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Emadeddin Badi

@emadbadi.bsky.social

Eyes on #Libya, MENA geopolitics & security.

393 Followers  |  81 Following  |  19 Posts  |  Joined: 09.10.2023  |  2.2269

Latest posts by emadbadi.bsky.social on Bluesky

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Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’ A US-backed scheme forces hungry Palestinians to trek kilometres for food aid. Many never make it back

Huge kudos to @data.ft.com for putting together this forensic mapping of the utter vileness of the Israel-US "Gaza Humanitarian Foundation"

Inside Gaza’s ‘death traps’ www.ft.com/content/6c74... via @data.ft.com

15.07.2025 07:01 — 👍 21    🔁 15    💬 0    📌 0

This long-form piece reflects on 5 years of Turkish involvement in Libya, tracing Ankara’s interventions at key political junctures - most recently downing a GNU-launched drone to halt its offensive.

It examines how Turkey is recalibrating its role - and to what end.

11.06.2025 08:08 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Still in the Game: Ankara’s Quiet Pivot in Libya - A View from Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi Tripoli, the evening of June 4, 2025. Around sundown, I stood on the corniche of Treeg al-Shat near the Waddan Hotel, watching as a convoy of armored pickups moved hastily toward the Radisson Blu “al-...

My latest, with a view from the ground in #Tripoli: Ankara’s quiet intervention to rein in the GNU reveals a deeper shift - from assertive influence to cautious containment - as #Turkey recalibrates its role in an increasingly unstable capital.

11.06.2025 08:07 — 👍 7    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0
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A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong

A failed power grab has eroded trust and deepened rivalries, leaving Tripoli in a state of suspended conflict primed for renewed violence, write @emadbadi.bsky.social and @wlacher.bsky.social‬ for @newlinesmag.bsky.social

29.05.2025 21:00 — 👍 4    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong

'With trust eroded and rivalries deepened, #Tripoli is in a state of suspended conflict, primed for renewed violence.' @emadbadi.bsky.social @wlacher.bsky.social @newlinesmag.bsky.social #Libya

newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...

29.05.2025 10:59 — 👍 4    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0

Excellent, must-read analysis of unfolding events in Libya by @emadbadi.bsky.social and @wlacher.bsky.social 👇

29.05.2025 12:51 — 👍 6    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

Excellent review and analysis of the recent fighting and shifting power dynamics in #Tripoli #Libya

@wlacher.bsky.social @emadbadi.bsky.social

28.05.2025 12:18 — 👍 6    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong

New @newlinesmag.bsky.social piece with @emadbadi.bsky.social, in which we try to make sense of a dramatic set of events in Tripoli over the past two weeks and what they mean for Libya's political stalemate.
newlinesmag.com/argument/a-p...

28.05.2025 11:52 — 👍 14    🔁 7    💬 0    📌 1
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A Power Grab Backfires in Tripoli Prime Minister Abdelhamid Dabeiba has set off a series of events destabilizing western Libya, but the structural forces behind the country’s wider stalemate remain strong

After a gambit by #Libya's Dabeiba to consolidate control in #Tripoli backfired, the capital has entered a state of suspended conflict - a tenuous standoff unlikely to hold.

In our latest @newlinesmag.bsky.social , @wlacher.bsky.social & I trace the breakdown, aftermath, & potential paths forward.

28.05.2025 12:05 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 2
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Haaretz’s Yaniv Kubovich reports that Israel plans to seize 75% of Gaza and relocate more than 1,3 million Palestinians in the upcoming offensive, ultimately forcing the entire population into three military zones with food supplies strictly controlled by GHF/Israel. www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...

26.05.2025 10:25 — 👍 381    🔁 301    💬 36    📌 120

Literally every experienced humanitarian or medical professional coming out of Gaza says:
„this is the worst I have seen, anywhere, anytime“

22.05.2025 06:33 — 👍 25    🔁 19    💬 0    📌 0
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In Tripoli, A War on Militias Quickly Becomes a War of Militias A recent upsurge in violence in the Libyan capital portends a familiar and dangerous path for the war-torn country, and the urgent need for a political reset.

My latest for @mecouncil.bsky.social unpacks how a bid to rein in militias in #Tripoli unraveled into a war of militias, & what is now at stake.

International policy must now pivot from managing dysfunction to enabling transition before #Libya's history repeats itself.

21.05.2025 15:25 — 👍 7    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

Granular analysis of events unfolding in Tripoli, Libya.
recommend reading ⬇️

15.05.2025 11:17 — 👍 3    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...

Precious analysis of events in Tripoli over the past 24 hours, by @emadbadi.bsky.social
emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...

14.05.2025 13:17 — 👍 5    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
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The Unraveling of "Stability" in Tripoli - Emadeddin Badi Over the past 24 hours, Tripoli has witnessed a rapid escalation in armed confrontations involving key factions aligned with the Government of National Unity (GNU) and the Special Deterrence Force (SD...

For those following the latest developments in #Libya's #Tripoli, this analysis outlines what unfolded overnight, covering key military dynamics.

It closes with a call for more hands-on empowered mediation to prevent further bloodshed & build on the tenuous ceasefires.

emadbadi.com/the-unraveli...

14.05.2025 13:48 — 👍 6    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 2

Overnight, a Zawiyan coalition incl Mohamed Bahroun al-Far, Mohamed Sifaw, Othman Lhab, Busriba units, & Mahmoud Ben Rjab advanced toward Siyahiya, & may clash w/ Zintani forces.

Driven by fears of marginalization, the move aims to ease pressure on SDF & divide GNU's forces.

14.05.2025 06:31 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Later today, the 111 Brigade, Joint Force, & 444 Brigade are expected to regroup & launch a coordinated push to confine the SDF to its stronghold in Sug al-Jumaa.

A decision to militarily overtake Sug al-Jumaa - densely populated & symbolically significant - would be perilous.

14.05.2025 06:31 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0

Early this morning, the Special Deterrence Force (SDF) and Judicial Security launched a successful counteroffensive against disorganized GNU-aligned forces in southern Tripoli, deploying retrofitted commercial drones & drone-assisted targeting to hit key 444 Brigade positions

14.05.2025 06:31 — 👍 1    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Tripoli may be on the cusp of being the theater for warfare unlike anything seen since 2011 - an urban battlefield marked by drone strikes, street-to-street clashes, & guerilla warfare.

The vast majority of casualties in this context will unfortunately be innocent civilians.

14.05.2025 06:31 — 👍 4    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 0
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A Political Economy of Tripoli’s Abu Salim: The Rise of the Stability Support Apparatus as Hegemon Once a hotbed of pro-Qaddafi resistance, Abu Salim is now a stronghold dominated by Abdelghani al-Kikli (widely known as ‘Ghaniwa’) and his Stability Support Apparatus (SSA). Ghaniwa has consolidated ...

For an excellent analysis of Ghnewa's rise, see this @smallarmssurvey.bsky.social paper written under a pseudonym by
@emadbadi.bsky.social - Emad outed himself as the author last night.
www.smallarmssurvey.org/resource/pol...

13.05.2025 06:34 — 👍 9    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

And you know who is in no position to comment on these plans? The EU and its member states, who have been seeking to trap migrants in Libya for the past eight years.

07.05.2025 05:06 — 👍 8    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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Heartbroken at the passing of Pope Francis, a man who may not have been perfect but who consistently used his immense platform and his influence not only to say what was right in the face of political power, but also to model the behavior that brought those words to life. (1)

21.04.2025 14:30 — 👍 25    🔁 8    💬 1    📌 1

Excellent recap of the recent crisis in the Libyan economy

short, concise, and well done. Please give it a read

16.04.2025 12:48 — 👍 2    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Solving Libya’s economic collapse will require confrontation—not consensus If the status quo continues, the next phase of Libya’s crisis will not be quiet erosion. It will be public revolt.

My latest for the @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social is a clarion call: #Libya’s economy isn’t unraveling by accident. From shadow oil deals to digital money printing, what looks like drift is direction - & the path leads to collapse unless reforms reverse course.

16.04.2025 11:48 — 👍 11    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 1
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In one world, Libya's Central Bank begs for help - calling out graft, diverted oil revenues, and wild spending that's sinking Libya; all while passing policy that makes ordinary people foot the bill.

In another world, Libya is “stable” and “open for business.”

Only one of these worlds is real.

06.04.2025 13:33 — 👍 8    🔁 3    💬 0    📌 0
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Al Jazeera Correspondent Hossam Shabat was killed by Israeli forces today in a targeted strike on is car. He was 23 years old. His final social media post reported fellow journalist Mohammed Mansour’s killing an hour earlier. ≈200 of our colleagues have now been killed in Gaza.

24.03.2025 15:09 — 👍 379    🔁 285    💬 7    📌 16

The parallels between Libya and Iraq thoroughly explored in this groundbreaking comparative study. Stellar cast of authors incl. @wlacher.bsky.social @emadbadi.bsky.social @timeaton.bsky.social
@renadmansour.bsky.social
Inna Rudolf
Salam Said
Tamer Badawi

11.03.2025 12:53 — 👍 5    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

#Libya’s post-2011 trajectory has been defined by the entrenchment of armed groups within state structures, raising a critical puzzle: how have militias wielded state power while remaining autonomous from it? In my contribution to this volume, I take the first steps in unraveling this paradox

12.03.2025 20:12 — 👍 8    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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"My parents came here from Syria. They believed living in the US would bring a sense of safety and stability. But here I am, 40 years after my parents immigrated and just weeks before I'm due to give birth to our first child and I feel more unsafe and unstable than I have in my entire life."

12.03.2025 01:29 — 👍 18    🔁 6    💬 0    📌 0
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Judge temporarily blocks deportation of arrested Palestinian Columbia student Trump publicly denounced Mahmoud Khalil and said more arrests would follow.

A US judge ordered that Palestinian Columbia student Mahmoud Khalil not be deported for now as part of US President Donald Trump's crackdown on some anti-Israel protesters, and set a court hearing for the case for Wednesday reut.rs/3FhAseZ

11.03.2025 10:16 — 👍 261    🔁 75    💬 8    📌 6

@emadbadi is following 19 prominent accounts