Ralph Scott

The British General Election of 2024 The British General Election of 2024 is the definitive account of one of the most consequential elections in recent times.

The Appendices for The British General Election of 2024 book are available (for free) under "Back Matter" at link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

The first 71 pages are constituency results analysis by John Curtice, @lottehargrave.bsky.social, @patrick-pme.bsky.social, and myself.

Empirically derived guidelines for effect size interpretation in social psychology This study estimates empirically derived guidelines for effect size interpretation for research in social psychology overall and sub-disciplines within social psychology, based on analysis of the tru...

Has anyone done a version of this paper but for meta-analyses in political science? I realise there may not be enough meta-analyses actually existing yet in the discipline but thought it was worth asking...

CfP for a BJSE special issue on HE and students' political beliefs/engagement

www.education.ox.ac.uk/wp-content/u...

@uaces.bsky.social @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @mybisa.bsky.social

Starting to unrionically think private schools are good for social mobility in that most of them have less of a value add than fees + ROI over the period would.

On a purely factual point, Trevor Phillips’s column in the Times misrepresents our reporting in casting doubts on claims that there were more boys called Patel than Smith at Dulwich in 1980 (we did not report 1976 as the year it occurred). 1980 roll shows 13 Patels and 12 Smiths.

Can the British state stop this obvious and easily solved scam? Let’s find out!

Deadline today!! :)

LSE - Political Economy and Political Science Early Career Workshop We invite submissions for the LSE Political Economy and Political Science Early Career Workshop. This workshop is designed to support the development of early-career scholars’ research, including PhD,...

📢 Call for Submissions

UK-based early career researchers in political science, political economy & public policy: apply to our January Early Career Workshop at LSE.
🗓️ Deadline: 28 Dec 2025
🔗 forms.gle/HXU4DnBq9HmX...

Congrats Phil!

I suspect you have to be quite racist to stand out as "the racist guy" at a boys public school of the 1980s.

Beats my 65

Lobbyist / ex Tory MP Ben Howlett has been done by an undercover sting. As ever, the most revealing thing is how very very cheap it is buy access in British media/politics — and especially how Howlett controls one of the biggest UK pol Twitter accounts!
democracyforsale.substack.com/p/breaking-o...

Today is the UN International Day of Persons with Disabilities. Disability shapes people’s lives in many ways — including how they participate in elections. To mark the day, here’s a selection of our research on this important topic.

Its a big challenge if more of these satellite campuses start closing down. It will make a lot of the town centres of these places worse, when a lot of them like Southend have recently elected Labour MPs promising to make things less crap!

I think I'm going to stop here as I can only correct so many misconceptions and have work to do! But you will also know that unis do not simply operate in an open market - their domestic price is set by government and was artificially held below inflation for ~10 years, hence the current crisis

Not much use looking at a regional level. What about Southend, which is where the job losses will be localised? My read is a significantly higher unemployment rate. You're also generalising on uni quality too (based on?) - Essex is world-renowned for social science, hosts ISER/USoc/summer school etc

On the broader point, I expect you know this, but this isn't an isolated incident of job cuts in one uni - there is a financial crisis in the sector due to an unsustainable funding model whereby most unis lose money on home undergraduate students.

Without getting into the rest of your post, Essex is in the east of England...

If it were steel works we would have a government bailout plan, yet losing thousands of jobs at unis is met with a shrug. & unlike steelworks universities were profitable when they had foreign students.
You are killing the golden goose… one of our best exports…

HOW IS THIS HELPING GROWTH?!

Perfect time to introduce a levy on international students!

/s

6/ The revolution is driven mainly by survey experiments and, to a much lesser extent, DID and unconfoundedness designs with matching & reweighting. Field experiments, IV, RDDs, natural experiments, and synthetic control all remain relatively rare in the discipline.

New paper! @william-dinneen.bsky.social @guygrossman.bsky.social Yiqing Xu and I use GPT to code 91k articles from 174 polisci journals (2003–2023)and track research designs, transparency practices, and citations. How has the credibility revolution reshaped the discipline? doi.org/10.31235/osf...
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Morgan Jones | At the Battle of Ideas In The Impact of Labour, Maurice Cowling wrote that politics in the 1920s was ‘fifty or sixty people’ in tension...

Went to the Battle of Ideas, where speech has been successfully freed but all anyone wants to talk about is Tommy Robinson.

www.lrb.co.uk/blog/2025/de...

Some evidence that current poor consumer sentiment is partly explained by accounting for the increased cost of debt: bsky.app/profile/bruc...

(I don't seem to be able to DM you here but feel free to email: ralph.scott@bristol.ac.uk)

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Think this is exactly right - political journalism that is completely abstracted from policy, which was not the norm before 2017, has become the default. Impossible to have a serious attempt to either shrink what the state does or widen the tax base (have to do at least one) on that basis.

🚨New article🚨 What do people want from political leaders in times of crisis, and are those preferences gendered?

Interested? Then check out our new Electoral Studies paper @jess-smith.bsky.social @viktorv.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social @hannahbunting.bsky.social @carolineleicht.bsky.social

Yes totally agree

Founding Brothers - Wikipedia

These were both good fun when I was in a similar group a few years back:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundin...

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Bla...