Able Archer 83 (Re)-revisited
Reflections on a Complex Non-crisis
Austin Long provides important clarity on the Able Archer nuclear โnon-crisisโ of 1983. Held by some as a whisker away from Armageddon, the moment illustrates instead the need to understand both ourselves - the signals we send - and our enemy. strategicsimplicity.substack.com/p/able-arche...
19.07.2025 15:04 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Drawing on his experience with FARC, David Spencer has penned a superb review of my book 'The Insurgent's Dilemma', exploring the innovations in insurgent strategy and response options that the book covers. Many thanks. digitalcommons.ndu.edu/cgi/viewcont...
@hurstpublishers.bsky.social
18.07.2025 11:35 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Second, we propose an analytical framework, designed for irregular warfare, to aid practitioners in their assessment of, and their response to, organized crime. Hopefully of use to practitioners, educators, and academics. An abbreviated โuserโs guideโ in Appendix A facilitates its rapid employment.
17.07.2025 06:50 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
This book is based on the urgent need for a more effective response to organized crime. Its does two things. First, it applies an โirregular warfareโ lens to the problem of organized crime, which helps situate the divergent criminal activity within its crucial political context.
17.07.2025 06:50 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
NOW OUT: A Framework for Countering Organized Crime: Strategy, Planning, and the Lessons of Irregular Warfare, by David H. Ucko and Thomas A Marks (NDU Press).
Available in full at: ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/N...
17.07.2025 06:50 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
A Survey of Europe's Defense and Security Landscape
Modern War Institute ยท Episode
Excellent discussion of Europeโs security and defence landscape with @edarnold.bsky.social, RUSI, via the great Modern War Institute at West Point podcast. Very relevant to #NATO. open.spotify.com/episode/7MSk...
04.06.2025 13:02 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Apaches (subculture) - Wikipedia
On the cover, see en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apaches...
Thanks to SOC ACE Research Programme for sponsoring this work.
Out later this year, courtesy of NDU Press.
17.04.2025 11:13 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Glad to announce that my latest work, โA Framework for Countering Organized Crime: Strategy, Planning and the Lessons of Irregular Warfare,โ now has a cover. Co-authored with Tom Marks, it presents organized crime as an IW problem and proposes a framework to help with analysis and response.
17.04.2025 11:13 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
How Iran Is Weaponizing Europeโs Criminal Underworld
Tehran is turning violent networks like Swedenโs Foxtrot and Irelandโs Kinahan cartel into tools of covert statecraft
Good reporting on Iranโs use of criminal groups to exert influence abroad, specifically in Europe. The tactic is old; our response isโฆ getting better. Much like Russiaโs subversion, the problem isnโt just the singular attack but the broader strategy. newlinesmag.com/spotlight/ho....
16.04.2025 19:29 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
My chapter deals with โwar as risk managementโ and I only regret I could not discuss it with ChristopherโI know the exchange would have been thought-provoking and enjoyable. Kudos to the editors for putting this together.
02.04.2025 17:06 โ ๐ 0 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Speech by NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte followed by moderated discussion at the Warsaw School of Economics
(As delivered)
Effective speech by Mark Rutte on the NATO today and tomorrow: a stronger, fairer and more lethal Alliance. This is a potent message to those who wonder about NATO and the commitment to trans-Atlantic security. www.nato.int/cps/en/natoh...
02.04.2025 16:58 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Ep 180: Stephen Kotkin on Endgames in Ukraine
School of War ยท Episode
Insightful podcast with Stephen Kotkin that will probably anger both fans and detractors of Americaโs recent shifts on Ukraineโand the world. That in itself makes it worth a listen.
open.spotify.com/episode/4r61...
06.03.2025 19:22 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Insightful book review of my โThe Insurgentโs Dilemmaโ by Maj. Travis Peet for the Australian Army Research Centre. Captures the state equivalents of the non-state strategies I exploreโa key area of convergence. Many thanks.
researchcentre.army.gov.au/library/aust...
@hurstpublishers.bsky.social
25.02.2025 12:51 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Small, smart, many and cheaper: Competitive adaptation in modern warfare
T.X. Hammes reflects on the growing role of cheap and adaptable technologies in fighting the wars of tomorrow.
TX Hammes offers compellling take on the need to adapt for modern warfare. As Hammes has long argued, and as Ukraine bears out, itโs time to move from the โfew and exquisiteโ capabilities to the โsmall, smart, and manyโ. www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-seri...
19.02.2025 07:28 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 0 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Thereโs a Term for What Trump and Musk Are Doing
How regime change happens in America
@anneapplebaum.bsky.social on the deliberate traumatization of the federal workforce. The US is moving from a civil service to a patronage system of fealty and loyalty tests. The effect is both insulting and injurious. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
17.02.2025 06:59 โ ๐ 2 ๐ 2 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Spare a thought for the many people whose lives and careers have been completely upended this last month, and for the many who depended on those very people. Reform and change are always possible but the approach and attitude have been nothing short of spiteful. And to what endโฆ?
08.02.2025 09:03 โ ๐ 34 ๐ 5 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Having worked for the US federal government for several years, it angers and saddens me to see the hateful treatment of many fine workersโpeople who have devoted their lives to US interests and values.
08.02.2025 09:03 โ ๐ 129 ๐ 13 ๐ฌ 2 ๐ 0
The Heartless Upheaval of American Foreign Aid
Thousands of Americans have had their lives overturned and millions abroad will suffer from the closure of USAID.
The Trump Administration's attempts to dismantle USAID touches the lives of American public servants & millions of people abroad who depend on it for health services, education, & shelter. Tom Carothers explores the gravity & uncertainty of the situation: carnegieendowment.org/emissary/202...
06.02.2025 16:40 โ ๐ 16 ๐ 13 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 1
Beyond the Nuclear Balance: A Strategic Forces Net Assessment
View PDF of executive summaryView PDF of full report Executive Summary
Krepinevich's net assessment of US, RUS & PRC strategic forcesโnuclear & non-nuclear. In contrast with Cold War, these products must now account for multipolar dynamics and great uncertainty. Many crucial findings in here that should inform defense planning and policy.
www.hudson.org/defense-stra...
06.02.2025 15:53 โ ๐ 3 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 0 ๐ 0
Turkey's offer to rebuild the Syria military is an opening to displace Russian and Iranian power
Syria's new government likely needs arms to solidify its hold on power. That's an opening for its Turkish backers.
As several experiences in state-building bear out, building a political order is far more complex than arming a proxy, not least when in a fraught regional environment such as Syriaโs. Will past failures inform this effort?
www.businessinsider.com/turkey-influ...
09.01.2025 06:47 โ ๐ 1 ๐ 1 ๐ฌ 1 ๐ 0
Associate Professor in International Relations and Middle East Studies @ the University of Leeds. Specialist in the Gulf and Levant, Conflict, Order, Global Governance etc.
Co-Editor Civil Wars
https://essl.leeds.ac.uk/politics/staff/112/dr-james-worrall
Asia-Pacific Security Chair, Hudson Institute &
Scholar in Residence, Carnegie Mellon University
Independent English-language journalism in Ukraine
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Vice Chair,The Carlyle Group; Chair, Rockefeller Foundation Board; PhD; ADM, USN(Ret.) fmr Supreme Allied Commander at NATO Website: AdmiralStav.com
Senior Research Fellow, FIIA @fiia.fi
Adjunct lecturer, Sciences Po PSIA
Former NATO official
PhD VUB & Royal Military Academy of Belgium
Views my own
I'm a reporter covering the far right. jason.a.wilson@protonmail.com
Formerly @jason_a_w on twitter. Sign up for my newsletter https://www.the-end.news
Recovering British diplomat & former Ambassador. Principal of Somerville College Oxford elect - starting September. Worked for NATO too. Here with my own views. Think we can do better in our world
Associate Lecturer at the University of York. War, Strategy and Ethics - specific focus on COIN. HEA Fellow.
Founded in Brussels in 1983, @CEPS.eu is a leading think tank and forum for debate on EU affairs, with an exceptionally strong in-house research capacity and an extensive network of partner institutes throughout the world.
Researching intelligence, all things covert ๐ต๏ธ๐, and hybrid warfare.
Writer | Geopolitics | History
Author of โWestlessness: The Great Global Rebalancingโ & โGreat Imperial Hangoverโ. Associate fellow @Chatham House.
Professor of British Military History @kcl.ac.uk | Associate Dean Professional & Online Education SSPP | Award-Winning Book: Wandering Army | Next one: Forging Armageddon @YaleBooks.bsky.social | FRHistS
Affiliated with King's College London, Oxford CCW, RAND Europe, and the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies.
Doctor of Wars. Former special assistant to Kofi Annan. Founder, the Center for Peace Diplomacy (CPD). Former prof at SIPA Columbia. Visiting Senior Research Fellow, Department of War Studies, KCL. www.peace-diplomacy.org
Physicist and philosopher, publications professional, passionate about publication ethics and alliteration, apparently. Swedish, immigrant, Brooklynite. Wrote a book about #peerreview: https://brill.com/display/title/71048. #researchintegrity
Analyst of murky topics from Russian politics to organised crime.