A deadlocked FEC vote has opened the path for parties to buy campaign ads at lower rates, potentially shifting the fundraising balance of power in Senate races. @politico.com story:
www.politico.com/news/2024/10...
@brendanjdoherty.bsky.social
Political science professor at US Naval Academy || Latest book: Fundraiser in Chief: Presidents & the Politics of Campaign Cash || Views are my own, not DoD's
A deadlocked FEC vote has opened the path for parties to buy campaign ads at lower rates, potentially shifting the fundraising balance of power in Senate races. @politico.com story:
www.politico.com/news/2024/10...
The NRSC is shifting its ad buys from independent expenditures to hybrid ads. Why? The law requires candidates to be offered the "lowest unit rate" for TV and radio ads close to an election, while parties pay higher rates for independent expenditures.
www.politico.com/news/2024/10...
VP Harris raised $27 million at a Wall Street fundraiser on Sunday, her biggest yield from a single fundraising event
apnews.com/article/kama...
The latest eye-popping fundraising numbers in the 2024 presidential race:
www.cnbc.com/2024/09/12/h...
The latest fundraising record to fall -- since the start of her campaign, VP Harris has raised an unprecedented $540 million for her joint fundraising committee benefitting her campaign, the DNC, and every Democratic state party.
www.pbs.org/newshour/pol...
Bundlers are the fundraisers who gather big contributions from other donors. This year, neither presidential campaign is disclosing their names.
www.nytimes.com/2024/08/20/u...
Presidential candidates spend so much time raising money for their campaign committee in increments of $3,300 per election or less since they never know when a megadonor like Mellon will write a $50 million check to a Super PAC
www.politico.com/news/2024/08...
Super PACs have been performing more core campaign functions in this race for the White House than in past election cycles. The latest example:
www.nytimes.com/2024/08/14/u...
π Raised in July:
Harris campaign + Dem committees: $310 million
Trump campaign + GOP committees: $138.7 million
Cash on hand:
Harris: $377 million
Trump: $327 million
Harris: 2/3 of July $ from 1st-time donors; 94% of donations < $200
www.axios.com/2024/08/02/h...
Fascinating tea leaf about Harris's VP pick: Axios's Hans Nichols reports that "The Harris campaign is pressing Wall Street donors to cut their checks as soon as possible, citing a financial rule that bars contributions to tickets featuring a sitting governor."
www.axios.com/newsletters/...
While Super PACs must be technically independent of campaigns, they are often run by close allies of the candidate they support. The latest example:
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
In 2019, Biden's campaign opened his fundraisers to the press, Politico reported, to put Biden "on notice that his remarks will be public." One donor said βHe understands: too many phones, too many recordingsβ that could end up on social media
www.politico.com/story/2019/0...
JD Vance joins the (well-populated) club of candidates who said something different behind closed doors at a fundraiser than what they said in public
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Donors can only give $6,600 directly to a presidential campaign. But Timothy Mellon has given $75 million to support Trump, as well as $25 million aiding RFK Jr.'s third party bid. How? Party committees, joint fundraising committees, & Super PACs
www.nytimes.com/2024/07/28/u...
A Super PAC spent $827,000 on Trump's legal expenses in June. Much less than the average of $4 million per month spent on his legal bills for the past two years. Since 2022 it has spent $83 million of donor money to pay Trump's lawyers, the AP reports.
apnews.com/article/elec...
How have Dem fundraising dynamics changed since Biden stepped aside? Teddy Schleifer has an inside look at how the Harris campaign is ramping up its fundraising operation and thinking about how to allocate the VP's scarce time
www.nytimes.com/2024/07/25/u...
While Harris's early fundraising has set records, it takes time to make and execute a plan to spend that money on campaign ads. Republicans are filling that vacuum for now, outspending Democrats by a 25:1 ratio on TV and radio ads, the AP reports
apnews.com/article/adve...
Super PACs are supposed to be independent of candidates, but many function as a de facto extension of a candidate's campaign committee. Here's an interesting counterexample of a pro-Haley Super PAC endorsing Harris against Haley's wishes
www.cbsnews.com/news/haley-v...
Harris will raise much money on her own, but will fight for the funds she raised jointly with Biden. Candidates receive preferential ad rates & want as much controllable money as possible to spread their message about their vision of the more perfect union
15/15
The Washington Post reports that Harrisβs campaign and Democratic party committees raised more than $100 million in the first 41 hours after Biden made his announcement.
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
14/x
We are in uncharted waters. Harris has already asserted control over the $96 million in the Biden-Harris campaign account, and while a potential lawsuit might try to block her access to those funds, sheβll likely be able to use them.
13/x
Example: this 3-3 tie vote from 2022 on a complaint alleging that the 2020 Trump campaign had illegally avoided spending disclosure requirements
apnews.com/article/2022...
12/x
Will the FEC settle this? With three commissioners from each party, they often deadlock on a 3-3 vote and rulings frequently come years after the fact
11/x
Another FEC Commissioner, Ellen Weintraub, contends that because Harris was a named candidate as part of the Biden-Harris reelection committee, she has a clear claim to the $96 million in the campaign account even if Biden doesn't run
www.npr.org/2024/07/23/g...
10/x
"11 C.F.R. Β§ 110.1(b)(3):
'If the candidate is not a candidate in the general election, all contributions made for the general election shall be either returned or refunded to the contributors or redesignated ..., or reattributed..., as appropriate.'"
x.com/SeanJCooksey...
9/x
So is that the end of the story?
Federal Election Commission Chair Sean Cooksey suggested not when he tweeted a section from federal regulations about what happens when a candidate raises money for the general election but does not run in the fall:
8/x
Back to 2024β¦. Just hours after Biden endorsed her, Harris filed paperwork to:
1) Change the name of their reelection committee to Harris for President and
2) Rename the Biden Victory Fund joint fundraising committee as the Harris Victory Fund
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/form...
7/x
Similarly, Biden was a named candidate as VP as part of Obamaβs reelection committee in 2011,
As was VP Dick Cheney as part of George W. Bushβs reelection committee in 2003
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/form...
docquery.fec.gov/pdf/753/2303...
6/x
This is not unusual β VP Mike Pence was a named candidate along with Trump on his reelection campaign committee in this 2019 FEC filing, over a year before they were renominated at the 2020 convention:
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/form...
5/x
Can Harris access the $96 million in the Biden-Harris campaign account? She has been a named candidate along with Biden as part of the reelection committee since it was established in April 2023:
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/form...
4/x