Conflict Research

Yes, they’re by far the stronger of the two across the Sahel as opposed to Nigeria where ISWAP are focusing more of their attention

Video of militia affiliated with Saddam Haftar deliberately running over women & children in southern Libya in retaliation against the local populations protest against the abuses, illegal taxes and theft.

The Union of Young Toubou in Libya has denounced the incursions by militias affiliated with Haftar into several homes in the South, describing these acts as serious violations of human rights and collective punishment.

Mohamed Baraka Wardkou, head of the Southern Operations Chamber appeared in a video after 03 soldiers were killed & several others captured at the border post representing the interests of the Toubou, Tuareg, Ouled Souleimane, and Mahamid communities on the border.

31.01 #Libya #Niger
Video posted by an armed group of its takeover of the Al-Tum border post, between Libya and Niger.
The situation has apparently bee escalating along the border following accusations that militias loyal to Khalifa Haftar are exploiting local populations & stealing resources.

#Nigeria
ISWAP appoints Abu Khalifa as new commander in Timbuktu Triangle following the killing of its former commander, Julaibib, by Nigerian troops.

According to the conflict tracking account WAMAPS on X, there were 77 terrorist attacks in January in the Sahel AES nations & Nigeria.
Burkina Faso, 32 attacks claimed by JNIM
Mali, 28 attacks - 26 by JNIM / 2 by ISSP
Niger, 10 attacks - 5 JNIM / 5 ISSP
Nigeria 7 attacks - 6 ISWAP / 1 Boko Haram

#Mali
Dozo Militia in the Bandiagara area of Dogon country, appealing for help from the Security Forces & Russians.
They state that Islamic militants have surrounded their positions, hence this call for help.

02.02 #Mali
Security sources have told Agence France Press that at least 15 drivers were murdered during a JNIM attack on a fuel convoy between Diboli, on the border of Senegal & Kayes.
Close to 50 fuel tankers were destroyed.

02.02 #BurkinaFaso
JNIM claimed responsibility for carrying out IED attacks against 02 Security Forces vehicles between Dyarakorosso and Noumoukiedougou in southwest Burkina Faso near the Ivorian border.

Africa: Republican Intelligence Specialist Nominated Head Africa at State Department Frank W. Garcia Jr., a veteran Republican Congressional aide with limited Africa experience, has been nominated by President Trump to lead the Africa Bureau at the State Department.

allafrica.com/stories/2026... #drc #sahel

I mean, they are correct in that the graphic does not glorify or valorize any specific incident. It glorifies all of them. Any of them. However you do it, it glorifies them. It's a general glorification of shooting people in the head without due process of law simply because you don't like them.

02.02 #Niger
At Least 03 members of the Security Forces have been killed in an attack attributed to IS-SP on the National Guard Camp in Ayorou.
The militants later fled taking 03 vehicles equipped with 12.7mm heavy machine guns along with other weapons and ammunition.

If you follow me and I follow you back and you try and you immediately DM me to hock me your book / merch / whatever...go fuck yourself.

Losses from the attack on Base 101 at 🇳🇪 Niamey.

1x DA-42 MPP Guardian (ISR)
2x C-208 (ISR)
1x Mi-171 (combat transport helicopter)
1x TAI Hürkuş (light attack)

Egypt is secretly hosting a major military drone base in its Western Desert that has become central to Sudan’s civil war, marking a sharp escalation of foreign involvement, the New York Times reports. Satellite images, flight data, videos, and interviews reviewed by the Times indicate that advanced long-range Turkish Akinci drones have been operating from the base for at least six months, striking Rapid Support Forces targets deep inside Sudan. The operation suggests Egypt has moved from diplomacy to direct military backing of Sudan’s army, following the RSF’s capture of El Fasher in October 2025 and fears in Cairo of a wider RSF advance and refugee surge. Analysts cited by the Times say drones are now decisive, cutting supply lines but also spreading terror among civilians. The drone war underscores how Sudan’s conflict is evolving into a high-tech battlefield shaped by rival foreign powers. The UAE supplies the RSF with Chinese drones and counter-drone systems, while Sudan’s army relies on Turkish drones, staged from Egypt. Quote Eric Schmitt @EricSchmittNYT ·

See new posts Conversation Eric Schmitt @EricSchmittNYT A secret drone base in Egypt offers new evidence of how the civil war in Sudan is morphing into a sprawling theater for high-tech drone warfare driven by the interests of rival foreign powers w/ @declanwalsh , @malachybrowne https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/01/world/africa/egypt-sudan-drones.html?smid=tw-share

Egypt is secretly hosting a major military drone base in its Western Desert that has become central to Sudan’s civil war, marking a sharp escalation of foreign involvement, the New York Times reports. Satellite images, flight data, videos, & interviews reviewed by the Times indicate that advanced...

Niger's Security Forces suffered significant material loses which will impact their ISR and strike capability.

1x DA-42 MPP Guardian (ISR)
2x C-208 (ISR)
1x Mi-171 (combat transport helicopter)
1x TAI Hürkuş (light attack)

29.01 #Niger
Although there's been no official statement is much lower, several sources have said that the attack on Niamey’s Air Base 101 has resulted 27 deaths (03 Russian / 24 Security Forces) along with 18 wounded.
Video released by IS-SP is also very contradictory of the scale of the attack.

Also it's not really a "secret base"...I stayed 6kms from it when I lived in Egypt working for an oil field services company.

Interesting since we know that Libya's LNA host a major resupply base 350kms away at Al 'Aweinat pretty much on the Libya / Sudan / Egypt border and Al Kufra airport has just been shut for "renovations" but is an important transport hub for Russian aircraft coming from the Sahel.

29.01 #Niger
IS-SP have released their own footage of the attack on Niamey airport.

The Partisan - Recorded at Spotify Studios NYC

Grew up listening to Christy Moore, he used to be a regular gigging in the pubs of my hometown, this and Sacco & Vanzetti were always on in the house.
This is another good one,
open.spotify.com/track/2xMzN3...

Vive La Quinte Brigada

Need to get you to sign my copy at some point
open.spotify.com/track/3OpPh9...

01.02 #Mali
JNIM carried out an IED attack on a Security Forces / Africa Corps vehicle between Goundam and Diré, in the Timbuktu region.

01.02 #Mali
JNIM has claimed responsibility for an IED attack on a Security Forces vehicle, between Markala and Ké-Macina, in the Ségou region.
No official casualty figures have been released yet.

01.02 #Mali
The Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) targeted a Security Forces / Russian Africa Corps patrol in Inbogitane (18.080340, 0.641750) not far from Anefis in the Kidal region.

A second Security Forces / Russians reinforcement patrol were apparently attacked with some reports saying the IS-SP used kamikaze drones and killed another 05 and wounding 11 in the Tin Fadimata area.

IS-SP issued a statement claiming they killed 20 Security Forces and Russian mercenaries.

29.01 #Mali
IS-SP carried out an ambush at Agarmbaw on the Chibam axis northwest of Menaka reportedly killed 06 and wounded a further 07 members of the Security Forces and Russian Africa Corps mercenaries.

30.01 #Mali
Security Forces have stated that they killed more than a dozen terrorists in an airstrike southeast of Mourdiah.

30.01 #Mali
Turkish manufacturer Baykar delivered 02 new Akıncı to the air base in Sévaré.