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Doug Lucas

@douglaslucas.bsky.social

Freelance writer/journalist. Seattle based; Mexico now Bylines: Rolling Stone, Foreign Policy, Salon, WhoWhatWhy, Texas Observer, Daily Dot, more DouglasLucas.com Email: DAL@RISEUP.NET For Signal or PGP, ask You know you want to: DouglasLucas.com/donate

2,672 Followers  |  309 Following  |  2,393 Posts  |  Joined: 30.08.2023  |  2.432

Latest posts by douglaslucas.bsky.social on Bluesky

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CPD just relieved feds from this line too. Then a moment later the feds gassed the whole area, including the cops.

04.10.2025 20:00 — 👍 1346    🔁 638    💬 50    📌 133
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Happening now: at Kedzie and 40th, where Border Patrol agents just opened fire on rapid response this afternoon. A woman CFD says they found after the incident is reported in fair condition.

A growing number of outraged neighbors have gathered across from ICE/CBP agents who have closed Kedzie.

04.10.2025 18:19 — 👍 3558    🔁 1736    💬 172    📌 164

Fam, this is a challenging moment. We (as reporters) are trying to balance urgency of news & amplification of resistance narratives with not assisting in putting people in prison. It's tough for everyone right now with how fast videos go viral. There's a lot we are not sharing.

05.10.2025 18:50 — 👍 743    🔁 245    💬 8    📌 1

For why? I like your posts here.

05.10.2025 17:26 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Yngwie Malmsteen - Sails of Charon
YouTube video by Mauri Oliver Yngwie Malmsteen - Sails of Charon

Yngwie Malmsteen, uncharacteristically good day covering Scorpions' "Sails of Charon" from '77, live London '96 (5min): www.youtube.com/watch?v=yD_o... #music

Good day thx to Uli Roth's compositional power & Mark Boals' indefatigable vox. Drummer sounds bored so decided hit, kit as loud as possible

05.10.2025 06:09 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 1

*DEVELOPING*: I've updated my scoop with previously unreported details about the State Dept. staffer who requested the sword, NARA's response, and that the gift Trump gave King Charles III wasn't even a replica of Eisenhower's West Point Officer's Sabre:
lastcampaign.substack.com/p/exclusive-...

05.10.2025 03:49 — 👍 38    🔁 19    💬 0    📌 3
Drones maps

Drones maps

Drones maps

Drones maps

German officials reported new unidentified drone sightings near airports and military sites. Munich Airport closed twice in 24 hours due to drones. Authorities believe they were military reconnaissance drones, with additional incidents near Jever, Frankfurt, and Gifhorn. 🧵1/3

(Images ISW)

05.10.2025 01:40 — 👍 50    🔁 23    💬 2    📌 1

Idk clip's provenance, but I'm confident (judging from era & her tone) it was no ad. _World_ just is URLs now,except not even that: "kids these days" (who are awesome) use Google to find any site since URL bars are being taken away. It's no more an ad than asking for lowercase kleenex or googling is

05.10.2025 03:16 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

When I taught high school classes a few years ago, I often thought I needed an undergraduate assistant to stand there and simply translate everything I was saying, not just into Gen Z words, but my examples to theirs (e.g., Minecraft and Roblox). Other than smaller class sizes, that's a key solution

05.10.2025 01:48 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 2    📌 0
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Hell yeah! She nails it. 🔥

I’ve heard my daughter vent to me about this very same thing: At some point, it’s the professor, not the students, and there’s very little recourse. College costs big bucks, and it’s wrong when they don’t teach in a way that reaches their students. And don’t seem to care.

05.10.2025 00:00 — 👍 629    🔁 182    💬 87    📌 13
Already, the Trump administration has hinted at more drastic actions to deal with mounting debt payments, should gaining control of the Fed not be enough. The so-called Mar-a-Lago Accord, a strategy put forward in November 2024 by Stephen Miran, now head of Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers, suggests that the United States could selectively default on its payments to the foreign central banks and treasuries that hold trillions of U.S. dollars.

Whether or not the proposal was ever taken seriously, its very existence has rattled global investors, and it is not likely to be forgotten. A clause proposed for the huge tax and spending bill that was passed by the U.S. Congress in July would have given the president discretion to impose a 20 percent tax on select foreign investors. Although that provision was removed from the final bill, it stands as a warning of what might come if the U.S. government finds itself under budget duress.

With long-term interest rates up sharply, public debt nearing its post–World War II peak, foreign investors becoming more skittish, and politicians showing little appetite for reining in fresh borrowing, the possibility of a once-in-a-century U.S. debt crisis no longer seems far- fetched. Debt and financial crisis tend to occur precisely when a country’s fiscal situation is already precarious, its interest rates are high, its political situation is paralyzed, and a shock catches policymakers on the back foot. The United States already checks the first three boxes; all that is missing is the shock. Even if the country avoids an outright debt crisis, a sharp erosion of confidence in its creditworthiness would have profound consequences. It is urgent for policymakers to recognize how and why these scenarios could unfold and what ...

Already, the Trump administration has hinted at more drastic actions to deal with mounting debt payments, should gaining control of the Fed not be enough. The so-called Mar-a-Lago Accord, a strategy put forward in November 2024 by Stephen Miran, now head of Trump’s Council of Economic Advisers, suggests that the United States could selectively default on its payments to the foreign central banks and treasuries that hold trillions of U.S. dollars. Whether or not the proposal was ever taken seriously, its very existence has rattled global investors, and it is not likely to be forgotten. A clause proposed for the huge tax and spending bill that was passed by the U.S. Congress in July would have given the president discretion to impose a 20 percent tax on select foreign investors. Although that provision was removed from the final bill, it stands as a warning of what might come if the U.S. government finds itself under budget duress. With long-term interest rates up sharply, public debt nearing its post–World War II peak, foreign investors becoming more skittish, and politicians showing little appetite for reining in fresh borrowing, the possibility of a once-in-a-century U.S. debt crisis no longer seems far- fetched. Debt and financial crisis tend to occur precisely when a country’s fiscal situation is already precarious, its interest rates are high, its political situation is paralyzed, and a shock catches policymakers on the back foot. The United States already checks the first three boxes; all that is missing is the shock. Even if the country avoids an outright debt crisis, a sharp erosion of confidence in its creditworthiness would have profound consequences. It is urgent for policymakers to recognize how and why these scenarios could unfold and what ...

It is crucial to understand that the Trump administration’s economic policies are an accelerant, rather than the fundamental cause, of the United States’ debt problem. The story really begins with President Ronald Reagan in the 1980s, an era of deficit spending in which the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio was about a third of what it is today. As Vice President Dick Cheney said during the first George W. Bush administration, “Reagan proved deficits don’t matter.” It is an assumption that both parties appear to have taken to heart in the twenty-first century, despite far more worrying debt burdens. In fiscal year 2024, for example, the Biden administration ran a budget deficit of $1.8 trillion, or 6.4 percent of GDP. Except for the global financial crisis and the first year of the pandemic, that was a peacetime record, slightly exceeding the 6.1 percent of the previous year. President Joe Biden’s deficits would have been larger still but for determined resistance from two centrist Democratic senators who bid down some of the administration’s most expansive spending bills.

During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump pilloried Biden for his administration’s massive deficit spending. Yet in his second term in office, Trump has embraced similarly large deficits—six to seven percent of GDP for the rest of the decade, according to independent forecasts
produced by the Congressional Budget Office and the Committee for a Responsible FederalBudget. The latter has projected that, by 2054, the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio will reach 172 percent—or an even higher 190 percent if the bill’s provisions become permanent. Trump

It is crucial to understand that the Trump administration’s economic policies are an accelerant, rather than the fundamental cause, of the United States’ debt problem. The story really begins with President Ronald Reagan in the 1980s, an era of deficit spending in which the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio was about a third of what it is today. As Vice President Dick Cheney said during the first George W. Bush administration, “Reagan proved deficits don’t matter.” It is an assumption that both parties appear to have taken to heart in the twenty-first century, despite far more worrying debt burdens. In fiscal year 2024, for example, the Biden administration ran a budget deficit of $1.8 trillion, or 6.4 percent of GDP. Except for the global financial crisis and the first year of the pandemic, that was a peacetime record, slightly exceeding the 6.1 percent of the previous year. President Joe Biden’s deficits would have been larger still but for determined resistance from two centrist Democratic senators who bid down some of the administration’s most expansive spending bills. During his 2024 presidential campaign, Trump pilloried Biden for his administration’s massive deficit spending. Yet in his second term in office, Trump has embraced similarly large deficits—six to seven percent of GDP for the rest of the decade, according to independent forecasts produced by the Congressional Budget Office and the Committee for a Responsible FederalBudget. The latter has projected that, by 2054, the U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio will reach 172 percent—or an even higher 190 percent if the bill’s provisions become permanent. Trump

There is a substantive basis for the Trump administration’s growth projections, although it has little to do with the claimed benefits of the “big, beautiful bill” passed in July. Many prominent technology experts firmly believe that as long as the government stays out of the way, artificial intelligence companies will achieve Artificial General Intelligence, meaning AI models that can equal or outperform human experts at a wide variety of complex cognitive tasks, within ten years, leading to explosive productivity growth. Indeed, the progress of AI
research has been breathtaking, and there are strong reasons for assuming that AI’s effect on the economy will be profound. But in the medium term, widespread adoption of AI could be hindered by multiple bottlenecks, including outsize energy requirements, data regulations,
and legal liabilities. Moreover, as AI allows companies in some sectors to lay off scores of workers, public discontent could encourage populist politicians to push through policies that

There is a substantive basis for the Trump administration’s growth projections, although it has little to do with the claimed benefits of the “big, beautiful bill” passed in July. Many prominent technology experts firmly believe that as long as the government stays out of the way, artificial intelligence companies will achieve Artificial General Intelligence, meaning AI models that can equal or outperform human experts at a wide variety of complex cognitive tasks, within ten years, leading to explosive productivity growth. Indeed, the progress of AI research has been breathtaking, and there are strong reasons for assuming that AI’s effect on the economy will be profound. But in the medium term, widespread adoption of AI could be hindered by multiple bottlenecks, including outsize energy requirements, data regulations, and legal liabilities. Moreover, as AI allows companies in some sectors to lay off scores of workers, public discontent could encourage populist politicians to push through policies that

With the cooperation of Congress, however, the president can do much more. For example, Congress could empower the Treasury to dictate the Fed’s short-term interest rate target during a national emergency, including a debt crisis. This is more or less what happened in World War II and its immediate aftermath. It could also pack the Federal Reserve Board with new members, as Roosevelt threatened to do with the Supreme Court in the 1930s. A battle of that scale between the Fed and the president would take the country into uncharted territory. But even if the Fed submits and cuts rates sharply, inflation is not the get-out-of-jail-
free card some believe it to be. Whereas a truly massive bout of hyperinflation, such as what happened in Germany after World War I, would effectively wipe government debt off the books, it would wipe out the rest of the economy, as well: ask the citizens of Venezuela and
Zimbabwe, who have suffered epic hyperinflation in this century. More plausibly, a few years of 1970s-style inflation—in 1979 inflation reached more than 14 percent per year in the United States—would crater the value of long-term bonds but have less effect on short-term debt, which would have to be refinanced at higher interest rates. And such a prolonged spike would likely be very damaging to both the U.S. and the global economy ...

With the cooperation of Congress, however, the president can do much more. For example, Congress could empower the Treasury to dictate the Fed’s short-term interest rate target during a national emergency, including a debt crisis. This is more or less what happened in World War II and its immediate aftermath. It could also pack the Federal Reserve Board with new members, as Roosevelt threatened to do with the Supreme Court in the 1930s. A battle of that scale between the Fed and the president would take the country into uncharted territory. But even if the Fed submits and cuts rates sharply, inflation is not the get-out-of-jail- free card some believe it to be. Whereas a truly massive bout of hyperinflation, such as what happened in Germany after World War I, would effectively wipe government debt off the books, it would wipe out the rest of the economy, as well: ask the citizens of Venezuela and Zimbabwe, who have suffered epic hyperinflation in this century. More plausibly, a few years of 1970s-style inflation—in 1979 inflation reached more than 14 percent per year in the United States—would crater the value of long-term bonds but have less effect on short-term debt, which would have to be refinanced at higher interest rates. And such a prolonged spike would likely be very damaging to both the U.S. and the global economy ...

"debt policy that both the Repub & the Dem Parties have engaged in over the 1st quarter of the 21st century amounts to a huge wager on long odds ... Given the current trajectory ... it has become much more difficult to sustain the belief that no matter how high US debt gets, it will have no effect"

03.10.2025 03:26 — 👍 4    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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America’s Coming Crash Will Washington’s debt addiction spark the next global crisis?

From Dept of Friendly Marxists Give Advice:

* US $37 trillion debt = all other major economies combined; nears 100% nat'l. income

* Trump giving world reasons to pounce,incl. dedollarize

* '25 law may create captive stablecoins by Tbill-rich issuers; if Tbills go, who runs off w what type money?

03.10.2025 03:19 — 👍 2    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0

Rappelling from helicopters? In Chicago?

How much horse shit are we going to take?

Lies.

The people in that apartment building did nothing wrong.

03.10.2025 02:53 — 👍 4    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

“We’re under siege. We’re being invaded by our own country.”

03.10.2025 01:56 — 👍 36    🔁 13    💬 1    📌 1

Stipulating in advance that I probably agree with everyone’s critiques of Newson:

This is the way. Make it clear in advance that compliance has a price too.

02.10.2025 23:43 — 👍 1362    🔁 248    💬 24    📌 4

When I was writing about the still-pending Reorganizing Government Act www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol... (Paywall-free: www.yahoo.com/news/gop-bil... ), some told me the idea of Trump2 dismantling agencies was far fetched. Now it's just another Politico headline and Truth Social blaring. Le sigh.

02.10.2025 22:46 — 👍 4    🔁 5    💬 0    📌 0

Also, CBS includes this glaring error: NARA does not in fact operate libraries for these three; not Obama—who isn't building one, and for whose records there will be no library anyone, including NARA, operates—nor for Trump or Biden, neither of whom has announced a solid site nor any concrete plans.

02.10.2025 20:20 — 👍 12    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

A better headline: “Trump blackmailing top universities” or Trump holds funding hostage

02.10.2025 05:05 — 👍 179    🔁 13    💬 3    📌 0
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Trump Administration Asks Colleges to Sign ‘Compact’ to Get Funding Preference Demands sent to nine top schools included pledging to freeze tuition for five years and to commit to strict definitions of gender.

Breaking News: The White House asked nine top universities to pledge support for President Trump’s agenda to help ensure access to research funding.

02.10.2025 05:02 — 👍 522    🔁 314    💬 163    📌 109

An update on the US citizen that Trump's secret police summarily executed, and then lied about every aspect of what had transpired

02.10.2025 05:07 — 👍 88    🔁 63    💬 1    📌 2

Feels pointless but I’ll say it anyway — there’s no reporting on any of the people our government is chartering by plane to be tortured and/or killed in countries across the world.

So. Who should I call about that?

02.10.2025 05:40 — 👍 7    🔁 4    💬 2    📌 0
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EXCLUSIVE: NARA Ousts Eisenhower Library Director Over Proposed Trump Gift to King Charles The director, a historian and Army veteran, declined to allow the Trump administration to remove a priceless artifact from the library's permanent collection

BREAKING: sources say NARA has forced out Dr. Todd Arrington, the federal director of the Dwight D. Eisenhower Presidential Library and Museum, after he declined to allow the Trump administration to remove a sword from the library for a gift to King Charles

lastcampaign.substack.com/p/exclusive-...

02.10.2025 04:05 — 👍 1225    🔁 687    💬 6    📌 194

Good and bad are feelings which first arise as predicates, and therefore are either predicates of the not-I, or are determined by previous cognitions (there being no intuitive power of distinguishing subjective. elements of, consciousness).

02.10.2025 04:06 — 👍 1    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0
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This is fine. American women don’t need to vote. They’ll be unlawfully deported to parts unknown with the everyone else. Byeeee!

League of Women Voters v. DHS, No. #1:25-cv-03501 (D.D.C. filed Sept 30, 2025)

www.courtlistener.com/docket/71499...

01.10.2025 06:21 — 👍 0    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
Teenagers walk out of a school and down steps while holding signs with messages like "Keep ICE out" and "Abolish ICE." One student holds a megaphone.

Teenagers walk out of a school and down steps while holding signs with messages like "Keep ICE out" and "Abolish ICE." One student holds a megaphone.

Teenagers stand outside and listen to someone speaking. They are holding signs with messages like "Do I look like a criminal?" and "ICE is not nice" and "Protect migrants, protect due process."

Teenagers stand outside and listen to someone speaking. They are holding signs with messages like "Do I look like a criminal?" and "ICE is not nice" and "Protect migrants, protect due process."

More inspiring photos of Des Moines students staging a walkout to protest their superintendent's detention by ICE!

(photos by Lily Smith of the Register)

30.09.2025 17:57 — 👍 1188    🔁 248    💬 8    📌 14
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Oralè Resisters
Viva Chicago
#VivaChicago #USDemocracy #Chicago

30.09.2025 21:56 — 👍 42    🔁 11    💬 3    📌 0
Flag-wving Chicagoans in the street rallying against Trump's threats to invade the city. One sign reads: No racism, sexism, fascism.

Flag-wving Chicagoans in the street rallying against Trump's threats to invade the city. One sign reads: No racism, sexism, fascism.

Image from self-defending Chicago today.

#VivaChicago #Chicago #FuckICE #FuckTrump

01.10.2025 03:43 — 👍 8    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

There is not a single member of Congress honoring their oath of office right now. Not one.

01.10.2025 03:39 — 👍 46    🔁 13    💬 4    📌 0

Heh. I hacked nuclear proliferation intel out of their LLM. They won't care about this either unless someone makes them.

01.10.2025 02:30 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

Everyone knows individual bios ( some photos ) are public. What’s fucked up is giving our adversaries a real-time, grouped, rank-ordered muster that confirms who is actively serving at this exact moment. It’s a visual live org chart of an entire active senior officer corps in one glance. Shit Opsec

01.10.2025 01:17 — 👍 6    🔁 2    💬 0    📌 0

@douglaslucas is following 20 prominent accounts