Jon B. Wolfsthal ๐Ÿคฏ's Avatar

Jon B. Wolfsthal ๐Ÿคฏ

@jonatomic.bsky.social

Director, Global Risk at Federation of American Scientists, former Sr. Dir NSC, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists (doomsday clock setter). Pope of Chili Town. No #manels, Yankees/Gunners.

3,789 Followers  |  429 Following  |  3,083 Posts  |  Joined: 15.11.2024  |  2.0954

Latest posts by jonatomic.bsky.social on Bluesky

Getting the Most Out of New START Before It Expires | Arms Control Association

"Getting the Most Out of New START Before It Expires"

05.12.2025 02:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Using race to set Congressional boundaries is unconstitutional, unless it benefits white people is one hell of a Constitutional interpretation but it is consistent with originalism.

05.12.2025 02:37 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And beyond that, if DOJ is struggling this hard to get an indictment, it's hard to believe their evidence is sufficient for a jury to convict at trial, using the "guilt beyond a reasonable doubt" standard the prosecution must meet.

05.12.2025 01:32 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 913    ๐Ÿ” 175    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 21    ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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Thanks to Leah Walker, Glenn Parham, Jacob Heim, Michael Horowitz, Helen Toner, Isaac Harris, and Hamza Chaudhry for sharing their expertise.

And shoutout to our dream team: @yblim.bsky.social, @jonatomic.bsky.social, @technolliegist.bsky.social t.bsky.social & Gil Ruiz for making it all happen. ๐Ÿ™Œ

04.12.2025 15:03 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Look Before We Leap on Artificial Intelligence The U.S. imposes restrictions on a range of industries. AI should be no exception.

thedispatch.com/debates/ai-r...

04.12.2025 14:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Look Before We Leap on Artificial Intelligence The U.S. imposes restrictions on a range of industries. AI should be no exception.

Prudent intrinsic and external safeguards on the development of advanced AI that can lead to AGI and superintelligence is more than smart, it may be a matter of survival. And we can achieve these with no real sacrifice in what tool AI can do for humanity. thedispatch.com/debates/ai-r...

04.12.2025 14:49 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The US made its conventional deterrent and capabilities credible in the Cold War because allies and US did not want to make the world safe for a third major conventional war in Europe. The risk of "decoupling" Europe from the US and allies building independent nuclear programs was too great.

04.12.2025 13:23 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The Most Awful Responsibility: Truman's struggle for control of the atomic age Alex Wellersteinโ€™s new book argues that, contrary to current understandings, Truman was perhaps the most anti-nuclear president of the 20th century. In a key period, he did more than any leader since ...

I am going to be holding a talk and discussion of my NEW BOOK about Truman and the atomic bomb on December 16, 2025 at 12-2pm ET. The event will be in Paris (free to anyone who is local โ€” 18:00-20:00 CET), but also streamed on Zoom.

Here is the event description: www.sciencespo.fr/ceri/fr/even...

04.12.2025 13:10 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 25    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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Illinois can set its own vaccine guidelines, bypassing Trump administration The new law shows how blue states are trying to counter Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.โ€™s skeptical approach to vaccines.

www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2025/...

Cc @abigailspanberger.com

03.12.2025 22:41 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 4    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is in fact a criminal offense.

03.12.2025 22:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 0    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As The Post first reported, the information Hegseth shared on Signal derived from an email classified โ€œSECRET/NOFORN,โ€ meaning unauthorized disclosure could jeopardize national security www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

03.12.2025 22:21 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 7    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Pentagon watchdog finds Hegseth risked the safety of U.S. forces with use of Signal A forthcoming inspector general report finds that had intel shared by Hegseth been intercepted by an adversary, it would have endangered servicemembers, according to a source who viewed the findings.

A forthcoming inspector general report finds that had intel shared by Hegseth been intercepted by an adversary, it would have endangered servicemembers, according to a source who viewed the findings. n.pr/3KGzegt

03.12.2025 20:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 661    ๐Ÿ” 193    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 53    ๐Ÿ“Œ 19
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Steve Bannonโ€™s Surprisingly Key Role in the Epstein Scandal We seem to be in another Epstein hiatus before the story and...

Steve Bannon, basically right up to the time Jeffrey Epstein died, was apparently working with him on an effort to rehabilitate Epsteinโ€™s reputation.
talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/steve...

03.12.2025 19:31 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 77    ๐Ÿ” 41    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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a man is looking at a wall of monitors on make a gif ALT: a man is looking at a wall of monitors on make a gif
03.12.2025 16:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 5    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Congress has no global cred to share, FIFA/Football does.

03.12.2025 15:30 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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How Palantir shifted course to play key role in ICE deportations โ€œThe truly progressive position on immigrationโ€ is โ€œextreme skepticism,โ€ says Alex Karp, a longtime Democrat and the data-mining companyโ€™s chief executive.

It is like every dystopian movie we watched in the 1990s and 2000s is coming true before our eyes. Not sure if this is Minority Report or Batman, but it is not good.

www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2...

03.12.2025 15:29 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 12    ๐Ÿ” 6    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Can we all agree that whatever monstrosity Trump builds where the East Wing once stood must be torn down after his departure and replaced with a modern, respectful and functional East Wing.

03.12.2025 12:25 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 11    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Trumpโ€™s claim he can order strikes on foreign civilians is unconstitutional

Nowhere in the Constitution is he given this power, it's a violation of multiple US laws, and there is no precedent in American history

I laid it out on @newsnation.bsky.social w/ @chriscuomo.bsky.social๐Ÿ‘‡

03.12.2025 01:47 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 726    ๐Ÿ” 196    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 29    ๐Ÿ“Œ 6
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Swings of no less than 7 points, and up to 25 points. #TN07

03.12.2025 02:45 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 8    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Rolling back food stamps seems bad but I guess if you realize itโ€™s to give very wealthy people a tax cut

02.12.2025 22:24 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 1748    ๐Ÿ” 423    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 171    ๐Ÿ“Œ 17

All of the strikes are illegal. 1st, 2nd, SecDef verbal or implied.

02.12.2025 20:09 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nothing says โ€œI have your backโ€ like the Admiral did it, not me.

02.12.2025 20:08 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 7    ๐Ÿ” 0    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Report Launch: Safeguarding AIxBio Capabilities to Prevent Global Catastrophe "Safeguarding Against Global Catastrophe: Risks, Opportunities, and Governance Options at the Intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Biology," highlights actions the international community canโ€ฆ

Interested in how we can harness the benefits of AI and biotechnology while preventing misuse?

Join us tomorrow for the virtual launch of our new report on safeguarding AIxBio capabilities to prevent global catastrophe!

02.12.2025 19:00 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 2    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Pete Hegseth told US soldiers in Iraq to ignore legal advice on rules of engagement Defense secretary shares anecdote in The War on Warriors and rails against โ€˜rules and regulationsโ€™ governing war

Part of a pattern with Hegseth. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

02.12.2025 18:54 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 40    ๐Ÿ” 24    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

It's great that reporting on the double tap has spotlighted the abject criminality of this Administration.

But don't forget: Venezuela is not waging war on America or Americans, and the men killed were not combatants.

The first strike was every bit as illegal as the second.

02.12.2025 13:22 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 32355    ๐Ÿ” 9365    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 901    ๐Ÿ“Œ 370

Damn skippy. The ignorance (willful or not) of these American โ€œpuristsโ€ is stunning.

02.12.2025 18:36 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 3    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

As the descendant of people who were forcibly brought here in the early 18th century by Dutch and British slavers, please Representative, tell me more about "what American is all about."

02.12.2025 17:40 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 168    ๐Ÿ” 30    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 15    ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Any serving members of the military (or ICE for that matter) should watch carefully as the President and DOD issue orders of questionable legality and say โ€œI have your backโ€ and then seek to pin any responsibility on those who carried out the orders. They NEVER take responsibility for their actions.

02.12.2025 16:52 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 6    ๐Ÿ” 2    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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As Solar Geoengineering Enters its Startup Phase, Governments Must Address Emerging Security Risks Without regulation, the dangers of solar radiation modification will become magnified and the security risks more unchecked.

Solar radiation modification (SRM) is now a commercial industry, with startups raising millions to artificially cool the planet.

But with development outpacing regulation, countries must act now to create governance frameworks to address SRMโ€™s risks, write Scott Moore and Imran Bayoumi:

02.12.2025 14:01 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 30    ๐Ÿ” 17    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If Trump illegally orders the use of a nuclear weapon in the same way he is ordering conventional boat strikes in the western hemisphere, it wonโ€™t do any good for members of Congress to privately talk to the CJCS after the fact. Clear and durable legal barriers are needed and long overdue.

02.12.2025 00:46 โ€” ๐Ÿ‘ 18    ๐Ÿ” 1    ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0    ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

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