They shift to smaller species - larger diatoms to smaller diatoms, cyanobacteria or dinoflagellates - and they shift to toxic species while the second tropic level is dissolving (crustaceans) as pH levels drop too fast...

Its both

The vertical transport is suppressed, but the horizontal upper ocean poleward transport increases. This MHW is mostly heat transport, stratification, and atmospheric circulation changes shifting heat uptake to shallower depths, and the MHW creating the atmospheric conditions to expand east

Und natürlich das solar dimming ne super lösung ist, die auch billig ist...

Die wichtigen Player können am Ende gut mit falschen Zahlen leben?

Klimaerwärmung wird nun als Waffe gesehen Punkt in der Entwicklung sind wir gerade - danach kommt der Punkt oh wir gehen ja alle drauf - ansonsten ist das schwer zu begreifen - die großen Akteure der lobbies haben es noch null gerafft...

In the first graph the warming - we have now several studies on the intensification of large scale currents and a increase in kinetic energy in the upper ocean and a decrease in the deeper ocean...

We get likely a non-linear change in currents up to the gyres level - spin up...

Bam!!!

The intensification of inverse KE cascade we have observed has potentially significant climate implications. Our work provides support for recent studies reporting the global acceleration of surface large-scale circulation7, 11. In most oceanic regions, the intensified inverse KE cascade indicates a stronger transfer of KE from the mesoscale to larger scales (Fig. 1b and Fig. 2), such as the gyre-scale at which the large-scale circulation dominates. Although being a mere fraction of energy source compared to other sources such as the wind power input69, 70, 83, this increased mesoscale-to-gyre-scale KE transfer can lead to a considerable speed-up of the gyre-scale ocean circulation in the future, owning to the spatial consistency and long-term stability of gyre scales15. In addition, since mesoscale eddies generally originate from the large-scale circulation through baroclinic and barotropic instabilities27, 83, the acceleration of ocean circulation could foster more eddy activities, promoting the recently observed EKE strengthening9. This, in turn, would further enhance the upscale KE transfer from mesoscale to larger scales. Therefore, the amplification of inverse KE cascade contributes to a feedback cycle involving changes in both large-scale circulation and mesoscale currents. These oceanic changes, partially induced by climate change, would, in turn, feed back on the Earth’s climatic system. For instance, alterations in the western boundary currents could affect their capacity to transport heat from lower to higher latitudes, thereby influencing the global climate18, 20, 21; Changes in wind-driven circulation and mesoscale eddy mixing could impact the ocean’s carbon sink22–26 , further altering atmospheric carbon levels Intensification of Oceanic Inverse Energy Cascade Under Global Warming"; https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.06327

ABSTRACT Kinetic energy (KE) cascade in the turbulent ocean is pivotal in connecting diverse scales of oceanic motions, redistributing energy, and influencing ocean circulation and climate variability. However, its response to global warming remains poorly understood. Using a 24-year satellite altimetry dataset, we identify a pronounced intensification of inverse geostrophic kinetic energy cascade at the sea surface across most ocean regions during 1994-2017, with cascade amplitude increasing by 1% to 2% per decade. This intensification occurs not only in energetic regions but also in expansive quiescent areas. Contributing factors to this intensification of geostrophic KE cascade include enhanced vertical shear of horizontal velocity, deepened mixed layer, strengthened stratification, weakened eddy killing as well as changes in the KE budget. The dominant factors vary across regions. Our findings offer new insights into the ocean’s response to global warming and improve understanding of feedback mechanisms for ocean circulation changes.

@jim27182.bsky.social Hi Jim - preprint - the inverse energy cascade to larger scales is intensifying over wide parts of the upper ocean where mesoscale eddies transfer more efficiently kinetic energy to the synoptic scale >1000km

Kinetic energy increases, while the inverse cascade is strengthening

Applying the precautionary principle we should assume that a too fast warming triggers an (a) volcano feedback, (b) earthquake feedback, and (c) tsunami feedback all in many ways interdependent and self reinforcing

Bet there are also thresholds from where on we trigger a highly nonlinear reaction

maybe the pumping in both directions is much more effective in triggering Earth quakes than a "pumping" increasing or decreasing development - we have declining or decreasing trends that are driven my massive events of both ends of mass changes over the larger part...

As earthquakes are sudden "relaxations" between mantel fragments there could actually be a very strong signal growing non-linear with hydrological intensify of both ends...

Several thresholds involved I guess with can lead to abrupt transitions into new regimes...

Just brainstorming...

YouTube video by NASA Scientific Visualization Studio Water Cycle Extremes

Here you can see it in a visualization - its like a slowmo pumping effect - higher density heavier and lower density lighter I guess - mass is added at the top mass is taken...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=12np...

vulcanism there is - water penetration and stronger eruptions if I'm not mistaken...

Temp. jump from 2014-2016, then the next 7 years later in 2023/24.

And with current rates of OHU the next jump will even happen more earlier

Here the numbers - just write a text and have them handy ;)

We speak about a acceleration by 6 fucking times since the 60 to 80s

First say its exponential

At least you will not be far off the mark - Ocean heat uptake rates continue to be nuts and this is the ultimate driver of SSTs

We have exponentially increasing heat uptake rates because of a cloud feedback that interlocks with higher SSTs...

Sadly much less strong that it had been in the past...

SST warming is increasingly driven by feedbacks amplifying surface warming and ocean heat uptake shifting to shallower depths.

There is nothing anymore as expected even ocean heat uptake continued through a moderate El Nino...

Ich bin stark, ich bin der Stärkste, ALSO ICH HAB VOR NIX MEHR ANGST!

Hat mal eine russische Ärtztin in einer Runde mit 97 zu mir gesagt, die durch den 2 Weltkrieg ist, danach war ich still :D :D :D

Aber Spaß beiseite, Asien und Überflutungen wird so surreal werden...

Its part of a stronger coupling between lows and highs and a much warmer ocean surface - mutual amplification of systems whose coupling becomes in a warmer climate more efficient as we reach now new scales of moisture transport, flooding, and MHWs all interacting...

Its part of the Indian west Pacific ocean capacitor going nuts flooding Southeast Asia.

The IPOC was active also in 2023/24 - its a circulation cell operating over two Hemispheres and ocean basins pumping moisture into South(east) Asia

Moisture transport will become massive with further warming...

The system is concentrating too much heat in this area - gives rise to an circulation cell channeling moisture to the west Pacific and Asia causing heavy precipitation which comes as hot air down again on the heatwave.

Its part of ocean heat uptake shifting to shallower depths and an ocean starting to release more heat to the atmosphere...

Exceptional heat and basin-scale connections in the Kuroshio–Oyashio region in the early 2020s - Journal of Oceanography This study investigates recent extreme conditions in the North Pacific, which began in the late 2010s and have intensified significantly by 2024, focusing on the Kuroshio–Oyashio region. The anomalies...

Some numbers on this monster - now the first studies come out: Subsurface temperatures have also increased notably, accounting for 15.8% and 11.8% in the western and eastern North Pacific (27.6% combined) of the global ocean heat content increase in the 0–300 m layer between 2020–2024 and 2010s

So sick!

Oh fuck ist das alles kaputt wie unsere äh staatliche Weltordnung - kann man gar nicht mehr ernstnehmen - und die, durch die sozialen Verhältnisse sozialisierten Eliten, die es meist durch rücksichtsloses Verhalten geschafft haben, so weit zu kommen, die Menschheit gegen die Wand fahren...

Fuck!

Could be like we see it now in many more systems to happen - fine scale processes start to rule large scale changes - and groundwater and fractures are certainly driven by small scale processes...

But air temperature can not be translated into deeper soil temperature - just sliding slopes and slumping grounds produce these several meters thaw/warming processes in a season.

But the heating up of surface water and thus warming groundwater could have an immense effect...

Something else - I just checked for studies with the key words: strengthening teleconnections - have now some 60 studies I have to check

Its one of our main problems that the coupling between systems is intensifying - e.g. Arctic air temperature extremes + thaw processes driven by groundwater

Fully agree, the intensifying variability is a metric in itself that can drives non-linear changes

I mean we have temperature, wind speeds, precipitation amounts and grace data of the overall loss - should be possible!

Also how the ice loss from permafrost soils increased with time...

Maybe tell that idea the Arctic community - its so nice!