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Abe Newman

@abenewman.bsky.social

W/Henry Farrell, Underground Empire: How America Weaponized the World Economy (Holt 2023/Penguin); Georgetown; This is a private account.

8,077 Followers  |  311 Following  |  999 Posts  |  Joined: 21.09.2023  |  2.3255

Latest posts by abenewman.bsky.social on Bluesky

The US could see a 30-40% decline in new international student enrollment, resulting in nearly $7 billion in lost revenue and more than 60,000 fewer American jobs. https://www.nafsa.org/fall-2025-international-student-enrollment-outlook-and-economic-impact

03.08.2025 13:20 — 👍 2046    🔁 985    💬 111    📌 224
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This Chip will Self-Destruct The U.S. wants to track the location of every AI microchip. And it also wants the power to remotely shut them down. Can the rest of the world stomach the risks?

A must-read on America’s threatened weaponisation of interdependence…..

This Chip will Self-Destruct open.substack.com/pub/mileskel...

01.08.2025 16:56 — 👍 14    🔁 6    💬 1    📌 1

Together with the great @data.ft.com piece yesterday on AI capacity, this is going straight on the syllabus for September - ig.ft.com/ai-data-cent...

01.08.2025 13:25 — 👍 68    🔁 29    💬 6    📌 1
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Live Updates: Markets Fall on Weak Jobs Data and Trump’s New Tariffs

Get ready for self inflicted stagflation! www.nytimes.com/live/2025/07...

01.08.2025 14:38 — 👍 21    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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07/31 The EU-US Deal, a new Russia Deadline and a proposed EU Business Tax photo by Igor Omilaev on Unsplash

New Transatlantic Tremors: The EU-US Deal, a new Russia Deadline and a proposed EU Business Tax open.substack.com/pub/transatl...

01.08.2025 06:59 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
The phenomenon of weaponized interdependence, as defined by political scientists Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman, is a powerful tool for understanding today's global economic conflicts. But to date its uptake in the legal literature (including by this author) has been largely superficial, limited to the observation that economic interdependence coming under increased strain from the growing use of sanctions, export controls, investment screening, and similar measures. The real epistemic power of weaponized interdependence is to make political science nimble—able to identify and analyze similar dynamics across seemingly unconnected issue areas—remains largely untapped.


This essay sketches an approach for developing a jurisprudence of weaponized interdependence, focusing on what Farrell and Newman term the "panopticon effect." It identifies four legal processes—herding, enclosure, legibility, and jurisdictional politics—which create the conditions for weaponizing a network. The essay develops an account of these four processes by reopening the case study of the SWIFT financial messaging system, which also figures prominently in Farrell and Newman's own work. The history of the SWIFT network, this essay argues, shows how law—defined broadly and understood across many sites of lawmaking—intervenes at critical points to create the conditions for weaponization. 

In developing this account, this essay also serves as a proof of concept for a broader jurisprudence of weaponized interdependence, which could make lawyers similarly nimble in confronting the manifold challenges of a politicized global economy in times of rapid technological change and rising authoritarianism.

The phenomenon of weaponized interdependence, as defined by political scientists Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman, is a powerful tool for understanding today's global economic conflicts. But to date its uptake in the legal literature (including by this author) has been largely superficial, limited to the observation that economic interdependence coming under increased strain from the growing use of sanctions, export controls, investment screening, and similar measures. The real epistemic power of weaponized interdependence is to make political science nimble—able to identify and analyze similar dynamics across seemingly unconnected issue areas—remains largely untapped. This essay sketches an approach for developing a jurisprudence of weaponized interdependence, focusing on what Farrell and Newman term the "panopticon effect." It identifies four legal processes—herding, enclosure, legibility, and jurisdictional politics—which create the conditions for weaponizing a network. The essay develops an account of these four processes by reopening the case study of the SWIFT financial messaging system, which also figures prominently in Farrell and Newman's own work. The history of the SWIFT network, this essay argues, shows how law—defined broadly and understood across many sites of lawmaking—intervenes at critical points to create the conditions for weaponization. In developing this account, this essay also serves as a proof of concept for a broader jurisprudence of weaponized interdependence, which could make lawyers similarly nimble in confronting the manifold challenges of a politicized global economy in times of rapid technological change and rising authoritarianism.

New paper! This essay takes a step toward developing what I call a "jurisprudence of weaponized interdependence.: Building on @himself.bsky.social & @abenewman.bsky.social's groundbreaking work, I develop an account of the legal processes that facilitate the weaponization of networks. 1/x

30.07.2025 21:11 — 👍 14    🔁 4    💬 1    📌 0
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Treasury Sanctions Alexandre de Moraes WASHINGTON — Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) is sanctioning Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice Alexandre de Moraes (de Moraes), who has used his position to authorize arbitrary pre-trial detentions and suppress freedom of expression.  “Alexandre de Moraes has taken it upon himself to be judge and jury in an unlawful witch hunt against U.S. and Brazilian citizens and companies,” said Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent.  “De Moraes is responsible for an oppressive campaign of censorship, arbitrary detentions that violate human rights, and politicized prosecutions—including against former President Jair Bolsonaro.  Today’s action makes clear that Treasury will continue to hold accountable those who threaten U.S. interests and the freedoms of our citizens.”  Today’s action is being taken pursuant to Executive Order (E.O.) 13818, which builds upon and implements the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act and targets perpetrators of serious human rights abuse around the world.  Today’s action follows the U.S. Department of State’s revocation of de Moraes’s visa and those of his immediate family members on July 18, 2025, for their complicity in aiding and abetting de Moraes’ unlawful censorship campaign against U.S. persons on U.S. soil.DE MORAES’ ABUSIVE JUDICIAL OVERREACHDe Moraes was appointed to the STF in 2017.  Since that time, de Moraes has become one of Brazil’s most powerful individuals, wielding immense authority through his oversight of expansive STF investigations.  De Moraes has investigated, prosecuted, and suppressed those who have engaged in speech that is protected under the U.S. Constitution, repeatedly subjecting victims to long preventive detentions without bringing charges.  Through his actions as an STF justice, de Moraes has undermined Brazilians’ and Americans’ rights to freedom of expression.  In one notable instance, de Moraes arbitrarily detained a journalist for over a year in retaliation for exercising freedom of expression.De Moraes has targeted opposition politicians, including former President Jair Bolsonaro; journalists; newspapers; U.S. social media platforms; and other U.S. and international companies.  U.S.-based journalists and U.S. citizens have not been spared from de Moraes’ extraterritorial overreach.  De Moraes has imposed preventive detention on and issued a series of preventive arrest warrants against journalists and social media users, some of whom are based in the United States.  He has also directly issued orders to U.S. social media companies to block or remove hundreds of accounts, often those of his critics and other critics of the Brazilian government, including U.S. persons.  De Moraes has frozen assets and revoked passports of his critics; banned accounts from social media; and directed Brazil’s federal police to raid his critics’ homes, seize their belongings, and ensure their preventive detention. De Moraes is being sanctioned pursuant to E.O. 13818 for being a foreign person who is responsible for or complicit in, or has directly or indirectly engaged in, serious human rights abuse.GLOBAL MAGNITSKYBuilding upon the Global Magnitsky Human Rights Accountability Act, E.O. 13818 was issued on December 20, 2017, in recognition that the prevalence of human rights abuse and corruption that have their source, in whole or in substantial part, outside the United States, had reached such scope and gravity as to threaten the stability of international political and economic systems. Human rights abuse and corruption undermine the values that form an essential foundation of stable, secure, and functioning societies; have devastating impacts on individuals; weaken democratic institutions; degrade the rule of law; perpetuate violent conflicts; facilitate the activities of dangerous persons; and undermine economic markets.  The United States seeks to impose tangible and significant consequences on those who commit serious human rights abuses or engage in corruption, as well as to protect the financial system of the United States from abuse by these same persons.SANCTIONS IMPLICATIONSAs a result of today’s action, all property and interests in property of the designated or blocked person described above that are in the United States or in the possession or control of U.S. persons are blocked and must be reported to OFAC.  In addition, any entities that are owned, directly or indirectly, individually or in the aggregate, 50 percent or more by one or more blocked persons are also blocked. Unless authorized by a general or specific license issued by OFAC, or exempt, OFAC’s regulations generally prohibit all transactions by U.S. persons or within (or transiting) the United States that involve any property or interests in property of blocked persons. Violations of U.S. sanctions may result in the imposition of civil or criminal penalties on U.S. and foreign persons.  OFAC may impose civil penalties for sanctions violations on a strict liability basis.  OFAC’s Economic Sanctions Enforcement Guidelines provide more information regarding OFAC’s enforcement of U.S. economic sanctions. In addition, financial institutions and other persons may risk exposure to sanctions for engaging in certain transactions or activities involving designated or otherwise blocked persons.  The prohibitions include the making of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services by, to, or for the benefit of any designated or blocked person, or the receipt of any contribution or provision of funds, goods, or services from any such person. The power and integrity of OFAC sanctions derive not only from OFAC’s ability to designate and add persons to the Specially Designated Nationals and Blocked Persons List (SDN List), but also from its willingness to remove persons from the SDN List consistent with the law.  The ultimate goal of sanctions is not to punish, but to bring about a positive change in behavior.  For information concerning the process for seeking removal from an OFAC list, including the SDN List, or to submit a request, please refer to OFAC’s guidance on Filing a Petition for Removal from an OFAC List.Click here for more information on the person designated today.###

US Treasury sanctions Brazilian judge Alexandre de Moraes under the Global Magnitsky Act- he is overseeing investigation into Trump ally and former President Jair Bolsonaro

The act was created to punish Russian officials responsible for death of Sergei Magnitsky

home.treasury.gov/news/press-r...

30.07.2025 17:46 — 👍 268    🔁 124    💬 26    📌 47
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Motherfucking wind farms…

30.07.2025 17:02 — 👍 45665    🔁 17235    💬 1136    📌 2286

What a graph

29.07.2025 13:06 — 👍 1284    🔁 599    💬 19    📌 61
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Trump’s Tariffs Are Already Stunting World Growth While Markets Shrug With the president’s new trade deals, US protectionism is slowing investment and rewiring supply chains at the expense of the global economy

President Trump announced another preliminary tariff deal with the EU on Sunday. But as Trump’s tariffs get cemented in the evidence is mounting that they are hurting growth in the US and around the world.

My latest for the @bloomberg.com Big Take with:

www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...

28.07.2025 15:52 — 👍 16    🔁 13    💬 0    📌 1

If you were alive in the 1980s, this is among the most wonderful & truly incredible things you have ever witnessed in your lifetime.

28.07.2025 02:15 — 👍 15595    🔁 4312    💬 268    📌 195

US inflicts more pain on itself. To see if this is capitulation or off-ramp for EU depends on what it does in rest of the world. Quick free trade deals with Mercosur, India, Indonesia would offer green shoots of leadership. Failure would just mean more dependence on new US hegemonic pressure.

28.07.2025 07:34 — 👍 10    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0
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No thumbs up, no smiles, no bullshit. @sabineweyand.bsky.social tells it like it is in coercive hegemon-vassal family picture.

28.07.2025 06:08 — 👍 96    🔁 21    💬 9    📌 7
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This Chip will Self-Destruct The U.S. wants to track the location of every AI microchip. And it also wants the power to remotely shut them down. Can the rest of the world stomach the risks?

The U.S. wants to track the location of every AI microchip. And it also wants the ability to remotely shut them down.

But this isn't just about smuggling. In a new post, I argue this might be the power play of the century.

#polisky #econsky #tech

mileskellerman.substack.com/p/this-chip-...

27.07.2025 13:25 — 👍 29    🔁 14    💬 7    📌 2

Thanks for passing this on. The concept of "soft power" is a classic, and missed in these times.

27.07.2025 14:10 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0

This is a strikingly astute piece of analysis that builds in part on @abenewman.bsky.social and my ideas about weaponized interdependence, but is so much more than that.

27.07.2025 14:14 — 👍 50    🔁 18    💬 0    📌 0

Good Q by Krugman to @himself.bsky.social on Underground Empire. Does the US have quite as much power over control of key technologies as the book seemed to say?

Are 'national champions' & commercial firms now merging with US govt?
paulkrugman.substack.com/p/talking-wi...?
bsky.app/profile/aben...

26.07.2025 15:45 — 👍 28    🔁 15    💬 0    📌 0
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The Rich Are Not Like You and Me That's a problem for social science. And more importantly for us

www.programmablemutter.com/p/the-rich-a...
we are less equipped to understand a world where we have a relatively small number of people who have absolutely outsized power, who have accumulated the power to control platforms, to shape a lot of the actual day-to-day existence of our lives.

27.07.2025 08:51 — 👍 105    🔁 23    💬 2    📌 2
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Joseph Nye and the End of the American Century A Conversation With Robert Keohane

Even in his last days Joe Nye worked to make the world a safer place. Powerful podcast w/Bob Keohane on their work, friendship and the risks of the Trump presidency for US national interest.
www.foreignaffairs.com/podcasts/jos...

27.07.2025 11:43 — 👍 8    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 1
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My newspaper was gutted by journalism's biggest bogeyman Pottstown had a thriving daily paper. Then Alden Global Capital came around.

@chicagotribune.com laid of 10% of its newsroom today, which was already down to 80 people. Yet another victim of Alden Capital. This is how it is destroying local news: www.motherjones.com/politics/202...

25.07.2025 16:41 — 👍 359    🔁 164    💬 11    📌 14
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A Clash Over a Promotion Puts Hegseth at Odds With His Generals

The degree of dysfunction within the Office of the Secretary of Defense is stunning but unsurprising. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/26/u...

26.07.2025 13:56 — 👍 351    🔁 67    💬 18    📌 5

Hegemonic. Enshittification.

25.07.2025 20:38 — 👍 33    🔁 11    💬 0    📌 0
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We need to escape the Gernsback Continuum Outdated science fiction is hobbling our dreams.

5/ Another great one by @himself.bsky.social.

www.programmablemutter.com/p/we-need-to...

26.07.2025 12:47 — 👍 7    🔁 1    💬 0    📌 0
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Silicon Valley's thing about Great Men There _is_ an alternative

4/For @himself.bsky.social on science fiction and Silicon Valley see Henry’s Substack.

www.programmablemutter.com/p/silicon-va...

26.07.2025 12:44 — 👍 7    🔁 2    💬 1    📌 0
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The Enshittification of American Power First Google and Facebook, then the world. Under Trump 2.0, US statecraft is starting to mimic the worst tendencies of Big Tech.

3/For the enshittification story see this piece in @wired.com.

www.wired.com/story/enshit...

26.07.2025 12:42 — 👍 3    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Underground Empire Arthur Ross Book Award, Council on Foreign Relations, Bronze MedalShortlisted for the Lionel Gelber PrizeNamed a best book of the year by Foreign Affairs and...

2/For more on weaponized interdependence check out our book:

us.macmillan.com/books/978125...

26.07.2025 12:40 — 👍 5    🔁 1    💬 1    📌 0
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Talking With Henry Farrell Weaponized interdependence and tech bro ideology, oh my

1/Great conversation between @pkrugman.bsky.social and @himself.bsky.social talking weaponized interdependence, hegemonic enshittification, and tech bro science fiction fever dreams. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

26.07.2025 12:37 — 👍 40    🔁 14    💬 2    📌 3

www.wired.com/story/enshit... As an example of what @abenewman.bsky.social and I call hegemonic enshittification, this is maybe just a little too much on the nose.

25.07.2025 17:46 — 👍 43    🔁 9    💬 1    📌 3
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Vermont school superintendent detained after trip to Nicaragua Wilmer Chavarria, the superintendent of the Winooski School District, was held by U.S. Customs and Border Protection while returning to the country after visiting family.

“I was threatened with being referred to the FBI... They also threatened to stain my record so I would never get a job again. They also threatened with an extended detention if I didn’t give them the passwords to the student information or to my district files."

25.07.2025 11:34 — 👍 1722    🔁 971    💬 43    📌 143

"Trumpworld understands that—in controlling the infrastructure layer of global finance, technology, and security—it has vast machineries of coercion at its disposal. As Mark Carney, the prime minister of Canada, recently put it, 'The United States is beginning to monetize its hegemony.'"

25.07.2025 13:14 — 👍 17    🔁 4    💬 0    📌 0

@abenewman is following 20 prominent accounts