a significant percentage of whom are veterans who served in our country’s military.

#FridayFeelings

Trump Is Met With Mostly Boos at U.S. Open as Security Delays a Match

The U.S. Open asked that news organizations not cover protests of Trump's appearance. The NYT did anyway. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/07/u...