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Alice

@shinoji-research.com.bsky.social

22, comfy NEET detective. CIO, Emperor Shinoji Research (a CFTC 'large trader' firm). Maintainer of Seismic DB にゃにゃにゃ

47 Followers  |  31 Following  |  22 Posts  |  Joined: 13.09.2023  |  2.4325

Latest posts by shinoji-research.com on Bluesky

Good morning!

- 10y yield above 5% as bond selling continues across the curve
- >5% 30y yields in the US, Italy, UK, Australia
- Credit spreads at new wides as rates hit borrowers.
- USDJPY continues to dance with 150, including trades above that intervention level at the open
- Stocks -64 bps pre

23.10.2023 10:26 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 2    📌 0

IMO as long as the US doesn't cut JPY will go to lows not seen in decades. Gov cannot afford to raise rates, CB is still on 'transitory' inflation.

23.10.2023 13:46 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

*TRUMP CAMPAIGN SAYS EXPLORING PUTTING ON THE CAT EARS TO IMPROVE POLL NUMBERS.

22.10.2023 02:34 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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From: www.bigtechnology.com/p/exclusive-...

Interesting to me that the peak is exactly where 'UserIsBlueVerified' began to give an x4 boost in the algorithm.

Overriding an algorithm that maximizes engagement really hurts usage. X probably did a bit as well.

20.10.2023 16:56 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

IDK how it's even assigned. The creator of Spy X family randomly got a gold one, Zero Hedge has a blue one (not paid).

20.10.2023 16:22 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Excerpt from the did:plc specification, which is the spec that governs your "identity" within Bluesky/AT Protocol

Under the section of "Privacy and Security Concerns", it notes:

"The full history of DID operations and updates, including timestamps, is permanently publicly accessible. This is true even after DID deactivation. It is important to recognize (and communicate to account holders) that any personally identifiable information (PII) encoded in alsoKnownAs URIs will be publicly visible even after DID deactivation, and can not be redacted or purged.

In the context of atproto, this includes the full history of handle updates and PDS locations (URLs) over time. To be explicit, it does not include any other account metadata such as email addresses or IP addresses. Handle history could potentially de-anonymize account holders if they switch handles between a known identity and an anonymous or pseudonymous identity."

Highlight on "In the context of atproto, this includes the full history of handle updates and PDS locations (URLs) over time," your handle changes are public!

Excerpt from the did:plc specification, which is the spec that governs your "identity" within Bluesky/AT Protocol Under the section of "Privacy and Security Concerns", it notes: "The full history of DID operations and updates, including timestamps, is permanently publicly accessible. This is true even after DID deactivation. It is important to recognize (and communicate to account holders) that any personally identifiable information (PII) encoded in alsoKnownAs URIs will be publicly visible even after DID deactivation, and can not be redacted or purged. In the context of atproto, this includes the full history of handle updates and PDS locations (URLs) over time. To be explicit, it does not include any other account metadata such as email addresses or IP addresses. Handle history could potentially de-anonymize account holders if they switch handles between a known identity and an anonymous or pseudonymous identity." Highlight on "In the context of atproto, this includes the full history of handle updates and PDS locations (URLs) over time," your handle changes are public!

fyi bluesky/atproto users:
your handle changes are public data, be wary if you plan to change your handle after changing your identity (e.g. transitioning)

#atdev

20.10.2023 00:52 — 👍 12    🔁 3    💬 1    📌 0

I remember someone made a site for this for Twitter (X) a few years ago. Not sure if it was just based on scraped data.

20.10.2023 01:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Meta's fatal assumption is that having the instagram social graph as a starting point was an advantage rather than a disadvantage.

19.10.2023 15:54 — 👍 35    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Right ho

18.10.2023 13:06 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
Twitter announcement of mandatory payment for account registration.

Twitter announcement of mandatory payment for account registration.

Whether intentional or not this will end up being a massive P hack because nobody would register a bot in those regions when they could just use a VPN :P.

18.10.2023 01:28 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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我不行了,這隻貓太好笑

17.10.2023 14:52 — 👍 38    🔁 6    💬 2    📌 0

Anecdotally I think the attack rate, especially in 40+ & more wealthy people might be somewhat lower than 100/95% (80%?). Everyone I know who got quite sick with it Summer / Fall thought they were first episodes.

17.10.2023 14:43 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Post image 15.10.2023 09:23 — 👍 184    🔁 25    💬 1    📌 1

Makes sense. People find the most morally satisfying to them conclusion the most plausible.

12.10.2023 01:59 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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Humans can simulate a broad range of alternative futures. But how do we generate our most *realistic* scenario?

In a new paper with @jayvanbavel.bsky.social, we find that people rely on a "best-case heuristic" when making seemingly realistic predictions.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

11.10.2023 17:29 — 👍 12    🔁 6    💬 2    📌 0
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I must say given the number of cats in my for you tab on here, the feed is working quite well.

11.10.2023 20:01 — 👍 3    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

Could allow sub users (IE alice@shinoji-research.com) and have a system similar to verified orgs. I like it as it encourages people to own their own domains.

08.10.2023 01:42 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
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Makes sense. I got mine through the signup form and waiting, not sure what the rate on those is.

Looking at posts took, growth seems pretty steady exponential rather than spikes a'la mastodon / threads.

08.10.2023 01:38 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0
Total Registered Users: 1,425,486

Total Registered Users: 1,425,486

bluesky is growing approximately exponentially, with the current growth rate around 1%/day 🧪
vqv.app/stats/chart

08.10.2023 01:18 — 👍 164    🔁 41    💬 3    📌 3

Isn't it mostly capped by invites (not sure how the rollout of those works)? Feels like the most active 'not X / twitter' microblogging platform already.

Definitely in terms of actually having interesting content.

08.10.2023 01:32 — 👍 4    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

I don't think so. I had to add a TXT to my domain & that was it.

Presumptively if you bought the domain you could take my handle, but not my account.

08.10.2023 01:29 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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23andme, accurate it is not. What they are good for though is giving your data to hackers

08.10.2023 01:08 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

I'd assume these things are done off of some sort of classifier algorithm with genetic data from known pure breds? If the human DNA came back with anything, one has to think they're just using a random number generator or cold reading.

06.10.2023 14:27 — 👍 0    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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guess I chose a good time to join bsky.

18.09.2023 21:12 — 👍 2    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 0

Seems focused on Nostr currently. Which is the gentoo of twtr clones.

16.09.2023 15:54 — 👍 9    🔁 0    💬 1    📌 2
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anzu futaba in the back lines.

13.09.2023 01:59 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
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this account is verified because it has cat ears, please pat them.

13.09.2023 01:53 — 👍 1    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0
cute catgirl

cute catgirl

nya.

13.09.2023 01:46 — 👍 6    🔁 0    💬 0    📌 0

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