@lucasgeese.bsky.social
Knowledge Gap on Climate Urgency ⏰
A new study reveals a critical disconnect: UK MPs & public significantly overestimate how much time we have to act on #ClimateChange. Only a small fraction knew global emissions must peak by 2025 to to realistically limit temp rise to 1.5˚C ➡️ buff.ly/7TJcypB
A new CAST study has found that UK MPs and the public in the UK, Canada, Chile & Germany underestimated the urgency of peaking global GHG emissions. 📣
Read the paper in @commsearth.nature.com, co-authored by Dr John Kenny (@johnkenny.bsky.social) & Dr Lucas Geese (@lucasgeese.bsky.social) 👇
New study finds both MPs and the public underestimate how quickly global emissions must be cut.
06.10.2025 15:34 — 👍 77 🔁 39 💬 11 📌 6
Climate Outreach are one of many major climate and nature organisations to express our grave and collective concern at Badenoch's threat to scrap the Climate Change Act.
📢 This is a threat we won’t accept: abolishing the Climate Change Act (CCA) would harm our natural world, damage a thriving net zero economy, reverse significant progress, and be out of step with public and political opinion.
We’ve written an open letter to Badenoch to express our profound concern.
UK members of parliament overestimate the time available to mitigate climate change, with notable partisan differences, and a similar lack of knowledge is evident among the public in Britain, Canada, Chile, and Germany.
02.10.2025 16:08 — 👍 5 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 0
View of the Palace of Westminster and Big Ben next to the River Thames under a partly cloudy sky.
A new UEA study has found that UK Members of Parliament (MPs) and the public overestimated the time left to meet a critical deadline for limiting global warming.
Read more 👉 bit.ly/3KAs1y2
#UKParliament #MPs #ClimateChange
@ukri.org
@climateuea.bsky.social
Bit of an awkward coincidence that our paper comes out on the day Kemi Badenoch pledges to scrap the UK Climate Change Act, but perhaps provides also a bit of an explanation:
Many UK politicians, and Tories especially, still don't fully grasp the urgency of cutting greenhouse gas emissions!
👇👇👇👇👇👇
🔁Please share 🔁
Are you an undergraduate or masters student in the UK 💂♂️working on German Politics⚫🔴🟡?
We award up to three Essay Prizes 🥇
Submit your essays or dissertations now 📫
Contact us, if you have any question 🙋
More information: psagermany.wordpress.com/events-2/psa...
Really pleased that some research from my PhD has been published today in npj Climate Action ⬇️
07.07.2025 14:19 — 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
Check out the Guest Editors' Note from our April Issue, written by @johnkenny.bsky.social , @sofiabrei.bsky.social , and Michael S. Lewis-Beck. It is available here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/toc/pol/curr...
08.04.2025 11:49 — 👍 2 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
Scrabble tiles on a table that spell out CLIMATE. Photo by Markus Winkler on Unsplash
New journal article 📢
A review of National Citizens’ Climate Assemblies: learning from deliberative events
This article reviews the rapidly emerging literature on citizens’ assemblies and assesses their significance for understanding climate policy and governance.
buff.ly/KCSUFgl 🤝
Photo of woman raising her hand in blurry room with other people sitting down looking towards some others at the front. Photo by Jacob Sangster on Unsplash
A review of National Citizens’ Climate Assemblies, said to improve legitimacy and efficacy of #ClimatePolicy 🤝
Key insights:
🟢 There are disagreements on roles + purposes
🟢 How evidence is presented can provide opps for value-based debate + challenging status quo
Read in full: buff.ly/KCSUFgl
🔓 : Advocates of national citizens' #climate assemblies (NCCAs) maintain that they improve the quality & legitimacy of policymaking. Lorenzoni et al. (@lucasgeese.bsky.social @chantal-st.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social) find substantial variation in character, impact & perceived legitimacy⬇️
21.04.2025 16:00 — 👍 3 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1
New publication in Climate Policy—open access!
We reviewed national citizens’ climate assemblies and found substantial variation in process, impact, and perceived legitimacy.
Read it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Co-authored with Irene Lorenzoni, Andrew Jordan & @chantal-st.bsky.social
New OA article now in @govandopp.bsky.social issue! Tougher immigration stances by centre-right govts boost political distrust—esp. among pro-immigration citizens—without hurting far-right support. Democratic costs? Quite possibly.
Read here: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
#polsci #FarRight
New paper out at @electoralstudies.bsky.social with Michael Lewis-Beck. We show that political economy models - based on inflation rate, government/prime minister approval, and the number of terms in office - performed well in forecasting CON vote share ahead of the 2024 GE
doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
What can we learn from the 2024 General Election for the UK climate politics of the future? Very happy to see @johnkenny.bsky.social and my report published in collaboration with @green-alliance.org.uk and @cast-centre.bsky.social. See 👇 for the details.
11.04.2025 08:27 — 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
Great to see CAST 2024 polling be the focus of @green-alliance.org.uk's latest report on public opinion on climate policy during the 2024 general election. 🗳️
The report was written by CAST's @johnkenny.bsky.social & @lucasgeese.bsky.social and examines climate policy support.
Read the report 👇
In this report with @lucasgeese.bsky.social, we present findings from polling we carried out just before last year's UK general election in which we examined support for climate policies among the British public.
@cast-centre.bsky.social @climateuea.bsky.social @tyndallcentre.bsky.social
🇦🇹's new government seeks to "temporarily" halt family reunifications, citing the "burden" on the education system.
Most experts agree this violates human rights & EU law and is unlikely to hold.
It's also problematic insofar as it legitimises a core programmatic point of the far-right FPÖ. 1/
When politicians have strongly held views which conflict however with those of their voters, parties or independent experts , should they stay true to themselves or give in to the views of those stakeholders?
John Kenny and I have surveyed British and German citizens and politicians on that.
👇👇👇
Together with @lucasgeese.bsky.social , we show (doi.org/10.1086/734680open) that there are differences in preferences for politicians being true to themselves among publics and MPs in Germany and GB. MPs may be more constrained in their ability to be true to themselves under certain conditions 9/12
26.02.2025 18:19 — 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 1The articles from the forthcoming SI on Political Authenticity - edited by myself, @sofiabrei.bsky.social & Michael Lewis-Beck - at @polityalsberuf.bsky.social are now online. In the introduction (doi.org/10.1086/734784) we set out its contribution and summarise each article 1/12
26.02.2025 18:19 — 👍 8 🔁 7 💬 1 📌 2
Aus. Vorbei. Zum ersten Mal in meinem Leben werde ich meine Stimme bei einer Bundestagswahl nicht abgeben können. Tausenden Auslandsdeutschen geht es genauso. Warum ich stocksauer bin. 👇👇👇
www.rnd.de/politik/bund...
‼️ Hiring‼️ -- 10 days to deadline!
Two postdoctoral positions in my ERC Consolidator in Madrid.
Application deadline: February 28
Job ad & details: tinyurl.com/3dwm96kb
Come and join me and my team in sunny Madrid for 5 years of intensive research and lots of publications, traveling, and fun!
screenshot of article abstract, reads: Climate change is a significant site of political contestation, with public opinion frequently invoked to support claims for more (or less) action. Yet, ‘climate change public opinion’ is an umbrella term encompassing many different components. Empirical research has recently burgeoned, but an up-to-date and globally comprehensive guide to navigating the interconnected concepts currently measured is still lacking. In this review, we develop an original classification framework based on questions fielded in over 315 surveys across different parts of the world. We reflect on what aspects the questions elicit, relate them to patterns in the existing empirical literature, and identify and reflect on important implications for future research...
New article from John Kenny , Lucas Geese , Andrew Jordan and Irene Lorenzoni reviews the usage of climate change questions in public opinion surveys & provides an overview of the types of concepts that can be elicited from these.
doi.org/10.1080/0964...
@lucasgeese.bsky.social @johnkenny.bsky.social @cast-centre.bsky.social
17.12.2024 15:25 — 👍 0 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
