Clarkkenwxman@bluesky.social

The tragedy in Texas on July 4 is horrendous. I continue to pray for those affected. I did want to write something about the meteorology, which has gotten some undeserved criticism. Below are my thoughts. I want to thank James Spann on X for a part of this piece. As always, he is great.

Here’s a different look at the consequences to the severe weather us having on flights.

Look at the radar and then look at FlightRadar24 where the flights are and aren’t. Helluva good reason for where they’re not!

I posted the statement below on my persFB page. Too long for here so I screenshot it. Keep it up LA. Make a difference. I applaud you! #resist, #protest, #defy, #revolt.

This means record low water levels of a few years may again be challenged. Las Vegas is a huge concern. But so is downstream with many farms in Southeast CA and western AZ relying on the water releases to survive!

‘A painful summer’: Lake Mead at risk of reaching crisis levels with new projections Snowpack won’t translate into much runoff into Lake Powell this year, worrying Colorado River water managers. Flows into Lake Mead come from Lake Powell.

www.reviewjournal.com/local/local-...

Though the Sierra snowpack was close to normal this year, and much of the state of CA is in good shape water wise going into Summer, the Colorado Basin is in not. Snowfall was at 55% of normal and water levels at Lake Mead are very low.

I’ve lost 6% in my retirement account in the last 3 trading days. And I’m retired! Thankfully I’m invested conservatively, however this still hurts. What hurts more is that people in charge of the calamity play down this “disturbance”. Of course they have billions so they don’t care.

What do you expect with anybody going on Fox

Trump’s #tariffs and his latest threats reveal a deep misunderstanding of global power. They alienate allies, empower China, unravel decades of U.S. leadership, and weaken the U.S. economic and geopolitical position.

It's felt like Spring lately but the heat ratchets up the rest of the week. Summer-like warmth away from the beaches. Highs in the 90s likely SoCA valleys Wed+Thur and lower deserts will hit low 100s. Some records fall. Maps are daily temp anomalies Tue through Friday. #cawx

Differences like this cannot be resolved accurately. Saying one is better than another is guess work. I see pontification on X a lot about the far extended. Silliness. Complicating things now are the daily missing radiosondes in the U.S. due to government stupidity, something that’s become pervasive

A perfect example of why I hate to dabble too much in the long range (past 5-7 days). Below 500mb charts from the GFS and Euro verifying for 4-13-25 at 5pm PT. They could hardly be more total opposites on the West Coast. SFO height 546dm GFS vs. 577dm Euro.#cawx

I’ve been saying this for months. This is a typical La Niña rainfall season in CA. It’s not changing going into April. The have’s, Northern CA. The have nots, Southern CA. Anybody who said differently was either confused or wish casting. #cawx

The 2024/2025 CA rainfall season has been every bit La Niña driven. The next 7-10 days is NO DIFFERENT. Ensemble members mimic operational runs. A good amount of rain/mtn snow in the north but small amounts in the south. THERE IS NO PATTERN CHANGE from much of the season. #cawx

A spectacular sunset this evening after a beautifully warm day! It’s great to be in California! #cawx

Here’s the video of the rain and wind.

Another batch of storms moving through. Heavy downpours and gusty winds but no hail or wet snow this time. By Southern Cal standards it’s COLD outside. Current temp 43.

Instability galore in Southern CA with the cold trough. Lots of cellular clouds producing showers and a few thunderstorms. Notice the lightning flashes. Thunderstorms have brought gusty winds, downpours, hail and low elevation snow. #cawx

Pics from just before storm hit.

Wild So Cal wx. A t-storm moved through near Fontana. Approx elev 990ft ASL. First penny size soft hail. Then the temp dropped from 50 to 39 in 2 minutes. Mix of large snow flakes, sleet and rain. Video was shot while stopped. Pics from just before it arrived. #cawx #accuweather

Below is my forecast from Saturday. Storm #1 timing was off, late ton/Tue now but amnts still good. Still not a big deal. Storm #2, the saying goes “if it ain’t broke don’t fix it” applies. Moderate to strong impacts north to south. 2 additional storms Fri-Tue! #cawx

A nice weekend for CA! Stormier weather returns next week. Below I give my detailed analysis and impacts. The second storm much more impactful than the first with some AR, great dynamics and favored upslope wind components. Graphics are precip amounts from each storm. #cawx

3 more mod to pot high impact storms thru the 13th. Tomorrow's brings potential for t-storms esp S.CA with hail, hvy downpours, debris flows. Low snow levels causing problems in the passes. Two more storms next week. Don't concentrate on exact rain yet #cawx

Impressive line of thunderstorms moving through my area right now!

a cartoon of a chicken laying on a towel with a bottle of looney tunes on the ground ALT: a cartoon of a chicken laying on a towel with a bottle of looney tunes on the ground

It definitely doesn’t feel like Winter where I’m at in So. CA. It doesn’t even feel like Spring. It’s been bordering on Summer-like yesterday and today with mid 80s. 2025 first 90+ is likely at my place, and much of the I.E. and Valleys by Wednesday.

Very warm temps likely through Wed/Thurs in CA. Some places over 20 degrees above norm. Inland S. CA will see mid 80s/low 90s Wed/Thurs. A weak low cools things some Fri with a shower possible but nothing impt. A better chance of rain in the Sun-Tue, but timing uncertain. #cawx

Typical Mike Smith, he’s lost credibility like Joe Bastardi

It's been a huge weather roller coastal ride for S. CA in the past 5+ weeks. Devastating fires and strong Santa Ana winds, then a big rain storm. But the wx is going to be quiet thru months end with temps rising well above historical average and no rain. Typical La Nina. #cawx

No Virginia, La Nina is not dead. And no, this weeks rain doesn't even bring most places to 50% of historic average for the rainfall season (October 1 to now). There is a LONG way to go to accomplish normal in the next month and a half. See discussion and table below. #cawx

Laying off meteorologists at NWS, which was already dealing with staffing issues, is a threat to public safety heading into severe weather season. No doubt everyone will give their best, but this adds stress to workers at wfo’s.

There’s so many bright young Mets in our field. I’m so sorry.