@joostvanspanje.bsky.social
Professor of Political Science, RH University of London elections | new parties | cordons sanitaires | hate speech | militant democracy | political communication Bitcoin and politics, media & public opinion ERC Consolidator Grant | NWO Veni & Vidi
PhD opportunity at the University of Oxford. The Morelli scholarship funds a doctoral student to work with me on on democratic backsliding, strategies of democratic defense and regeneration, or the rise of illiberalism. Deadline Jan 9. More information at users.ox.ac.uk/~ssfc0073/
09.12.2025 18:29 β π 41 π 40 π¬ 3 π 1Uiteraard niet.
Maar er bestaat vrij brede consensus, van rechts tot centrumlinks, dat het immigratiebeleid voor verbetering vatbaar is.
Bijvoorbeeld: op gebied van tegengaan van de huidige horror van mensensmokkel, en de industrie van uitbuiting van arbeidsmigranten valt wellicht wel wat te doen.
Inderdaad.
En omgekeerd:
JA21 tegelijkertijd afwijzen en steun vragen voor (o.a.) 'GL-PvdA-beleid.'
Mijn advies:
gun GL-PvdA veel op groene thema's
en
in ruil daarvoor,
gun JA21 echt wat op migratiethema's.
Opdat beide partijen meewerken, om hun kiezers te bedienen.
En we eindelijk verder komen.
This hollowing out of the Green Deal results from a deal with the far right.
But voters do not vote far right to free corporations from red tape.
They typically vote far right based on migration, not addressed in the deal.
So, the EU lets down green *and* far right voters.
Expect radicalisation.
This is exactly the opposite of what the EU must do.
Watering down the Green Deal is hazardous long-term in many ways.
If only because millions of Europeans worry about environmental issues.
A way out of all our crises is tackling issues, one by one.
This only radicalizes many of these citizens.
Today in Dutch newspaper @volkskrant.nl:
"The entrepreneurs are planning new destinations, including Frankfurt, Basel, Munich, Bruges and Paris.
They've been in talks with the Dutch Railways (NS) "for years" about selling its tickets through the NS app but according to the NS that's not possible."
Democrats "should voluntarily limit contributions from wealthy individuals levels and reject corporate PAC money entirely
(..)
while still out fundraising Republicans.
(..)
doing so would give them something money canβt buy:
the credibility to make corruption the central issue of the next election."
Today in Dutch newspaper @volkskrant.nl:
First Dutch company to issue β¬uro-pegged stablecoins launched.
May become alternatives to credit cards and int'l bank payments.
Around $ 400 billion has already been issued in stablecoins in the US.
The β¬uro stablecoin market is less than 1% of the total.
Great book, recommended.
03.12.2025 10:01 β π 4 π 1 π¬ 1 π 0
Political Scientists: I am the chair of the committee that is picking the next editor of @polbehavior.bsky.social. If you are interested, I'd be happy to chat about it (and I know the current editors would be too).
You can find the call for proposals here:
Theoretisch opgeleiden zijn bezorgd over klimaat en natuur; andere groepen vooral over immigratie en integratie.
Een uitruil ligt voor de hand.
De vandaag gepresenteerde D66-CDA-agenda gaat in de richting van zo'n uitruil, met enerzijds "groene" wensen en anderzijds de wens tot "grip op migratie".
Danish, German and British Labour have repositioned on immigration.
There are 2 possibilities.
Either these politicians are wrong.
If so, they'll be defeated and replaced.
Or some of my colleagues are wrong.
This is a bold call, distilling "the right lesson" from only few studies and elections.
Today in Dutch newspaper @parool.nl:
On 27 March, a British man overpowered a man on Dam Square, who had stabbed 5 passersby.
Yesterday, the Londoner made a one-time appearance.
He asks that his last name be withheld.
"I'm not on social media either. I don't care for all that attention-seeking."
Good morning!
20.11.2025 07:28 β π 8 π 1 π¬ 0 π 0
Today in Dutch newspaper @parool.nl, @diederiksamsom.bsky.social:
"Europe has every opportunity to become a prosperous global leader in sustainability
(..)
a revolution greater than the invention of the wheel
(..)
What's happening in China with the growth of wind, solar and electrolysis is insane."
A better analogy?
The Dutch "1917 Pacificatie" offered something to both sides:
the socialists got universal suffrage,
the religious bloc public school funding.
The Green Deal addresses only worries of the higher educated.
It must not be weakened but expanded to also offer change to other groups.
The Green Deal is incomplete.
The analogy is the US New Deal.
But that deal addressed economic worries that everyone shared.
Today's EU sees the higher educated worry about climate change while others worry about immigration.
The deal addresses only the former.
We need a Green-Immigration Deal.
(1/10) π¨Preprint alert!π¨
In this article, I challenge claims of a generational rise of conservative men. In the media and recent academic publications, the so-called βyouth gender gapβ has been interpreted as a generational phenomenon.
doi.org/10.31234/osf...
Today in Dutch newspaper @parool.nl:
How the police handle personal data may not comply with legal requirements.
In the case of a climate activist, the police requested data 350 times, including about his parents and children.
The activist filed a complaint.
But the police refused to process it.
Today in Dutch newspaper @nrc.nl:
"Minister Paul (VVD) decided well before the elections to not implement rules to protect migrant workers, but only announced it after election day.
Because Paul's decision had not yet been announced, no one could question her party leader about it in the debates."
Many high-educated citizens worry about climate change.
Many others worry about migration.
But Dutch governments subsidised polluters.
And defended the interests of companies that exploit migrant workers - and donate to parties.
The result?
Radicalisation on both ends.
Jetten-I must do better.
Wie splitst zich het eerst af van de VVD?
08.11.2025 12:04 β π 2 π 0 π¬ 1 π 0
We have just published the call for the Nuffield Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellowships in Politics. These are 3-year fully-funded postdocs that will allow you to focus on your research in a great academic environment. (And with excellent food)
www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/the-college/...
Today in Dutch newspaper @volkskrant.nl, by @toineheijmans.bsky.social:
"death march from Eritrea
(..)
torture, rape, locked up with 1,000 others, forced to call family to extort more money while beaten so they hear the screams at home
(..)
The number of Eritreans seeking asylum doubled this year."
This week in Dutch newspaper @nrc.nl:
Contrary to what she said, VVD minister Paul maintained a migrant workers housing scheme without asking stakeholder advice.
"Abolishing it would make them less dependent on employers, as losing their job would not mean losing home."
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
Today in Dutch newspaper @parool.nl:
The murder of a lawyer in 2019 made judges sentence Dutch citizens of Moroccan descent 71% harsher on average in the weeks after.
The researchers who discovered it call it a salience effect - judges paying more attention to particular traits that a suspect has.
There are three things everyone should know about youth and far-right voting:
1: There is (averaged all European countries) no correlation between being young and voting for the far right.
Today in Dutch newspaper @volkskrant.nl:
"Almost 1,000,000 labor migrants in the country
(..)
a third of employers does not comply with housing regulations
(..)
80% of employees in greenhouses and meat packing are labor migrants
(..)
85% of the greenhouse produce and 75% of the meat is for export."
In @volkskrant.nl vandaag terechte zorg bij @kustaw.bsky.social over autoritair rechts.
Hij is pessimistisch: "migratie moet worden teruggebracht" maar hij ziet geen beleid dat GL, VVD & PVV omarmen.
Ik zeg: zelfs GL-PvdA stelt een max voor - en midden & rechts zijn het redelijk eens op migratie.
Narrator: 34 haalde hij dan ook niet.
En in een interview in Knack betwijfelde ik op 16 oktober of Wilders 30 zetels zou halen.
Geen sluitend bewijs voor een effect van isoleren en imiteren, wel weer een aanwijzing.
