Dr Malcolm Harvey

DC versus Heller (2008) and the Second Amendment that conservatives obsess about would suggest that this is a lot of hot air.

But what a remarkable shift these people have undergone.

Almost like they never believed a word of what they said in the first place.

Based on this, Jackson Carlaw losing out in Eastwood would save Russell Findlay's list seat, right?

Also, as you rightly mention, local differences are likely not picked up with these models... in addition to B&B Coast that you note, presumably the borders seats may fall into this category?

Stupid penalty to concede mind you.

We'll take it though.

Mon eh Jags.

Its apparently an unpopular view in the NFL, but even if he is the greatest coach of all time and will certainly be a Hall of Fame inductee, there's some nice karma in Bill Belichick's failure to be inducted on the first ballot.

You reap what you sow.

I did not have 'Rand Paul makes a reasonable amount of sense' on my bingo card for today, but he does and is.

Hopefully less of a Goodwin and more of a bad loss.

Hopefully less of a Goodwin and more of a bad loss.

Of course he is.

Of course he is.

Noem, Bovino and maybe even Stephen Miller on the chopping block?

Not used to this administration being so hazy when it comes to backing their henchmen.

Column in today's Sunday Post, basically agreeing with Mark Carney's speech.

This is a NEW new world order, and we won't be able to go back to pre-Trump trust.

Time for the 'Medium Powers' to chart a new path, less reliant on the unreliable.

FAO Democrats in Congress: if you would call this by name in any other place, call it by name in Minnesota.

Start referring to 'ICE Death Squads'.

This was the same with the previous ICE death squad shooting in Minnesota.

Prioritising the lies of the Trump administration over the facts we can see with our own eyes because they are scared the Bully-in-Chief will sue them again.

Be better.

"A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed"... unless the person bearing arms is observing the government's thugs acting unlawfully, in which case, all bets are off.

The US is a failed state.

Those who know, know

That was just quite excellent television.

Well done all.

They did. And it was quite excellent television.

Well played.

Hey Democrats, here's an open goal, an easy win: vote against funding unconstitutional law enforcement.

Seven Democrats: or we could just vote for it.

Everyone watching: you dicks.

Its not for me to judge whether JD Vance is the least impressive person to hold the office of Vice President, but he's probably in the top two, right?

10/10, no notes.

Way to throw your boss under the bus.

(I'll give you a hint JD: the guy lives in a big white house on Pennsylvania Avenue, though sometimes he's at Mar-a-Lago).

Hahahahaha pathetic, well done Big Man you've torched the lot for nowt. See what happens when you stand up to the bully?

TACO.

Yet again.

No one can believe anything the guy says.

I've no idea how Stephen Daisley is getting anyone to pay him to write this garbage.

He's been wrong about everything for the last 15 years and writes like a toddler.

"People thought I would use force,” he said. “I don't have to use force. I don’t want to use force. I won’t use force."

I’m telling you one thing, but by mentioning what I’m not going to do, I’m reminding you that I can do it. You better please me because I can always change my mind.

Don Corleone

Called this over an hour ago by the way:
bsky.app/profile/malc...

Fair play to the BBC - they are doing some decent 'fact-checking' of the claims in Trump's speech. Or, rather, pointing out the historical illiteracy of the president...

The contrast between this and Carney’s speech could not be more alarming or shocking.

Spare a thought for the poor guy who has to figure out what this lunatic is talking about so he can teach a course on US Foreign Policy this term...

"And we go live to Mike Johnson, Mr Speaker, what do you make of the demented ranting from the president in Davos?"

"I dunno guys, I haven't seen it. Much less important things for me to focus on..."